September 23, 2020

Record Thanksgiving Weekend and Forecast ping pong…

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 05:00 AM PDT Wednesday 23 September 2020 - Wednesday: Rain. Amount 15 to 25 mm. Becoming windy late this morning. High 19. UV index 1 or low. Wednesday night: Showers. Amount 10 to 15 mm. Windy early this evening. Low 12. Thursday: Showers. Amount 10 to 15 mm. High 16. UV index 1 or low. Thursday night: Showers. Low 11. Friday: Periods of rain. High 18. Friday night: Rain. Low 10. Saturday: Periods of rain. High 20. Saturday night: Rain. Low 11. Sunday: Rain. High 17. Sunday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low 12. Monday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 18. Monday night: Cloudy periods. Low 11. Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 21.

First… look! its the moon and Jupiter!

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Another beautiful clear cool morning.

The short term forecast remains beautiful and warm. With temps likely breaking records starting today through Monday.
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Today’s record: 20.7C (2001)
Tomorrow: 21.6C (1998)
Sunday: 21.3C (2000)
Monday: 20.8 (1996)
Tuesday: 23.0C (1996)

Long Range, It’s still forecast ping pong these days with the GFS model. Yesterday’s 0Z (4PM) run of the short and long range forecast had a grand total of 5mm of precipitation between now and the 20th.

On last nights 6Z (10PM) run it’s as if we went into another universe… It predicted 140mm.

I won’t bother putting up the images since it is most likely going to change again with the 12z (4am) run that should be out soon.

The important thing, however, is that the rain has now officially crept into the short term 7 day for next Friday. Nothing significant (13mm) so far, but its better than nothing and does look like a shift in our dominant high pressure pattern.

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