Sun. Aug 19th, 2018

Potential Storm Clouds today. Hot Fall Fair!

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - SPECIAL AIR QUALITY STATEMENT IN EFFECT
    Issued: 3:34 PM PDT Saturday 18 August 2018

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Saturday 18 August 2018 - Saturday night: Clear. Local smoke. Low 11. Sunday: Sunny. Local smoke. High 33. Humidex 36. UV index 7 or high. Sunday night: Clear. Local smoke. Low 12. Monday: Sunny. High 34. Monday night: Clear. Low 12. Tuesday: Sunny. High 34. Tuesday night: Clear. Low 13. Wednesday: Sunny. High 24. Wednesday night: Cloudy periods. Low 14. Thursday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 21. Thursday night: Cloudy periods. Low 13. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    22.3° C
    -1.7 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.82 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    56 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    22.3° C
    Heat Index
    22.3° C
    Dewpoint
    13.1° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 20:40:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    05:39
    Moon Phase
    First quarter (59% full)
    Civil Set
    21:05
    Day Length
    13:22:59
    Day High
    29.8° C @ 15:23 Tdy.
    Day Low
    11.7° C @ 06:30 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    102.42 kPa @ 07:58 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.79 kPa @ 19:44 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    11.7° C @ 06:30 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    29.8° C @ 15:23 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 16.3km/h @ 16:05 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    1220W/m2 @ 13:26 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    7.8 @ 13:25 Tdy.

The fall fair starts tonight at 5! Compared to earlier this week, the forecast has flip flopped for the better! We’ve gone from potential rain and clouds all week to sun and heat!

Thursday – Thunder threat.

There has been a lot of thunderstorm activity in our region over the past few weeks (at least relatively for our region) and this evening looks like a bit more might come around.

There is severe weather slated for the Interior of BC and Washington and that unstable air will leak North into our region.

Here is the Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) forecast for this evening.. We will be just on the edges. Vancouver and Victoria and the East Island are the most likely places to see lightning starting around 2PM. This image is for 8PM when the potential is closest to the Alberni Valley.

20130905-090419.jpg

There will be potential for flooding in the Interior and Southern Alberta from the low that is creating this unstable weather. You can see the upper level (jetstream) low in the image below. It has been cutoff from the main jet further north.

20130905-070316.jpg

It will be lingering well into the weekend. So you might see that in your news casts.

Friday, Saturday, Sunday, sun after fog.

There is very little chance of showers after Friday. The most moisture we can expect to get will be from the fog and low cloud in the mornings, but things should clear up each day and give us perfect weather for the Fall Fair. I will be at the Transition Town booth in the big barn closest to Glenwood on Friday night and Saturday afternoon, so feel free to come over and say hi.

Next week dry?

The jetstream is quite strong right now, but it is to the North of us, allowing warmth and clearer skies to dominate.

The forecast has that remaining the case until Wednesday or Thursday when the jet slips south.

20130905-070717.jpg

But there is no forecast for a system to sweep in, so we shall see. As we saw with this week, forecasts change, sometimes a lot.

Welcome to Fall. 🙂