Sun. Feb 17th, 2019

Not just us in the Fog – Warm then Rain coming Wednesday – First Zero Snowpack?

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 05:00 AM PST Sunday 17 February 2019 - Sunday: Clearing this morning. Fog patches dissipating this morning. High plus 5. UV index 2 or low. Sunday night: A few clouds. Wind up to 15 km/h. Low minus 4. Wind chill minus 6 overnight. Monday: Increasing cloudiness. High plus 3. UV index 2 or low. Monday night: Cloudy periods. Low minus 1. Tuesday: Flurries or rain showers. High plus 5. Tuesday night: Periods of snow. Low minus 3. Wednesday: Sunny. High 6. Wednesday night: Clear. Low minus 5. Thursday: Sunny. High 6. Thursday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of flurries. Low minus 1. Friday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of flurries or rain showers. High plus 5. Friday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of rain showers or flurries. Low zero. Saturday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of flurries or rain showers. High 6.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    -0.5° C
    0.5 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    102.3 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    99 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    -0.5° C
    Heat Index
    -0.5° C
    Dewpoint
    -0.6° C
    UV
    0.6
    Solar
    124 W/m2
    Last Updated: 9:25:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    06:51
    Moon Phase
    Waxing gibbous (95% full)
    Civil Set
    18:16
    Day Length
    12:33:12
    Day High
    0.4° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low
    -1.2° C @ 05:48 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    102.3 kPa @ 09:14 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.51 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    -1.2° C @ 05:48 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    0.4° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 0.5km/h @ 04:30 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    174W/m2 @ 09:13 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.6 @ 09:12 Tdy.

Don’t worry, it’s not just us in the Fog.  Here is the scene just now at VIU looking down the hill towards Nanaimo.

IMG_5734It’s quite the fog bank down there!

This was more like how we all remember the weekend that just past though!

IMG_5722Beautiful, blue, and warm.

We should get back to that this afternoon and Tuesday afternoon as well.

Unfortunately, or perhaps fortunately depending on how it falls on the mountains, rain is finally coming in our forecast starting around 10AM Wednesday morning and lasting through the day.

wa_pcp3.66.0000-2

 

 

 

Accumulations will be in the 16mm range.

The model is not showing any snow in the mountains, which means this will effectively wash away anything that is still up there.

Rain accumulation 24hr 5AM Wed-Thurs
Rain accumulation 24hr 5AM Wed-Thurs
Snow accumulation 24hr 5AM Wed-Thurs
Snow accumulation 24hr 5AM Wed-Thurs

That’s not what we were hoping for.

I think we may have to seriously consider the possibility that there will be zero snowpack on the South Island.  The long range forecasts do not show any kind of cold air in our area.

Screen Shot 2015-03-09 at 8.33.39 AM

 

 

 

Can we really go an entire winter season with no snowpack?  It’s a hard thing to imagine.  Our neighbours on the south Island are going to be having a very hard time if we have a hot summer (which is predicted) and salmonid stocks on the south Island and other wildlife are going to be struggling as well.