Tue. Dec 11th, 2018

Rainy weekend over – Station nearing California destination

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 05:00 AM PST Tuesday 11 December 2018 - Tuesday: Rain. Amount 15 to 25 mm. High 7. Tuesday night: Cloudy with 40 percent chance of showers early this evening then partly cloudy. Fog patches developing after midnight. Low plus 1. Wednesday: Mainly cloudy. 40 percent chance of showers in the morning. Rain beginning in the morning. Fog patches dissipating in the morning. Amount 10 to 15 mm. High 6. Wednesday night: Periods of rain. Low 6. Thursday: Periods of rain. High 6. Thursday night: Periods of rain. Low plus 5. Friday: Rain. High 8. Friday night: Rain. Low 6. Saturday: Rain. High 8. Saturday night: Rain. Low 7. Sunday: Rain. High 9. Sunday night: Rain. Low 7. Monday: Rain. High 9.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    3.4° C
    0.2 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    100.09 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    NW 0.0 km/h
    gusting 1.6 km/h
    Humidity
    100 %
    Rain Rate
    1.8 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    3.4° C
    Heat Index
    3.4° C
    Dewpoint
    3.4° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    14 W/m2
    Last Updated: 10:10:00 PST
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    35.6 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    07:25
    Moon Phase
    Waxing crescent (18% full)
    Civil Set
    16:59
    Day Length
    12:12:35
    Day High
    5.8° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low
    3.2° C @ 07:47 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    8.9mm/hr @ 07:16 Tdy.
    Day High Barometer
    101.45 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    100.09 kPa @ 09:59 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    1.5° C @ 08:47 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    5.8° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 3.8km/h @ 06:20 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    25W/m2 @ 09:52 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

The last 48 hours have certainly felt the wettest since fall began.

Alberni Elementary got over 60mm of rain between Friday and Monday morning.

The Environment Canada station at the Airport got 93mm.

Not too shabby!

Of course, my station stayed perfectly dry because it is in a box in some delivery depot in Oakland California, but I’m not upset about that at all. 🙂

The good news is that the heavy rain is coming to an end. There will be showers today and tomorrow and Wednesday but nothing like the weekend. The next shot comes Wednesday night into Thursday.

After that, it gets interesting. Both the GFS and Euro models are saying the winds will shift to the north and its going to cool down a bunch next weekend.

Here is the Euro model for next Monday, a strong high has taken over and cold is pushing in from the NorthEast.

20121119-072907.jpg

See how the dashed lines bulge out towards Hawaii? That’s the cold upper atmosphere air pushing out… It’s confirmed by the GFS. I’ve circled where the GFS shows the surface winds will be blowing strongly from the NorthEast next Monday and Tuesday.

20121119-073523.jpg

It also has temperatures below -10C! Brr! Don’t put too much stock in the temps at this point but there is no doubt that wind will be brisk. Is this our first true shot at snowy weather? It’s just past the more sure 7 day window, but is close. If the models hold for a couple more days then we shall see.

…..

My station should be delivered to Davis in Hayward California today. It’s only a few miles away in Oakland.

20121119-073916.jpg