Fri. Dec 14th, 2018

Snow clinging to higher elevations and South east island.

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - WIND WARNING ENDED
    Issued: 9:32 PM PST Friday 14 December 2018

    Forecast Issued 9:33 PM PST Friday 14 December 2018 - Friday night: Becoming cloudy near midnight with 40 percent chance of showers overnight. Low plus 2. Saturday: Cloudy. 40 percent chance of showers in the morning. Rain beginning near noon. High 6. Saturday night: Rain. Temperature steady near plus 5. Sunday: Rain. High 6. Sunday night: Rain. Low 6. Monday: Rain. High 7. Monday night: Rain. Low 6. Tuesday: Rain. High 7. Tuesday night: Rain. Low 7. Wednesday: Rain. High 8. Wednesday night: Rain. Low plus 5. Thursday: Periods of rain. High 7.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    5.8° C
    -0.6 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    100.58 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    S 11.6 km/h
    gusting 24.1 km/h
    Humidity
    74 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    3.4° C
    Heat Index
    5.8° C
    Dewpoint
    1.6° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 21:45:00 PST
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    43.9 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    07:28
    Moon Phase
    First quarter (48% full)
    Civil Set
    16:59
    Day Length
    12:14:00
    Day High
    10.6° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low
    5.8° C @ 21:44 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    9.1mm/hr @ 08:02 Tdy.
    Day High Barometer
    100.58 kPa @ 21:44 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    99.05 kPa @ 14:44 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    0.3° C @ 17:37 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    10.6° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 39.7km/h @ 17:30 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    32W/m2 @ 14:11 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

Much like last week, the models seem to be backing off on snow in our little Valley.
Here is the latest forecast for accumuluations between Thursday and Friday afternoon.

20131218-070952.jpg

Here is the same image zoomed in to the Island. You can see that our Valley is noticeably excluded from the festive colours of snowfall. We are not totally skunked, the ever so faint green shows it expects a trace of snow, much like we had last week.

Where will there actually be snow?20131218-072044.jpg

The hump and Sutton pass look to be a sure thing, the Hump will likely get wet snow in the air more than on the road, but the model also shows significant (in blue) snowfall, up to 4 inches (remember this is an American model… Over 10cm) south of Nanaimo from what looks like Ladysmith all the way to the Malahat and into Duncan, Cowichan and Mill Bay.

So if you are driving to or from Victoria, please be aware. I may update this forecast later this morning after the morning forecasts have run.

Christmas itself looks green, but dry. The weekend looks wet. 🙂