Tue. Oct 15th, 2019

Snow threat gone for now… Cold is here

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Tuesday 15 October 2019 - Tuesday night: Periods of rain. Amount 10 mm. Windy early this evening. Temperature steady near 11. Wednesday: Periods of rain ending late in the afternoon then cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Amount 10 to 20 mm. High 14. UV index 1 or low. Wednesday night: Cloudy. 60 percent chance of showers in the evening. Rain beginning near midnight. Amount 10 mm. Low 10. Thursday: Showers. High 13. Thursday night: Showers. Low 8. Friday: Rain. High 11. Friday night: Rain. Low 7. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud with 60 percent chance of showers. High 15. Saturday night: Cloudy periods with 30 percent chance of showers. Low plus 5. Sunday: Cloudy with 70 percent chance of showers. High 12. Sunday night: Periods of rain. Low 8. Monday: Rain. High 12.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    9.8° C
    0.1 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    100.87 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0 km/h
    gusting 2 km/h
    Humidity
    98 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    9.8° C
    Heat Index
    9.8° C
    Dewpoint
    9.5° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 22:05:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Today's Almanac
    Rain since Midnight
    0.0 mm
    Continuous Rainfall (< 24hr gap)
    No Qualifying Rainfall mm
    Civil Rise
    07:06
    Moon Phase
    Waning gibbous (95% full)
    Civil Set
    19:02
    Day Length
    13:04:57
    Day High
    10.5° C @ 12:48 Tdy.
    Day Low
    9.2° C @ 07:39 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.61 kPa @ 00:14 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    100.87 kPa @ 21:59 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    8.1° C @ 20:45 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    10.5° C @ 12:48 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 5km/h @ 20:55 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    142W/m2 @ 12:31 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    1.1 @ 12:30 Tdy.

20131202-072849.jpg
The stars were out this morning and it is clear and crisp now and below -1° C in the City. The threat of any serious snow in our area should be gone for today and the near future. There is still a slight chance that the East Coast might get some when the winds blow across the strait later Monday and into Tuesday but it should not be much.

Yesterday we did indeed set a new short term record high of 10.5° C since 1995 at the Airport. Tomorrow and Wednesday morning we have a chance of setting a similar record low around -6 and -4 respectively, so quite the switch in 48hrs.

As for the threat of snow in the future, this week is looking quite dry but some models have a significant precipitation event next Sunday and Monday that could bring snow. It’s way out there though so it’s too early to tell.
20131202-065903.jpg
As is evident by the big bulge in the Tuesday jetstream image above, there is a big Omega Block setting up just off the coast and at this time of year that very often gives us cold air for long periods of time in our region and can lead to our most favourite type of events when warm Pacific rains slip overtop cold Valley air leading to big dumps of snow followed by a big flush of rain, and slush.

We shall see if that is going to happen in this case, but if it does, it won’t be any time soon.