Sun. Nov 18th, 2018

Record Thanksgiving Weekend and Forecast ping pong…

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PST Saturday 17 November 2018 - Saturday night: Clear. Fog patches developing overnight. Wind up to 15 km/h. Low minus 2. Wind chill minus 4 overnight. Sunday: Sunny. Fog patches dissipating in the morning. High 10. UV index 1 or low. Sunday night: Clear. Fog patches overnight. Wind up to 15 km/h. Low minus 1. Wind chill minus 3 overnight. Monday: Sunny. High 8. Monday night: Clear. Low plus 1. Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 7. Tuesday night: Periods of rain. Low plus 1. Wednesday: Rain. High 8. Wednesday night: Rain. Low 6. Thursday: Rain. High 10. Thursday night: Rain. Low plus 5. Friday: Rain. High 9.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    5.4° C
    -1.7 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    102.61 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    ESE 3.7 km/h
    gusting 4.8 km/h
    Humidity
    89 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    5.4° C
    Heat Index
    5.4° C
    Dewpoint
    3.7° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 17:40:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.3 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    06:56
    Moon Phase
    First quarter (73% full)
    Civil Set
    17:11
    Day Length
    12:04:14
    Day High
    10.3° C @ 15:07 Tdy.
    Day Low
    1.9° C @ 04:38 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    102.87 kPa @ 08:58 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    102.61 kPa @ 17:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    1.5° C @ 02:24 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    10.3° C @ 15:07 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 6.0km/h @ 17:00 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    482W/m2 @ 12:21 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    1.3 @ 11:59 Tdy.

First… look! its the moon and Jupiter!

20121005-071328.jpg

Another beautiful clear cool morning.

The short term forecast remains beautiful and warm. With temps likely breaking records starting today through Monday.
20121005-072911.jpg

Today’s record: 20.7C (2001)
Tomorrow: 21.6C (1998)
Sunday: 21.3C (2000)
Monday: 20.8 (1996)
Tuesday: 23.0C (1996)

Long Range, It’s still forecast ping pong these days with the GFS model. Yesterday’s 0Z (4PM) run of the short and long range forecast had a grand total of 5mm of precipitation between now and the 20th.

On last nights 6Z (10PM) run it’s as if we went into another universe… It predicted 140mm.

I won’t bother putting up the images since it is most likely going to change again with the 12z (4am) run that should be out soon.

The important thing, however, is that the rain has now officially crept into the short term 7 day for next Friday. Nothing significant (13mm) so far, but its better than nothing and does look like a shift in our dominant high pressure pattern.

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