Tue. Aug 21st, 2018

SHAKEOUT 10:17AM. Fog and sun to continue. Winter forecast, no El Niño. Moonrise.

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - SPECIAL AIR QUALITY STATEMENT IN EFFECT
    Issued: 9:22 PM PDT Monday 20 August 2018

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Monday 20 August 2018 - Monday night: Overcast. Widespread smoke. Low 11. Tuesday: Overcast. Widespread smoke. High 26. Humidex 31. UV index 3 or moderate. Tuesday night: Partly cloudy. Widespread smoke. Low 11. Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 27. Wednesday night: Cloudy periods. Low 12. Thursday: Sunny. High 23. Thursday night: Clear. Low 11. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 24. Friday night: Cloudy periods. Low 12. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20. Saturday night: Cloudy periods. Low 13. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 21.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    14.2° C
    -0.9 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.8 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    69 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    14.2° C
    Heat Index
    14.2° C
    Dewpoint
    8.6° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 2:50:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    05:44
    Moon Phase
    Waxing gibbous (79% full)
    Civil Set
    20:59
    Day Length
    13:22:16
    Day High
    17.2° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low
    14.2° C @ 02:48 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.8 kPa @ 02:14 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.75 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    14.2° C @ 02:48 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    17.2° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 0.0km/h @ 00:05 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    0W/m2 @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

Are you ready for the SHAKEOUT!? .

AT 10:17AM this morning don’t forget to practice your Earthquake response!

DROP , COVER. , and HOLD ON.

You can listen to The Peak which will be participating in the province wide drill and will notify you when the drill starts and stops. Do you have an emergency kit ready for an earthquake or Tsunami? Today is a good day to check your emergency supplies. Remember that in Port Alberni, if a major, Japan 2011 style (9.0+) earthquake strikes off our coast you would have as little as 5-10 minutes before a large Tsunami rumbled up the Inlet. Safe landmarks and gathering places above the maximum 10m Tsunami line around the Valley: McDonalds/CoOp on Johnson, Echo Centre, City Hall, Beaver Creek Market, and the Tseshaht Market.

Weather:
The only sign of active weather in the forecasts is towards the very end of next week when it looks like our ridge starts to break down. However, 3 days ago, that break down was going to happen on Monday. So as with all very long range forecasts, expect this one to change. In the short term, expect the foggy mornings and early afternoons to continue with clear late afternoons and evenings.

Moon:
Check out the moon tonight. It is set to rise at 5:38PM and you should see it a few minutes after that rising directly over Mt. Arrowsmith. Might make for a great picture.

Winter and El Niño:
Finally, yesterday Accuweather put out their winter forecast (December 1 to March 1) for Canada and they have predicted above normal temperatures for our part of the country with average snowfall.

The graphic they produced makes an interesting ‘bubble’ of colder than normal air in the prairies with the rest of the country above normal. They will have more detailed breakdowns soon which I will highlight if they prove interesting for us.

20131017-070222.jpg

Oh, last week I also got the latest report from the NOAA on the status of the El Niño/La Niña cycle (known as ENSO). This report would have informed the Accuweather winter forecast. The models are predicting a continued Neutral environment meaning neither warm El Niño or cooler La Niña conditions in the Equatorial Pacific. Considering El Ninos usually usually give us warmer than average temperatures, it is interesting the Accuweather still expects warmer temperatures without an El Niño present. Many factors can cause this though.