Tue. Jul 16th, 2019

Not just us in the Fog – Warm then Rain coming Wednesday – First Zero Snowpack?

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Monday 15 July 2019 - Monday night: Mainly cloudy. 40 percent chance of showers early this evening with risk of thunderstorms. Low 15. Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud. 30 percent chance of showers in the morning. High 25. Humidex 27. UV index 8 or very high. Tuesday night: Cloudy. Rain beginning in the evening. Low 14. Wednesday: Periods of rain. High 21. Wednesday night: Cloudy periods with 30 percent chance of showers. Low 9. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20. Thursday night: Cloudy periods. Low 12. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 21. Friday night: Cloudy periods. Low 11. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 21. Saturday night: Cloudy periods. Low 12. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 22.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    15.6° C
    -0.2 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.65 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0 km/h
    gusting 0 km/h
    Humidity
    91 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    15.6° C
    Heat Index
    15.6° C
    Dewpoint
    14.1° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 2:55:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Today's Almanac
    Rain since Midnight
    0.0 mm
    Continuous Rainfall (< 24hr gap)
    1.5 mm since
    July 15, 2019 00:07
    Civil Rise
    04:49
    Moon Phase
    Full (100% full)
    Civil Set
    22:00
    Day Length
    13:25:19
    Day High
    16.7° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low
    15.5° C @ 02:27 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.7 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.65 kPa @ 02:44 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    15.5° C @ 02:27 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    16.7° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 0km/h @ 01:20 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    0W/m2 @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

Don’t worry, it’s not just us in the Fog.  Here is the scene just now at VIU looking down the hill towards Nanaimo.

IMG_5734It’s quite the fog bank down there!

This was more like how we all remember the weekend that just past though!

IMG_5722Beautiful, blue, and warm.

We should get back to that this afternoon and Tuesday afternoon as well.

Unfortunately, or perhaps fortunately depending on how it falls on the mountains, rain is finally coming in our forecast starting around 10AM Wednesday morning and lasting through the day.

wa_pcp3.66.0000-2

 

 

 

Accumulations will be in the 16mm range.

The model is not showing any snow in the mountains, which means this will effectively wash away anything that is still up there.

Rain accumulation 24hr 5AM Wed-Thurs
Rain accumulation 24hr 5AM Wed-Thurs
Snow accumulation 24hr 5AM Wed-Thurs
Snow accumulation 24hr 5AM Wed-Thurs

That’s not what we were hoping for.

I think we may have to seriously consider the possibility that there will be zero snowpack on the South Island.  The long range forecasts do not show any kind of cold air in our area.

Screen Shot 2015-03-09 at 8.33.39 AM

 

 

 

Can we really go an entire winter season with no snowpack?  It’s a hard thing to imagine.  Our neighbours on the south Island are going to be having a very hard time if we have a hot summer (which is predicted) and salmonid stocks on the south Island and other wildlife are going to be struggling as well.