Snow pushed back to Wednesday night

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Thursday 19 July 2018 - Thursday night: Partly cloudy. Windy early this evening. Low 11. Friday: Mainly cloudy. 30 percent chance of showers in the afternoon. High 21. UV index 5 or moderate. Friday night: Partly cloudy. Low 11. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 27. Saturday night: Clear. Low 11. Sunday: Sunny. High 33. Sunday night: Clear. Low 13. Monday: Sunny. High 35. Monday night: Clear. Low 14. Tuesday: Sunny. High 28. Tuesday night: Clear. Low 14. Wednesday: Sunny. High 27.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    14.7° C
    -0.1 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    102 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    SSW 3.4 km/h
    gusting 9.7 km/h
    Humidity
    81 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    14.7° C
    Heat Index
    14.7° C
    Dewpoint
    11.5° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 1:30:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    04:54
    Moon Phase
    First quarter (56% full)
    Civil Set
    21:55
    Day Length
    13:25:36
    Day High
    14.9° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low
    14.6° C @ 01:18 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    102.02 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    102 kPa @ 00:43 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    14.6° C @ 01:18 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    14.9° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 5.1km/h @ 01:25 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    0W/m2 @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

While there does look to be a bit of snow coming starting Tuesday, and it is nearly guaranteed to be all white, the models are pushing back the main chunk of precipitation until Wednesday night and Thursday morning now.

I’ve found another great website with fast loading model forecast animations here:

(I recommend using the ‘JavaScript’ or ‘GIF’ buttons)

Here is Thursday morning Wednesday evening precipitation.

Upper level precip

It is likely to start as snow overnight Wednesday Wednesday afternoon and then switch to rain and looks like a possibility of some wind too. You can see the flags pointing up towards the Island from the Southwest in the image below.

low level temp and humid
The black line denotes 0C and hugs the coast. So we will once again be at the mercy of our local Valley effects and the whether a warmer wind blows in.

The week before Christmas looks like we might get into a Pineapple Express type situation. The models are saying it will stay around freezing, but I’m leaning more towards above the snow line. We won’t know for sure for a few days yet but I think we can be confident there will be active weather from this Thursday straight through Christmas.

And finally here is a shot from the Woodgrove bus stop of the moon in the morning sky. The clouds are a beautiful shade of mauve this morning.

the moon