Fri. Feb 22nd, 2019

Snow clinging to higher elevations and South east island.

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 11:00 AM PST Friday 22 February 2019 - Friday: A few flurries or rain showers ending early this afternoon then a mix of sun and cloud. Local snowfall amount 2 cm. High 7. UV index 2 or low. Friday night: Becoming cloudy late this evening with flurries. Amount 2 cm. Low minus 3. Saturday: Flurries changing to rain showers and flurries near noon. High plus 4. UV index 1 or low. Saturday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of rain showers or flurries. Low minus 2. Sunday: Sunny. High 7. Sunday night: Clear. Low minus 5. Monday: Sunny. High plus 5. Monday night: Clear. Low minus 6. Tuesday: Periods of rain. High plus 4. Tuesday night: Periods of rain or snow. Low minus 1. Wednesday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of flurries or rain showers. High 6. Wednesday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low zero. Thursday: Cloudy. High 7.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    3.1° C
    0.9 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.05 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    96 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    3.1° C
    Heat Index
    3.1° C
    Dewpoint
    2.5° C
    UV
    1.2
    Solar
    312 W/m2
    Last Updated: 11:30:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    6.1 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    06:42
    Moon Phase
    Waning gibbous (86% full)
    Civil Set
    18:24
    Day Length
    12:32:40
    Day High
    4.2° C @ 00:53 Tdy.
    Day Low
    1.0° C @ 08:02 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    6.9mm/hr @ 07:06 Tdy.
    Day High Barometer
    101.64 kPa @ 00:13 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    100.88 kPa @ 07:14 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    -1.6° C @ 07:24 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    4.2° C @ 00:53 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 9.7km/h @ 04:45 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    318W/m2 @ 11:26 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    1.3 @ 11:19 Tdy.

Much like last week, the models seem to be backing off on snow in our little Valley.
Here is the latest forecast for accumuluations between Thursday and Friday afternoon.

20131218-070952.jpg

Here is the same image zoomed in to the Island. You can see that our Valley is noticeably excluded from the festive colours of snowfall. We are not totally skunked, the ever so faint green shows it expects a trace of snow, much like we had last week.

Where will there actually be snow?20131218-072044.jpg

The hump and Sutton pass look to be a sure thing, the Hump will likely get wet snow in the air more than on the road, but the model also shows significant (in blue) snowfall, up to 4 inches (remember this is an American model… Over 10cm) south of Nanaimo from what looks like Ladysmith all the way to the Malahat and into Duncan, Cowichan and Mill Bay.

So if you are driving to or from Victoria, please be aware. I may update this forecast later this morning after the morning forecasts have run.

Christmas itself looks green, but dry. The weekend looks wet. 🙂