March 30, 2020

Pretty good week ahead!

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 05:00 AM PDT Monday 30 March 2020 - Monday: Showers ending this morning then mainly cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. Windy early this morning. High 8. UV index 3 or moderate. Monday night: Mainly cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low plus 1. Tuesday: Showers. High 8. UV index 1 or low. Tuesday night: Showers. Low plus 2. Wednesday: Sunny. High 11. Wednesday night: Cloudy periods. Low plus 1. Thursday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of flurries or rain showers. High 8. Thursday night: Clear. Low minus 2. Friday: Sunny. High 13. Friday night: Clear. Low zero. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 10. Saturday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low plus 2. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud with 30 percent chance of showers. High 12.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    4.6° C
    -0.1 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    99.72 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    S 11 km/h
    gusting 18 km/h
    Humidity
    93 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    1.9° C
    Heat Index
    4.6° C
    Dewpoint
    3.6° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 5:05:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Today's Almanac
    Rain since Midnight
    13.7 mm
    Continuous Rainfall (< 24hr gap)
    34.0 mm since
    March 28, 2020 00:03
    Civil Rise
    06:26
    Moon Phase
    First quarter (31% full)
    Civil Set
    20:21
    Day Length
    13:23:27
    Day High
    5.3° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low
    4.4° C @ 04:25 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    13.0mm/hr @ 02:45 Tdy.
    Day High Barometer
    100.04 kPa @ 00:14 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    99.58 kPa @ 02:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    -0.4° C @ 03:56 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    5.3° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 16km/h @ 04:00 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    0W/m2 @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

This mornings fog and clouds and chance for rain should burn off by noon. There will be a bit of fog every morning this week but we should get warmer and warmer as we go along.

This is going to be a transition week. The jet stream is predicted to go from this strong, pattern bringing with it cooler temperatures and chances for rain:
20130819-070224.jpg

To this, warped, and possibly more northerly and drier pattern by the weekend:
20130819-070322.jpg

Down here on the surface it will mean a high pressure ridge is going to try to sneak in on Wednesday:
20130819-070612.jpg

If the high is stronger than predicted, then it will likely be warmer on Wednesday and the rest of the week too. If the high is not as strong and doesn’t reach us, then we will probably feel cooler and might even get some showers.

By the weekend as you saw with the jet stream, it’s going to have a big kink in it. And that translates to a strong ridge of high pressure out over the central North Pacific.

20130819-071111.jpg

If that ridge ends up closer to us than the image predicts, then we could be in for an extended period of warm and dry weather. If it doesn’t we still might get some warm days, but perhaps things will be a little more variable as things roll down the slope from the north towards us. Either way though, a high that large if it comes to fruition is unlikely to budge (a blocking high) and so we will be stuck with whatever it gives us for quite a while.