Tue. Jul 16th, 2019

Snow Sunday 8AM?

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Monday 15 July 2019 - Monday night: Mainly cloudy. 40 percent chance of showers early this evening with risk of thunderstorms. Low 15. Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud. 30 percent chance of showers in the morning. High 25. Humidex 27. UV index 8 or very high. Tuesday night: Cloudy. Rain beginning in the evening. Low 14. Wednesday: Periods of rain. High 21. Wednesday night: Cloudy periods with 30 percent chance of showers. Low 9. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20. Thursday night: Cloudy periods. Low 12. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 21. Friday night: Cloudy periods. Low 11. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 21. Saturday night: Cloudy periods. Low 12. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 22.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    15.8° C
    0.2 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.65 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0 km/h
    gusting 0 km/h
    Humidity
    90 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    15.8° C
    Heat Index
    15.8° C
    Dewpoint
    14.2° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 4:15:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Today's Almanac
    Rain since Midnight
    0.0 mm
    Continuous Rainfall (< 24hr gap)
    1.5 mm since
    July 15, 2019 00:07
    Civil Rise
    04:49
    Moon Phase
    Full (100% full)
    Civil Set
    22:00
    Day Length
    13:25:19
    Day High
    16.7° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low
    15.5° C @ 02:27 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.7 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.64 kPa @ 03:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    15.5° C @ 02:27 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    16.7° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 0km/h @ 01:20 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    0W/m2 @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

The University of Washington forecast model has been very persistent and consistent in calling for light snow (no more than an inch) to fall Sunday.

The call continues today. The snow is brief. It passes through and to the south quickly.

Here is the 12km forecast for snowfall for the hour of 7AM to 8AM
20121208-080807.jpg

And by 10AM it has passed through.

20121208-080911.jpg

The 3 hour period from 7AM to 10AM shows all higher elevations of the Island will have fresh snow. This means if you are driving to Nanaimo or Victoria you should be cautious, there will be potential for snow on all of the roads. Even if its only a little, we all know what happens when the roads turn white around here. The most likely place for there to be snow on the ground generally will be Coutenay and points North.

20121208-081353.jpg

Here are the three single hours of 7AM to 10AM plus the 3hr accumulation but this time at the finer grained 4km level. You’ll notice the snow is even more confined to higher elevations and Campbell River.

20121208-082050.jpg20121208-082055.jpg20121208-082101.jpg20121208-082108.jpg

In the end I think we will have some flakes in the air on Sunday morning and snow on the grounf at least out at the lake. No more than an inch… But it should at least feel Christmassy!

3 thoughts on “Snow Sunday 8AM?

  1. Great maps! I’m gonna go out on a limb here and predict that we’re only likely to get a few flurries, with most of the snow skirting us to the north and south as it passes over the valley. Of course, now that I’ve put that in writing everything’s going to change, but there you go!

  2. No snow here at the lake this morning. But last night, coming back from town, i followed a sanding truck up McCoy Lk. Rd. and thought “Uh oh”. Sutton Pass had a skim of slippery snow on it Wednesday evening when i drove home from work. I had my snow tires put on over a month ago 🙂

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