Sun. Aug 19th, 2018

Not just us in the Fog – Warm then Rain coming Wednesday – First Zero Snowpack?

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - SPECIAL AIR QUALITY STATEMENT IN EFFECT
    Issued: 3:34 PM PDT Saturday 18 August 2018

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Saturday 18 August 2018 - Saturday night: Clear. Local smoke. Low 11. Sunday: Sunny. Local smoke. High 33. Humidex 36. UV index 7 or high. Sunday night: Clear. Local smoke. Low 12. Monday: Sunny. High 34. Monday night: Clear. Low 12. Tuesday: Sunny. High 34. Tuesday night: Clear. Low 13. Wednesday: Sunny. High 24. Wednesday night: Cloudy periods. Low 14. Thursday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 21. Thursday night: Cloudy periods. Low 13. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    22.3° C
    -1.7 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.82 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    56 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    22.3° C
    Heat Index
    22.3° C
    Dewpoint
    13.1° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 20:40:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    05:39
    Moon Phase
    First quarter (59% full)
    Civil Set
    21:05
    Day Length
    13:22:59
    Day High
    29.8° C @ 15:23 Tdy.
    Day Low
    11.7° C @ 06:30 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    102.42 kPa @ 07:58 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.79 kPa @ 19:44 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    11.7° C @ 06:30 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    29.8° C @ 15:23 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 16.3km/h @ 16:05 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    1220W/m2 @ 13:26 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    7.8 @ 13:25 Tdy.

Don’t worry, it’s not just us in the Fog.  Here is the scene just now at VIU looking down the hill towards Nanaimo.

IMG_5734It’s quite the fog bank down there!

This was more like how we all remember the weekend that just past though!

IMG_5722Beautiful, blue, and warm.

We should get back to that this afternoon and Tuesday afternoon as well.

Unfortunately, or perhaps fortunately depending on how it falls on the mountains, rain is finally coming in our forecast starting around 10AM Wednesday morning and lasting through the day.

wa_pcp3.66.0000-2

 

 

 

Accumulations will be in the 16mm range.

The model is not showing any snow in the mountains, which means this will effectively wash away anything that is still up there.

Rain accumulation 24hr 5AM Wed-Thurs
Rain accumulation 24hr 5AM Wed-Thurs
Snow accumulation 24hr 5AM Wed-Thurs
Snow accumulation 24hr 5AM Wed-Thurs

That’s not what we were hoping for.

I think we may have to seriously consider the possibility that there will be zero snowpack on the South Island.  The long range forecasts do not show any kind of cold air in our area.

Screen Shot 2015-03-09 at 8.33.39 AM

 

 

 

Can we really go an entire winter season with no snowpack?  It’s a hard thing to imagine.  Our neighbours on the south Island are going to be having a very hard time if we have a hot summer (which is predicted) and salmonid stocks on the south Island and other wildlife are going to be struggling as well.