Tue. Jul 16th, 2019

Snow threat gone for now… Cold is here

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Monday 15 July 2019 - Monday night: Mainly cloudy. 40 percent chance of showers early this evening with risk of thunderstorms. Low 15. Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud. 30 percent chance of showers in the morning. High 25. Humidex 27. UV index 8 or very high. Tuesday night: Cloudy. Rain beginning in the evening. Low 14. Wednesday: Periods of rain. High 21. Wednesday night: Cloudy periods with 30 percent chance of showers. Low 9. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20. Thursday night: Cloudy periods. Low 12. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 21. Friday night: Cloudy periods. Low 11. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 21. Saturday night: Cloudy periods. Low 12. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 22.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    15.8° C
    0.3 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.64 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0 km/h
    gusting 0 km/h
    Humidity
    90 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    15.8° C
    Heat Index
    15.8° C
    Dewpoint
    14.1° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 3:40:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Today's Almanac
    Rain since Midnight
    0.0 mm
    Continuous Rainfall (< 24hr gap)
    1.5 mm since
    July 15, 2019 00:07
    Civil Rise
    04:49
    Moon Phase
    Full (100% full)
    Civil Set
    22:00
    Day Length
    13:25:19
    Day High
    16.7° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low
    15.5° C @ 02:27 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.7 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.64 kPa @ 03:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    15.5° C @ 02:27 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    16.7° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 0km/h @ 01:20 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    0W/m2 @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

20131202-072849.jpg
The stars were out this morning and it is clear and crisp now and below -1° C in the City. The threat of any serious snow in our area should be gone for today and the near future. There is still a slight chance that the East Coast might get some when the winds blow across the strait later Monday and into Tuesday but it should not be much.

Yesterday we did indeed set a new short term record high of 10.5° C since 1995 at the Airport. Tomorrow and Wednesday morning we have a chance of setting a similar record low around -6 and -4 respectively, so quite the switch in 48hrs.

As for the threat of snow in the future, this week is looking quite dry but some models have a significant precipitation event next Sunday and Monday that could bring snow. It’s way out there though so it’s too early to tell.
20131202-065903.jpg
As is evident by the big bulge in the Tuesday jetstream image above, there is a big Omega Block setting up just off the coast and at this time of year that very often gives us cold air for long periods of time in our region and can lead to our most favourite type of events when warm Pacific rains slip overtop cold Valley air leading to big dumps of snow followed by a big flush of rain, and slush.

We shall see if that is going to happen in this case, but if it does, it won’t be any time soon.