Fri. Feb 15th, 2019

Potential Storm Clouds today. Hot Fall Fair!

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 05:00 AM PST Friday 15 February 2019 - Friday: A few wet flurries changing to a few rain showers this afternoon and ending late this afternoon then cloudy with 60 percent chance of rain showers. Snowfall amount 2 cm. High plus 3. UV index 1 or low. Friday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of wet flurries. Temperature steady near plus 1. Saturday: Mainly cloudy. 60 percent chance of wet flurries changing to 60 percent chance of rain showers in the morning. High plus 5. UV index 1 or low. Saturday night: Clear. Low minus 4. Sunday: Sunny. High plus 5. Sunday night: Clear. Low minus 5. Monday: Sunny. High plus 4. Monday night: Increasing cloudiness. Low minus 2. Tuesday: Cloudy with 70 percent chance of flurries or rain showers. High plus 4. Tuesday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low zero. Wednesday: Cloudy. High 6. Wednesday night: Clear. Low minus 3. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. High plus 5.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    1.8° C
    0.8 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    100.16 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    99 %
    Rain Rate
    3.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    1.8° C
    Heat Index
    1.8° C
    Dewpoint
    1.6° C
    UV
    0.6
    Solar
    151 W/m2
    Last Updated: 10:45:00 PST
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    2.8 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    06:54
    Moon Phase
    Waxing gibbous (80% full)
    Civil Set
    18:12
    Day Length
    12:33:19
    Day High
    1.8° C @ 10:37 Tdy.
    Day Low
    0.4° C @ 02:06 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    5.1mm/hr @ 10:25 Tdy.
    Day High Barometer
    100.16 kPa @ 10:44 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    99.28 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    0.4° C @ 02:06 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    1.8° C @ 10:37 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 0.0km/h @ 00:05 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    172W/m2 @ 10:28 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.6 @ 10:42 Tdy.

The fall fair starts tonight at 5! Compared to earlier this week, the forecast has flip flopped for the better! We’ve gone from potential rain and clouds all week to sun and heat!

Thursday – Thunder threat.

There has been a lot of thunderstorm activity in our region over the past few weeks (at least relatively for our region) and this evening looks like a bit more might come around.

There is severe weather slated for the Interior of BC and Washington and that unstable air will leak North into our region.

Here is the Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) forecast for this evening.. We will be just on the edges. Vancouver and Victoria and the East Island are the most likely places to see lightning starting around 2PM. This image is for 8PM when the potential is closest to the Alberni Valley.

20130905-090419.jpg

There will be potential for flooding in the Interior and Southern Alberta from the low that is creating this unstable weather. You can see the upper level (jetstream) low in the image below. It has been cutoff from the main jet further north.

20130905-070316.jpg

It will be lingering well into the weekend. So you might see that in your news casts.

Friday, Saturday, Sunday, sun after fog.

There is very little chance of showers after Friday. The most moisture we can expect to get will be from the fog and low cloud in the mornings, but things should clear up each day and give us perfect weather for the Fall Fair. I will be at the Transition Town booth in the big barn closest to Glenwood on Friday night and Saturday afternoon, so feel free to come over and say hi.

Next week dry?

The jetstream is quite strong right now, but it is to the North of us, allowing warmth and clearer skies to dominate.

The forecast has that remaining the case until Wednesday or Thursday when the jet slips south.

20130905-070717.jpg

But there is no forecast for a system to sweep in, so we shall see. As we saw with this week, forecasts change, sometimes a lot.

Welcome to Fall. 🙂