Thu. Sep 20th, 2018

Snow pushed back to Wednesday night

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT IN EFFECT
    Issued: 11:31 AM PDT Thursday 20 September 2018

    Forecast Issued 11:00 AM PDT Thursday 20 September 2018 - Thursday: Rain. Amount 10 mm. Temperature steady near 12. UV index 1 or low. Thursday night: Rain at times heavy. Amount 15 to 25 mm. Temperature steady near 11. Friday: Periods of rain. Risk of a thunderstorm in the afternoon. Amount 10 to 15 mm. High 15. UV index 1 or low. Friday night: Periods of rain. Low 11. Saturday: Rain. High 16. Saturday night: Showers. Low 11. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20. Sunday night: Clear. Low 8. Monday: Sunny. High 21. Monday night: Clear. Low 7. Tuesday: Sunny. High 20. Tuesday night: Clear. Low 8. Wednesday: Sunny. High 20.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    13.2° C
    0.0 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.96 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    90 %
    Rain Rate
    3.8 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    13.2° C
    Heat Index
    13.2° C
    Dewpoint
    11.6° C
    UV
    0.8
    Solar
    84 W/m2
    Last Updated: 12:05:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    1.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    06:30
    Moon Phase
    Waxing gibbous (83% full)
    Civil Set
    19:53
    Day Length
    13:12:31
    Day High
    13.3° C @ 11:32 Tdy.
    Day Low
    11.7° C @ 07:28 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    3.8mm/hr @ 12:03 Tdy.
    Day High Barometer
    101.98 kPa @ 08:43 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.87 kPa @ 01:28 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    11.7° C @ 07:28 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    13.3° C @ 11:32 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 1.6km/h @ 05:10 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    178W/m2 @ 10:44 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    1.3 @ 11:17 Tdy.

While there does look to be a bit of snow coming starting Tuesday, and it is nearly guaranteed to be all white, the models are pushing back the main chunk of precipitation until Wednesday night and Thursday morning now.

I’ve found another great website with fast loading model forecast animations here:

(I recommend using the ‘JavaScript’ or ‘GIF’ buttons)

Here is Thursday morning Wednesday evening precipitation.

Upper level precip

It is likely to start as snow overnight Wednesday Wednesday afternoon and then switch to rain and looks like a possibility of some wind too. You can see the flags pointing up towards the Island from the Southwest in the image below.

low level temp and humid
The black line denotes 0C and hugs the coast. So we will once again be at the mercy of our local Valley effects and the whether a warmer wind blows in.

The week before Christmas looks like we might get into a Pineapple Express type situation. The models are saying it will stay around freezing, but I’m leaning more towards above the snow line. We won’t know for sure for a few days yet but I think we can be confident there will be active weather from this Thursday straight through Christmas.

And finally here is a shot from the Woodgrove bus stop of the moon in the morning sky. The clouds are a beautiful shade of mauve this morning.

the moon