Sat. Oct 19th, 2019

Snow clinging to higher elevations and South east island.

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Saturday 19 October 2019 - Saturday night: Showers ending early this evening then cloudy. Rain beginning before morning. Risk of a thunderstorm early this evening. Low 6. Sunday: Rain. High 10. Sunday night: Cloudy. 30 percent chance of showers in the evening. Rain beginning near midnight. Low 6. Monday: Rain. High 13. Monday night: Showers. Low 8. Tuesday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 13. Tuesday night: Cloudy periods. Low 6. Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 12. Wednesday night: Cloudy periods. Low plus 5. Thursday: Cloudy. High 12. Thursday night: Cloudy periods. Low 6. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 12.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    9.8° C
    -1.3 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.22 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0 km/h
    gusting 6 km/h
    Humidity
    88 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    9.8° C
    Heat Index
    9.8° C
    Dewpoint
    7.9° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 19:15:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Today's Almanac
    Rain since Midnight
    0.0 mm
    Continuous Rainfall (< 24hr gap)
    No Qualifying Rainfall mm
    Civil Rise
    07:12
    Moon Phase
    Last quarter (65% full)
    Civil Set
    18:54
    Day Length
    13:04:08
    Day High
    13.9° C @ 15:54 Tdy.
    Day Low
    6.8° C @ 07:48 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.22 kPa @ 19:14 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    100.27 kPa @ 04:44 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    5.2° C @ 07:21 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    13.9° C @ 15:54 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 10km/h @ 17:25 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    784W/m2 @ 13:37 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    2.1 @ 12:44 Tdy.

Much like last week, the models seem to be backing off on snow in our little Valley.
Here is the latest forecast for accumuluations between Thursday and Friday afternoon.

20131218-070952.jpg

Here is the same image zoomed in to the Island. You can see that our Valley is noticeably excluded from the festive colours of snowfall. We are not totally skunked, the ever so faint green shows it expects a trace of snow, much like we had last week.

Where will there actually be snow?20131218-072044.jpg

The hump and Sutton pass look to be a sure thing, the Hump will likely get wet snow in the air more than on the road, but the model also shows significant (in blue) snowfall, up to 4 inches (remember this is an American model… Over 10cm) south of Nanaimo from what looks like Ladysmith all the way to the Malahat and into Duncan, Cowichan and Mill Bay.

So if you are driving to or from Victoria, please be aware. I may update this forecast later this morning after the morning forecasts have run.

Christmas itself looks green, but dry. The weekend looks wet. 🙂