Mon. Sep 16th, 2019

Pretty good week ahead!

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 11:00 AM PDT Monday 16 September 2019 - Monday: Mainly cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. High 17. UV index 4 or moderate. Monday night: Cloudy. 30 percent chance of showers this evening. Rain beginning near midnight. Low 12. Tuesday: Rain ending in the morning then cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. High 16. UV index 2 or low. Tuesday night: Cloudy with 70 percent chance of showers. Low 11. Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 21. Wednesday night: Cloudy periods. Low 9. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 19. Thursday night: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. Low 12. Friday: Cloudy. High 22. Friday night: Cloudy periods. Low 12. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 19. Saturday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low 12. Sunday: Cloudy. High 18.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    17.9° C
    -0.5 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    100.79 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    SSE 3 km/h
    gusting 10 km/h
    Humidity
    64 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    17.9° C
    Heat Index
    17.9° C
    Dewpoint
    11.0° C
    UV
    1.8
    Solar
    263 W/m2
    Last Updated: 15:05:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Today's Almanac
    Rain since Midnight
    0.0 mm
    Continuous Rainfall (< 24hr gap)
    30.2 mm since
    September 12, 2019 00:09
    Civil Rise
    06:23
    Moon Phase
    Waning gibbous (93% full)
    Civil Set
    20:03
    Day Length
    13:14:01
    Day High
    19.2° C @ 13:09 Tdy.
    Day Low
    9.6° C @ 02:35 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    100.98 kPa @ 09:13 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    100.77 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    9.6° C @ 02:35 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    19.2° C @ 13:09 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 8km/h @ 14:45 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    958W/m2 @ 12:22 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    4.9 @ 13:32 Tdy.

This mornings fog and clouds and chance for rain should burn off by noon. There will be a bit of fog every morning this week but we should get warmer and warmer as we go along.

This is going to be a transition week. The jet stream is predicted to go from this strong, pattern bringing with it cooler temperatures and chances for rain:
20130819-070224.jpg

To this, warped, and possibly more northerly and drier pattern by the weekend:
20130819-070322.jpg

Down here on the surface it will mean a high pressure ridge is going to try to sneak in on Wednesday:
20130819-070612.jpg

If the high is stronger than predicted, then it will likely be warmer on Wednesday and the rest of the week too. If the high is not as strong and doesn’t reach us, then we will probably feel cooler and might even get some showers.

By the weekend as you saw with the jet stream, it’s going to have a big kink in it. And that translates to a strong ridge of high pressure out over the central North Pacific.

20130819-071111.jpg

If that ridge ends up closer to us than the image predicts, then we could be in for an extended period of warm and dry weather. If it doesn’t we still might get some warm days, but perhaps things will be a little more variable as things roll down the slope from the north towards us. Either way though, a high that large if it comes to fruition is unlikely to budge (a blocking high) and so we will be stuck with whatever it gives us for quite a while.