Wed. Aug 22nd, 2018

Record Thanksgiving Weekend and Forecast ping pong…

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - SPECIAL AIR QUALITY STATEMENT IN EFFECT
    Issued: 9:31 PM PDT Tuesday 21 August 2018

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Tuesday 21 August 2018 - Tuesday night: Partly cloudy. Widespread smoke. Low 12. Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud. Widespread smoke becoming local smoke near noon. High 31. Humidex 34. UV index 7 or high. Wednesday night: Partly cloudy. Local smoke. Low 12. Thursday: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. High 23. Thursday night: Cloudy periods with 30 percent chance of showers. Low 12. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 22. Friday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low 12. Saturday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 20. Saturday night: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. Low 13. Sunday: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. High 18. Sunday night: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. Low 11. Monday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    21.7° C
    -1.8 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.44 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    48 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    21.7° C
    Heat Index
    21.7° C
    Dewpoint
    10.2° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 22:20:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    05:44
    Moon Phase
    Waxing gibbous (85% full)
    Civil Set
    20:59
    Day Length
    13:22:16
    Day High
    33.3° C @ 16:03 Tdy.
    Day Low
    11.6° C @ 06:16 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.91 kPa @ 08:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.39 kPa @ 17:44 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    11.6° C @ 06:16 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    33.3° C @ 16:03 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 13.2km/h @ 17:00 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    705W/m2 @ 14:18 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    2.7 @ 13:01 Tdy.

First… look! its the moon and Jupiter!

20121005-071328.jpg

Another beautiful clear cool morning.

The short term forecast remains beautiful and warm. With temps likely breaking records starting today through Monday.
20121005-072911.jpg

Today’s record: 20.7C (2001)
Tomorrow: 21.6C (1998)
Sunday: 21.3C (2000)
Monday: 20.8 (1996)
Tuesday: 23.0C (1996)

Long Range, It’s still forecast ping pong these days with the GFS model. Yesterday’s 0Z (4PM) run of the short and long range forecast had a grand total of 5mm of precipitation between now and the 20th.

On last nights 6Z (10PM) run it’s as if we went into another universe… It predicted 140mm.

I won’t bother putting up the images since it is most likely going to change again with the 12z (4am) run that should be out soon.

The important thing, however, is that the rain has now officially crept into the short term 7 day for next Friday. Nothing significant (13mm) so far, but its better than nothing and does look like a shift in our dominant high pressure pattern.

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