Thu. Apr 25th, 2019

Possible snow tonight… next week is interesting

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Wednesday 24 April 2019 - Wednesday night: Clear. Low plus 2. Thursday: Sunny. Increasing cloudiness late in the morning. High 16. UV index 5 or moderate. Thursday night: Mainly cloudy. Clearing near midnight. Low plus 3. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 18. Friday night: Clear. Low plus 3. Saturday: Sunny. High 14. Saturday night: Clear. Low zero. Sunday: Sunny. High 17. Sunday night: Clear. Low plus 3. Monday: Sunny. High 15. Monday night: Clear. Low plus 4. Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 16.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    6.5° C
    -1.5 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    102.65 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    79 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    6.5° C
    Heat Index
    6.5° C
    Dewpoint
    3.1° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 0:40:00 PST
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    05:32
    Moon Phase
    Waning gibbous (65% full)
    Civil Set
    21:02
    Day Length
    13:17:10
    Day High
    7.4° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low
    6.5° C @ 00:36 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    102.65 kPa @ 00:14 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    102.64 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    6.5° C @ 00:36 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    7.4° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 0.0km/h @ 00:05 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    0W/m2 @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

We could have a small accumulation of snow tonight if the fogs sticks around and the temperature stays about where it is now. I wouldn’t expect any serious accumulation in town, but on Sutton Pass and other high areas there should be a significant amount that will fall before turning to mostly rain.

That said the forecast models, GFS, CMC and Euro really has us on the brink of snow with temperatures only barely above freezing all weekend… but I think we’ll probably still break out above the snow line and get a bunch of rain this weekend.

Next week it starts to get more interesting. We will have some persistently cold air, no major Arctic air, but definitely below freezing, and it is not slated to really warm up next weekend when a low splits off from Alaska and slides down the coast… it is those lows that seem to draw air in from the Interior and give lake effect snow to Parksville and Nanaimo, and sometimes us (but generally not nearly as much). Here is the GFS model…

This is precipitation for next Sunday (the 20th) night… notice the low right off of the West Coast that is tracking in a southerly direction.

And here is temperature for the same period… very obviously, cold enough for snow.

So keep your eyes open for that late next week.

We will be getting lots of rain between now and Tuesday.

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