Possible flurries tonight

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 05:00 AM PST Tuesday 20 February 2018 - Tuesday: Mainly cloudy. High plus 1. Tuesday night: Clearing this evening. Increasing cloudiness before morning. Low minus 8. Wednesday: Cloudy. Periods of snow beginning in the morning and ending late in the afternoon. Amount 2 cm. High plus 1. Wednesday night: Clear. Low minus 6. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. High plus 5. Thursday night: Periods of snow. Low minus 4. Friday: Periods of snow. High plus 4. Friday night: Cloudy. Low minus 2. Saturday: Cloudy with 40 percent chance of flurries or rain showers. High plus 5. Saturday night: Cloudy periods. Low minus 1. Sunday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 6. Sunday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of rain showers or flurries. Low minus 1. Monday: Cloudy. High 7.

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    N 49° 14' 46.1" :: W 124° 47' 60" at 30 m Google View

There is a weak system on its way for tonight that might give us some flurries once the sun goes down. The map below shows the first very light wave should hit around 5PM, the second stronger wave should hit between 7 and 9 PM.

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Neither will be hugely significant though. No more than around 10mm. It is chilly around the Island today, including here in Alberni at -1C at the Airport and 0C in town so expect a mix of wet flurries, possibly some sticking, and be careful on the Hump and Passes.

Saturday and Sunday are looking more widespread with up to 20mm showing in the models and still cool, no higher than 3 or 4C.

6 Replies to “Possible flurries tonight”

  1. Hey Chris, not sure if you watch the ECMWF model runs, but todays 12z was nice. Some good potential towards the middle and end of next week.

    1. I don’t seem to be able to find a good source for ECMWF runs. Where do you get it from.? I see on the UWash extended outlook its looking like our first real cool down on Wednesday. Hope it holds! I have also seen the monthly and seasonal forecasts seem to be trending cooler than normal and dry for this month but cooler and not so dry for Feb.

      1. try ecmwf.int then click on forcaats under the products, you can view north america on here.

        or try
        wunderground.com/wundermap

          1. Sorry, 1 more tip, on the wunderground link you have to scroll down on the right hand side, then select the blue sprocket looking tab, next to model data, and select ECMWF. You can view all kinds of great forecast data for western north America from there.

          2. awesome thanks monty! I have the .int link but it doesn’t work on my iPad which is what I use most of the time to post blogs… But that Wundermap is works like a charm!

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