August 5, 2020

Rain tonight. Serious rain, and wind, Friday/Saturday

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 05:00 AM PDT Wednesday 05 August 2020 - Wednesday: Sunny. Increasing cloudiness this afternoon then showers. Fog patches dissipating this morning. High 26. Humidex 29. UV index 8 or very high. Wednesday night: Rain. Low 15. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud with 40 percent chance of showers. High 21. UV index 6 or high. Thursday night: Cloudy periods with 40 percent chance of showers. Low 11. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud with 40 percent chance of showers. High 19. Friday night: Cloudy. Low 11. Saturday: Clearing. High 24. Saturday night: Clear. Low 11. Sunday: Sunny. High 28. Sunday night: Cloudy periods. Low 13. Monday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 22. Monday night: Cloudy periods. Low 13. Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 21.

We haven’t had a good rainstorm since November… And really even since the end of September.

When we’ve managed to get any precipitation at all, it has been in the form of relatively weak fronts moving over the Island.

We will get another one of those weak fronts tonight.

20140109-065251.jpg

The rain should start in the afternoon and last into the evening before clearing some Friday morning. Just a few millimetres are expected.

On Friday night the main and really only event of the official Monsoon season will happen.
20140109-065302.jpg

Now that looks like a good old fashioned rain and possibly wind storm! Models show we should get between 30 and 60mm of rain over a 24hr period.

Expect the rain to begin mid afternoon, peak around midnight and be done before sunrise Saturday. There will also likely be some wind with this storm, maybe into the 50-60kph range for the Valley but it doesn’t look too bad. It might be worse on the East Coast. I would expect ferry traffic to be affected.

The more wind we get, the warmer it will be too. Puget Sound and Western Washington is going to get more wind, but is likely to see 10-12C. We should get to around 7C here. Not too shabby. The short term record is 10.8C.

20140109-071425.jpg