Thu. Mar 21st, 2019

Progressively stormer week ahead

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Thursday 21 March 2019 - Thursday night: Increasing cloudiness early this evening. Low 6. Friday: Cloudy. Rain beginning late in the afternoon. High 13. UV index 2 or low. Friday night: Showers. Low plus 5. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud with 60 percent chance of showers. High 14. Saturday night: Clear. Low plus 2. Sunday: Sunny. High 15. Sunday night: Clear. Low plus 2. Monday: Increasing cloudiness. High 13. Monday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low plus 5. Tuesday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 12. Tuesday night: Cloudy periods. Low plus 4. Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 13.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    16.4° C
    -1.0 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.54 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    SSW 16.1 km/h
    gusting 27.4 km/h
    Humidity
    56 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    16.4° C
    Heat Index
    16.4° C
    Dewpoint
    7.6° C
    UV
    1.2
    Solar
    567 W/m2
    Last Updated: 17:05:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    06:47
    Moon Phase
    Full (99% full)
    Civil Set
    20:06
    Day Length
    13:26:22
    Day High
    17.4° C @ 16:02 Tdy.
    Day Low
    2.1° C @ 07:32 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.79 kPa @ 08:58 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.35 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    2.1° C @ 07:32 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    17.4° C @ 16:02 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 16.8km/h @ 17:05 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    768W/m2 @ 14:58 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    3.3 @ 13:05 Tdy.

As I type this it’s starting to drizzle in Nanaimo… The same is coming to Port Alberni soon if it hasn’t already and the week ahead will have more and more wet stuff as we go.

It looks like we may have finally seen the last of the snow. This week is looking wet only.

Here is this mornings GFS model run:

20120326-074201.jpg

As you can see there is plenty of rain on the way.. In total the GFS is projecting almost 200mm of rain over the next 7 days… We will see if that pans out (it often overestimates) but what does seem clear is that we’re into a wet pattern with progressively stronger events as the week moves on.

The Thursday event looks like a real soaker in particular with rainfall warnings possible for us (>50mm) but keep an eye on Saturday for wind. It is showing a very strong low down to 98kPa on Saturday and a good shot of rain. As the time draws nearer and the forecasts surer, we will get a better idea of that event.

UMBRELLAS! DEPLOY! 🙂