Thu. Jan 17th, 2019

Snow pushed back to Wednesday night

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 05:00 AM PST Thursday 17 January 2019 - Thursday: Showers. Amount 5 to 10 mm. High plus 5. Thursday night: Rain. Amount 10 to 20 mm. Temperature steady near plus 5. Friday: Rain. Amount 5 to 10 mm. High 7. Friday night: Rain. Low plus 5. Saturday: Rain. High 6. Saturday night: Showers. Low plus 3. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud with 60 percent chance of showers. High 7. Sunday night: Clear. Low plus 2. Monday: A mix of sun and cloud with 60 percent chance of showers. High 6. Monday night: Periods of rain. Low plus 3. Tuesday: Rain. High 6. Tuesday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low plus 3. Wednesday: Cloudy. High 7.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    4.6° C
    0.4 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    99.7 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    99 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    4.6° C
    Heat Index
    4.6° C
    Dewpoint
    4.4° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    65 W/m2
    Last Updated: 9:45:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    2.3 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    07:30
    Moon Phase
    Waxing gibbous (84% full)
    Civil Set
    17:28
    Day Length
    12:29:20
    Day High
    4.7° C @ 06:41 Tdy.
    Day Low
    2.4° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    1.8mm/hr @ 03:25 Tdy.
    Day High Barometer
    99.92 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    99.69 kPa @ 08:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    0.1° C @ 05:47 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    4.7° C @ 06:41 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 8.9km/h @ 06:40 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    93W/m2 @ 09:28 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

While there does look to be a bit of snow coming starting Tuesday, and it is nearly guaranteed to be all white, the models are pushing back the main chunk of precipitation until Wednesday night and Thursday morning now.

I’ve found another great website with fast loading model forecast animations here:

(I recommend using the ‘JavaScript’ or ‘GIF’ buttons)

Here is Thursday morning Wednesday evening precipitation.

Upper level precip

It is likely to start as snow overnight Wednesday Wednesday afternoon and then switch to rain and looks like a possibility of some wind too. You can see the flags pointing up towards the Island from the Southwest in the image below.

low level temp and humid
The black line denotes 0C and hugs the coast. So we will once again be at the mercy of our local Valley effects and the whether a warmer wind blows in.

The week before Christmas looks like we might get into a Pineapple Express type situation. The models are saying it will stay around freezing, but I’m leaning more towards above the snow line. We won’t know for sure for a few days yet but I think we can be confident there will be active weather from this Thursday straight through Christmas.

And finally here is a shot from the Woodgrove bus stop of the moon in the morning sky. The clouds are a beautiful shade of mauve this morning.

the moon