Sun. Nov 18th, 2018

Not just us in the Fog – Warm then Rain coming Wednesday – First Zero Snowpack?

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PST Saturday 17 November 2018 - Saturday night: Clear. Fog patches developing overnight. Wind up to 15 km/h. Low minus 2. Wind chill minus 4 overnight. Sunday: Sunny. Fog patches dissipating in the morning. High 10. UV index 1 or low. Sunday night: Clear. Fog patches overnight. Wind up to 15 km/h. Low minus 1. Wind chill minus 3 overnight. Monday: Sunny. High 8. Monday night: Clear. Low plus 1. Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 7. Tuesday night: Periods of rain. Low plus 1. Wednesday: Rain. High 8. Wednesday night: Rain. Low 6. Thursday: Rain. High 10. Thursday night: Rain. Low plus 5. Friday: Rain. High 9.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    6.1° C
    -1.9 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    102.61 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    NNE 0.1 km/h
    gusting 4.8 km/h
    Humidity
    84 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    6.1° C
    Heat Index
    6.1° C
    Dewpoint
    3.6° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 17:15:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.3 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    06:56
    Moon Phase
    First quarter (73% full)
    Civil Set
    17:11
    Day Length
    12:04:14
    Day High
    10.3° C @ 15:07 Tdy.
    Day Low
    1.9° C @ 04:38 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    102.87 kPa @ 08:58 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    102.61 kPa @ 15:43 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    1.5° C @ 02:24 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    10.3° C @ 15:07 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 6.0km/h @ 17:00 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    482W/m2 @ 12:21 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    1.3 @ 11:59 Tdy.

Don’t worry, it’s not just us in the Fog.  Here is the scene just now at VIU looking down the hill towards Nanaimo.

IMG_5734It’s quite the fog bank down there!

This was more like how we all remember the weekend that just past though!

IMG_5722Beautiful, blue, and warm.

We should get back to that this afternoon and Tuesday afternoon as well.

Unfortunately, or perhaps fortunately depending on how it falls on the mountains, rain is finally coming in our forecast starting around 10AM Wednesday morning and lasting through the day.

wa_pcp3.66.0000-2

 

 

 

Accumulations will be in the 16mm range.

The model is not showing any snow in the mountains, which means this will effectively wash away anything that is still up there.

Rain accumulation 24hr 5AM Wed-Thurs
Rain accumulation 24hr 5AM Wed-Thurs
Snow accumulation 24hr 5AM Wed-Thurs
Snow accumulation 24hr 5AM Wed-Thurs

That’s not what we were hoping for.

I think we may have to seriously consider the possibility that there will be zero snowpack on the South Island.  The long range forecasts do not show any kind of cold air in our area.

Screen Shot 2015-03-09 at 8.33.39 AM

 

 

 

Can we really go an entire winter season with no snowpack?  It’s a hard thing to imagine.  Our neighbours on the south Island are going to be having a very hard time if we have a hot summer (which is predicted) and salmonid stocks on the south Island and other wildlife are going to be struggling as well.