Mon. May 20th, 2019

Progressively stormer week ahead

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 11:00 AM PDT Monday 20 May 2019 - Monday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 16. UV index 3 or moderate. Monday night: Cloudy with 40 percent chance of showers. Low 9. Tuesday: Clearing in the morning. High 23. UV index 7 or high. Tuesday night: Clear. Low 7. Wednesday: Sunny. High 25. Wednesday night: Clear. Low 9. Thursday: Sunny. High 25. Thursday night: Clear. Low 11. Friday: Sunny. High 20. Friday night: Clear. Low 10. Saturday: Sunny. High 22. Saturday night: Clear. Low 11. Sunday: Sunny. High 22.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    16.8° C
    0.7 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    100.61 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    SSW 12.9 km/h
    gusting 24.1 km/h
    Humidity
    57 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    16.8° C
    Heat Index
    16.8° C
    Dewpoint
    8.3° C
    UV
    2.4
    Solar
    310 W/m2
    Last Updated: 13:50:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    04:49
    Moon Phase
    Full (95% full)
    Civil Set
    21:43
    Day Length
    13:15:45
    Day High
    17.6° C @ 13:28 Tdy.
    Day Low
    11.7° C @ 01:21 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    100.71 kPa @ 00:43 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    100.6 kPa @ 12:44 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    11.7° C @ 01:21 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    17.6° C @ 13:28 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 16.1km/h @ 02:10 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    1209W/m2 @ 12:29 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    6.2 @ 12:28 Tdy.

As I type this it’s starting to drizzle in Nanaimo… The same is coming to Port Alberni soon if it hasn’t already and the week ahead will have more and more wet stuff as we go.

It looks like we may have finally seen the last of the snow. This week is looking wet only.

Here is this mornings GFS model run:

20120326-074201.jpg

As you can see there is plenty of rain on the way.. In total the GFS is projecting almost 200mm of rain over the next 7 days… We will see if that pans out (it often overestimates) but what does seem clear is that we’re into a wet pattern with progressively stronger events as the week moves on.

The Thursday event looks like a real soaker in particular with rainfall warnings possible for us (>50mm) but keep an eye on Saturday for wind. It is showing a very strong low down to 98kPa on Saturday and a good shot of rain. As the time draws nearer and the forecasts surer, we will get a better idea of that event.

UMBRELLAS! DEPLOY! 🙂