Not just us in the Fog – Warm then Rain coming Wednesday – First Zero Snowpack?

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PST Friday 23 February 2018 - Friday night: A few flurries and rain showers ending near midnight then clearing. Low minus 3. Saturday: Sunny. Increasing cloudiness in the afternoon then 60 percent chance of showers late in the afternoon. High 7. Saturday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of rain showers or flurries. Low zero. Sunday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of rain showers or flurries. High 7. Sunday night: Cloudy with 40 percent chance of rain showers or flurries. Low minus 2. Monday: Cloudy. High 8. Monday night: Cloudy with 40 percent chance of showers. Low plus 1. Tuesday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 8. Tuesday night: Periods of rain. Low plus 2. Wednesday: Rain. High 7. Wednesday night: Rain or snow. Low plus 1. Thursday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 7.

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    N 49° 14' 46.1" :: W 124° 47' 60" at 30 m Google View

Don’t worry, it’s not just us in the Fog.  Here is the scene just now at VIU looking down the hill towards Nanaimo.

IMG_5734It’s quite the fog bank down there!

This was more like how we all remember the weekend that just past though!

IMG_5722Beautiful, blue, and warm.

We should get back to that this afternoon and Tuesday afternoon as well.

Unfortunately, or perhaps fortunately depending on how it falls on the mountains, rain is finally coming in our forecast starting around 10AM Wednesday morning and lasting through the day.

wa_pcp3.66.0000-2

 

 

 

Accumulations will be in the 16mm range.

The model is not showing any snow in the mountains, which means this will effectively wash away anything that is still up there.

Rain accumulation 24hr 5AM Wed-Thurs
Rain accumulation 24hr 5AM Wed-Thurs
Snow accumulation 24hr 5AM Wed-Thurs
Snow accumulation 24hr 5AM Wed-Thurs

That’s not what we were hoping for.

I think we may have to seriously consider the possibility that there will be zero snowpack on the South Island.  The long range forecasts do not show any kind of cold air in our area.

Screen Shot 2015-03-09 at 8.33.39 AM

 

 

 

Can we really go an entire winter season with no snowpack?  It’s a hard thing to imagine.  Our neighbours on the south Island are going to be having a very hard time if we have a hot summer (which is predicted) and salmonid stocks on the south Island and other wildlife are going to be struggling as well.