Wed. Oct 17th, 2018

Snow Sunday 8AM?

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 05:00 AM PDT Wednesday 17 October 2018 - Wednesday: Sunny. Fog patches early this morning. High 18. UV index 3 or moderate. Wednesday night: A few clouds. Fog patches developing after midnight. Low plus 4. Thursday: Mainly sunny. Fog patches dissipating in the morning. High 17. UV index 3 or moderate. Thursday night: Fog. Low plus 4. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 17. Friday night: Fog. Low plus 5. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20. Saturday night: Fog. Low plus 4. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20. Sunday night: Fog. Low 6. Monday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 15. Monday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low 9. Tuesday: Rain. High 14.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    6.3° C
    0.8 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    102.32 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    99 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    6.3° C
    Heat Index
    6.3° C
    Dewpoint
    6.2° C
    UV
    0.8
    Solar
    139 W/m2
    Last Updated: 10:00:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.1 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    07:10
    Moon Phase
    First quarter (59% full)
    Civil Set
    18:57
    Day Length
    13:04:30
    Day High
    7.3° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low
    4.5° C @ 05:19 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    102.4 kPa @ 00:44 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    102.32 kPa @ 09:59 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    4.5° C @ 05:19 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    7.3° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 0.0km/h @ 00:05 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    193W/m2 @ 09:48 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.8 @ 09:52 Tdy.

The University of Washington forecast model has been very persistent and consistent in calling for light snow (no more than an inch) to fall Sunday.

The call continues today. The snow is brief. It passes through and to the south quickly.

Here is the 12km forecast for snowfall for the hour of 7AM to 8AM
20121208-080807.jpg

And by 10AM it has passed through.

20121208-080911.jpg

The 3 hour period from 7AM to 10AM shows all higher elevations of the Island will have fresh snow. This means if you are driving to Nanaimo or Victoria you should be cautious, there will be potential for snow on all of the roads. Even if its only a little, we all know what happens when the roads turn white around here. The most likely place for there to be snow on the ground generally will be Coutenay and points North.

20121208-081353.jpg

Here are the three single hours of 7AM to 10AM plus the 3hr accumulation but this time at the finer grained 4km level. You’ll notice the snow is even more confined to higher elevations and Campbell River.

20121208-082050.jpg20121208-082055.jpg20121208-082101.jpg20121208-082108.jpg

In the end I think we will have some flakes in the air on Sunday morning and snow on the grounf at least out at the lake. No more than an inch… But it should at least feel Christmassy!

3 thoughts on “Snow Sunday 8AM?

  1. Great maps! I’m gonna go out on a limb here and predict that we’re only likely to get a few flurries, with most of the snow skirting us to the north and south as it passes over the valley. Of course, now that I’ve put that in writing everything’s going to change, but there you go!

  2. No snow here at the lake this morning. But last night, coming back from town, i followed a sanding truck up McCoy Lk. Rd. and thought “Uh oh”. Sutton Pass had a skim of slippery snow on it Wednesday evening when i drove home from work. I had my snow tires put on over a month ago 🙂

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