Thu. Sep 20th, 2018

Pretty good week ahead!

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT IN EFFECT
    Issued: 05:42 AM PDT Thursday 20 September 2018

    Forecast Issued 05:00 AM PDT Thursday 20 September 2018 - Thursday: Cloudy. Rain beginning this morning. Amount 10 to 15 mm. High 14. UV index 1 or low. Thursday night: Rain. Amount 20 to 30 mm. Temperature steady near 12. Friday: Showers at times heavy. Risk of a thunderstorm late in the morning and early afternoon. Amount 25 mm. High 16. UV index 2 or low. Friday night: Showers. Low 11. Saturday: Rain. High 16. Saturday night: Showers. Low 11. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20. Sunday night: Clear. Low 8. Monday: Sunny. High 21. Monday night: Clear. Low 7. Tuesday: Sunny. High 20. Tuesday night: Clear. Low 8. Wednesday: Sunny. High 20.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    13.2° C
    0.5 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.93 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    SSE 0.0 km/h
    gusting 1.6 km/h
    Humidity
    89 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    13.2° C
    Heat Index
    13.2° C
    Dewpoint
    11.4° C
    UV
    0.9
    Solar
    119 W/m2
    Last Updated: 10:55:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    06:30
    Moon Phase
    Waxing gibbous (83% full)
    Civil Set
    19:53
    Day Length
    13:12:31
    Day High
    13.2° C @ 10:27 Tdy.
    Day Low
    11.7° C @ 07:28 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.98 kPa @ 08:43 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.87 kPa @ 01:28 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    11.7° C @ 07:28 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    13.2° C @ 10:27 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 1.6km/h @ 05:10 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    178W/m2 @ 10:44 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    1.2 @ 10:42 Tdy.

This mornings fog and clouds and chance for rain should burn off by noon. There will be a bit of fog every morning this week but we should get warmer and warmer as we go along.

This is going to be a transition week. The jet stream is predicted to go from this strong, pattern bringing with it cooler temperatures and chances for rain:
20130819-070224.jpg

To this, warped, and possibly more northerly and drier pattern by the weekend:
20130819-070322.jpg

Down here on the surface it will mean a high pressure ridge is going to try to sneak in on Wednesday:
20130819-070612.jpg

If the high is stronger than predicted, then it will likely be warmer on Wednesday and the rest of the week too. If the high is not as strong and doesn’t reach us, then we will probably feel cooler and might even get some showers.

By the weekend as you saw with the jet stream, it’s going to have a big kink in it. And that translates to a strong ridge of high pressure out over the central North Pacific.

20130819-071111.jpg

If that ridge ends up closer to us than the image predicts, then we could be in for an extended period of warm and dry weather. If it doesn’t we still might get some warm days, but perhaps things will be a little more variable as things roll down the slope from the north towards us. Either way though, a high that large if it comes to fruition is unlikely to budge (a blocking high) and so we will be stuck with whatever it gives us for quite a while.