Tue. Oct 22nd, 2019

Snow pushed back to Wednesday night

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Monday 21 October 2019 - Monday night: Showers ending after midnight then clearing. Fog patches developing before morning. Low 8. Tuesday: Mainly sunny. Fog patches dissipating in the morning. High 14. UV index 2 or low. Tuesday night: Partly cloudy. Fog patches developing before morning. Low plus 3. Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 12. Wednesday night: Cloudy. Low 6. Thursday: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. High 14. Thursday night: Showers. Low 8. Friday: Periods of rain. High 14. Friday night: Clear. Low plus 3. Saturday: Sunny. High 12. Saturday night: Clear. Low plus 1. Sunday: Sunny. High 12.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    10.4° C
    0.0 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    102.05 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0 km/h
    gusting 0 km/h
    Humidity
    98 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    10.4° C
    Heat Index
    10.4° C
    Dewpoint
    10.1° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 2:25:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Today's Almanac
    Rain since Midnight
    0.0 mm
    Continuous Rainfall (< 24hr gap)
    No Qualifying Rainfall mm
    Civil Rise
    07:17
    Moon Phase
    Waning crescent (40% full)
    Civil Set
    18:49
    Day Length
    13:03:39
    Day High
    10.6° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low
    10.3° C @ 01:34 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    102.05 kPa @ 02:13 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.78 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    10.3° C @ 01:34 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    10.6° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 2km/h @ 01:35 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    0W/m2 @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

While there does look to be a bit of snow coming starting Tuesday, and it is nearly guaranteed to be all white, the models are pushing back the main chunk of precipitation until Wednesday night and Thursday morning now.

I’ve found another great website with fast loading model forecast animations here:

(I recommend using the ‘JavaScript’ or ‘GIF’ buttons)

Here is Thursday morning Wednesday evening precipitation.

Upper level precip

It is likely to start as snow overnight Wednesday Wednesday afternoon and then switch to rain and looks like a possibility of some wind too. You can see the flags pointing up towards the Island from the Southwest in the image below.

low level temp and humid
The black line denotes 0C and hugs the coast. So we will once again be at the mercy of our local Valley effects and the whether a warmer wind blows in.

The week before Christmas looks like we might get into a Pineapple Express type situation. The models are saying it will stay around freezing, but I’m leaning more towards above the snow line. We won’t know for sure for a few days yet but I think we can be confident there will be active weather from this Thursday straight through Christmas.

And finally here is a shot from the Woodgrove bus stop of the moon in the morning sky. The clouds are a beautiful shade of mauve this morning.

the moon