Sun. Sep 23rd, 2018

Progressively stormer week ahead

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Saturday 22 September 2018 - Saturday night: Showers ending late this evening then mainly cloudy. Low 10. Sunday: Mainly cloudy. Clearing in the afternoon. High 18. UV index 4 or moderate. Sunday night: Clear. Increasing cloudiness after midnight. Fog patches developing overnight. Low 7. Monday: Sunny. High 20. Monday night: Clear. Low plus 5. Tuesday: Sunny. High 21. Tuesday night: Clear. Low 7. Wednesday: Sunny. High 22. Wednesday night: Clear. Low 9. Thursday: Sunny. High 20. Thursday night: Clear. Low 8. Friday: Sunny. High 19.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    12.2° C
    -0.1 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.6 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    SE 0.1 km/h
    gusting 3.2 km/h
    Humidity
    97 %
    Rain Rate
    1.3 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    12.2° C
    Heat Index
    12.2° C
    Dewpoint
    11.7° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 23:35:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    20.6 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    06:33
    Moon Phase
    Waxing gibbous (97% full)
    Civil Set
    19:49
    Day Length
    13:11:49
    Day High
    18.8° C @ 12:29 Tdy.
    Day Low
    12.2° C @ 23:30 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    24.9mm/hr @ 15:22 Tdy.
    Day High Barometer
    101.6 kPa @ 23:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    100.68 kPa @ 00:28 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    12.2° C @ 23:30 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    18.8° C @ 12:29 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 11.1km/h @ 10:45 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    1121W/m2 @ 12:27 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    4.7 @ 12:24 Tdy.

As I type this it’s starting to drizzle in Nanaimo… The same is coming to Port Alberni soon if it hasn’t already and the week ahead will have more and more wet stuff as we go.

It looks like we may have finally seen the last of the snow. This week is looking wet only.

Here is this mornings GFS model run:

20120326-074201.jpg

As you can see there is plenty of rain on the way.. In total the GFS is projecting almost 200mm of rain over the next 7 days… We will see if that pans out (it often overestimates) but what does seem clear is that we’re into a wet pattern with progressively stronger events as the week moves on.

The Thursday event looks like a real soaker in particular with rainfall warnings possible for us (>50mm) but keep an eye on Saturday for wind. It is showing a very strong low down to 98kPa on Saturday and a good shot of rain. As the time draws nearer and the forecasts surer, we will get a better idea of that event.

UMBRELLAS! DEPLOY! 🙂