September 26, 2020

Snow pushed back to Wednesday night

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 11:00 AM PDT Saturday 26 September 2020 - Saturday: Showers ending late this afternoon then mainly cloudy. Risk of a thunderstorm this afternoon. High 16. UV index 2 or low. Saturday night: Mainly cloudy. 40 percent chance of showers this evening. Low 8. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 17. UV index 6 or high. Sunday night: Cloudy periods. Low 7. Monday: Sunny. High 22. Monday night: Clear. Low 7. Tuesday: Sunny. High 27. Tuesday night: Clear. Low 9. Wednesday: Sunny. High 27. Wednesday night: Clear. Low 10. Thursday: Sunny. High 23. Thursday night: Clear. Low 10. Friday: Sunny. High 22.

While there does look to be a bit of snow coming starting Tuesday, and it is nearly guaranteed to be all white, the models are pushing back the main chunk of precipitation until Wednesday night and Thursday morning now.

I’ve found another great website with fast loading model forecast animations here:

(I recommend using the ‘JavaScript’ or ‘GIF’ buttons)

Here is Thursday morning Wednesday evening precipitation.

Upper level precip

It is likely to start as snow overnight Wednesday Wednesday afternoon and then switch to rain and looks like a possibility of some wind too. You can see the flags pointing up towards the Island from the Southwest in the image below.

low level temp and humid
The black line denotes 0C and hugs the coast. So we will once again be at the mercy of our local Valley effects and the whether a warmer wind blows in.

The week before Christmas looks like we might get into a Pineapple Express type situation. The models are saying it will stay around freezing, but I’m leaning more towards above the snow line. We won’t know for sure for a few days yet but I think we can be confident there will be active weather from this Thursday straight through Christmas.

And finally here is a shot from the Woodgrove bus stop of the moon in the morning sky. The clouds are a beautiful shade of mauve this morning.

the moon