Tue. Jul 16th, 2019

Rainy weekend over – Station nearing California destination

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Monday 15 July 2019 - Monday night: Mainly cloudy. 40 percent chance of showers early this evening with risk of thunderstorms. Low 15. Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud. 30 percent chance of showers in the morning. High 25. Humidex 27. UV index 8 or very high. Tuesday night: Cloudy. Rain beginning in the evening. Low 14. Wednesday: Periods of rain. High 21. Wednesday night: Cloudy periods with 30 percent chance of showers. Low 9. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20. Thursday night: Cloudy periods. Low 12. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 21. Friday night: Cloudy periods. Low 11. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 21. Saturday night: Cloudy periods. Low 12. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 22.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    15.7° C
    0.2 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.65 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0 km/h
    gusting 0 km/h
    Humidity
    91 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    15.7° C
    Heat Index
    15.7° C
    Dewpoint
    14.3° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 3:25:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Today's Almanac
    Rain since Midnight
    0.0 mm
    Continuous Rainfall (< 24hr gap)
    1.5 mm since
    July 15, 2019 00:07
    Civil Rise
    04:49
    Moon Phase
    Full (100% full)
    Civil Set
    22:00
    Day Length
    13:25:19
    Day High
    16.7° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low
    15.5° C @ 02:27 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.7 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.65 kPa @ 03:14 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    15.5° C @ 02:27 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    16.7° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 0km/h @ 01:20 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    0W/m2 @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

The last 48 hours have certainly felt the wettest since fall began.

Alberni Elementary got over 60mm of rain between Friday and Monday morning.

The Environment Canada station at the Airport got 93mm.

Not too shabby!

Of course, my station stayed perfectly dry because it is in a box in some delivery depot in Oakland California, but I’m not upset about that at all. 🙂

The good news is that the heavy rain is coming to an end. There will be showers today and tomorrow and Wednesday but nothing like the weekend. The next shot comes Wednesday night into Thursday.

After that, it gets interesting. Both the GFS and Euro models are saying the winds will shift to the north and its going to cool down a bunch next weekend.

Here is the Euro model for next Monday, a strong high has taken over and cold is pushing in from the NorthEast.

20121119-072907.jpg

See how the dashed lines bulge out towards Hawaii? That’s the cold upper atmosphere air pushing out… It’s confirmed by the GFS. I’ve circled where the GFS shows the surface winds will be blowing strongly from the NorthEast next Monday and Tuesday.

20121119-073523.jpg

It also has temperatures below -10C! Brr! Don’t put too much stock in the temps at this point but there is no doubt that wind will be brisk. Is this our first true shot at snowy weather? It’s just past the more sure 7 day window, but is close. If the models hold for a couple more days then we shall see.

…..

My station should be delivered to Davis in Hayward California today. It’s only a few miles away in Oakland.

20121119-073916.jpg