Sun. Oct 21st, 2018

Snow threat gone for now… Cold is here

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Saturday 20 October 2018 - Saturday night: A few clouds. Increasing cloudiness late this evening. Fog developing late this evening. Low 6. Sunday: Fog dissipating late in the morning then mainly cloudy. Clearing near noon. High 16. UV index 2 or low. Sunday night: Clear. Becoming partly cloudy after midnight. Fog developing near midnight. Low plus 5. Monday: Fog. High 15. Monday night: Cloudy. Low plus 4. Tuesday: Rain. High 15. Tuesday night: Rain. Low 8. Wednesday: Periods of rain. High 14. Wednesday night: Rain. Low 9. Thursday: Rain. High 12. Thursday night: Rain. Low 7. Friday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 12.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    8.5° C
    -0.8 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.88 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    94 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    8.5° C
    Heat Index
    8.5° C
    Dewpoint
    7.6° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 23:15:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    07:14
    Moon Phase
    Waxing gibbous (88% full)
    Civil Set
    18:52
    Day Length
    13:03:57
    Day High
    18.4° C @ 15:19 Tdy.
    Day Low
    7.3° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    102.56 kPa @ 02:14 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.85 kPa @ 18:59 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    7.3° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    18.4° C @ 15:19 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 11.2km/h @ 15:35 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    589W/m2 @ 13:29 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    2.5 @ 12:35 Tdy.

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The stars were out this morning and it is clear and crisp now and below -1° C in the City. The threat of any serious snow in our area should be gone for today and the near future. There is still a slight chance that the East Coast might get some when the winds blow across the strait later Monday and into Tuesday but it should not be much.

Yesterday we did indeed set a new short term record high of 10.5° C since 1995 at the Airport. Tomorrow and Wednesday morning we have a chance of setting a similar record low around -6 and -4 respectively, so quite the switch in 48hrs.

As for the threat of snow in the future, this week is looking quite dry but some models have a significant precipitation event next Sunday and Monday that could bring snow. It’s way out there though so it’s too early to tell.
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As is evident by the big bulge in the Tuesday jetstream image above, there is a big Omega Block setting up just off the coast and at this time of year that very often gives us cold air for long periods of time in our region and can lead to our most favourite type of events when warm Pacific rains slip overtop cold Valley air leading to big dumps of snow followed by a big flush of rain, and slush.

We shall see if that is going to happen in this case, but if it does, it won’t be any time soon.