Fri. Dec 14th, 2018

Some Clouds still nice til Friday? About those North Pole Pictures

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - WIND WARNING IN EFFECT
    Issued: 3:52 PM PST Friday 14 December 2018

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PST Friday 14 December 2018 - Friday night: Rain ending this evening then cloudy with 40 percent chance of showers. Wind east 30 km/h becoming southwest 50 gusting to 90 early this evening then light late this evening. Low plus 3. Saturday: Cloudy. 40 percent chance of showers in the morning. Rain beginning near noon. High 6. Saturday night: Rain. Temperature steady near plus 5. Sunday: Rain. High 6. Sunday night: Rain. Low 6. Monday: Rain. High 7. Monday night: Rain. Low 6. Tuesday: Rain. High 7. Tuesday night: Rain. Low 7. Wednesday: Rain. High 8. Wednesday night: Rain. Low plus 5. Thursday: Periods of rain. High 7.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    6.5° C
    -0.2 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    100.25 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    SSE 10.4 km/h
    gusting 17.7 km/h
    Humidity
    79 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    4.5° C
    Heat Index
    6.5° C
    Dewpoint
    3.1° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 20:20:00 PST
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    43.9 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    07:28
    Moon Phase
    First quarter (47% full)
    Civil Set
    16:59
    Day Length
    12:14:00
    Day High
    10.6° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low
    6.4° C @ 17:54 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    9.1mm/hr @ 08:02 Tdy.
    Day High Barometer
    100.36 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    99.05 kPa @ 14:44 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    0.3° C @ 17:37 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    10.6° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 39.7km/h @ 17:30 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    32W/m2 @ 14:11 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

The forecast is including some more clouds now but don’t expect it to bring us much if any precipitation. The models are still very much in agreement that this week will remain dry. However there is getting to be more indication that Thursday and Friday might signal a change.

This is Friday morning.
pcp3.99.0000

We will have a pattern of air rolling in from the NorthEast and the Interior which I believe we had back in late June.

We’ll know more as the day approaches.

Is Santa Sinking?:

You probably saw this picture on the news or around the web recently:

npeo_cam2_20130726132323

The Headlines were something along the lines of this CBC Headline:
“North pole turned into lake from global warming”.

Unfortunately, that wasn’t exactly accurate. While the webcams are, incredibly, sending images from the farthest reaches of the north, and did start out at the North Pole. They are buoys, and buoys float (or move with the floating ice they are trapped in), so they are not actually at the North Pole anymore. The webcam and buoy in the picture were almost 600km away from the North Pole when these image were taken… Port Hardy to Victoria is 500km. Not a huge distance in the grand scheme, but not the North Pole.

They are part of a large project involving many agencies, scientists, and universities, you can check them all out here:
http://imb.crrel.usace.army.mil/newdata.htm

The buoy with the famous picture is 2013E in the jumble just to the right (towards Greenland) of the North Pole in this picture:
Active_track

If you want a full picture of what the ice looks like this year, and compare it to where the buoys are the University of Bremen is a good source:
arctic_AMSR2_nic

Here is an image from the same camera this morning, beautiful ice-scape, maybe I should add it to my webcam page?:
10
It is currently at 84.84 N, 3.95 W which is about 577km from the North Pole. The Buoy reports an air temperature of -0.7C, a snow depth of 2cm, but is not reporting ice thickness. If you’re wondering how ‘big’ things are in the picture. Apparently the white/black bars on the posts you see in the picture are 10cm apart, so actually things are not as big as they might appear.

Another buoy and webcam, 2013B, is a nearby, a little closer to the pole (440km), it’s +0.6C, snow depth is 0cm and ice thickness is 259cm (8’6″). Here is its view… which is a little more barren:
8

And there is yet another buoy (2012J) closer yet to the pole (330km), but without a webcam. It is reporting a balmy +1.6C, 16cm snow depth and no current ice thickness.

I got all this info from an excellent threat at the Arctic Sea Ice Forum.

As you have already heard,… lack of sea ice is quite likely affecting our jet stream, and so weather patterns across the Northern Hemisphere. How anomalous will this year be in the Arctic? We’ll find out in September.