February 15, 2011

Persistent borderline cold forecast

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PST Sunday 16 February 2020 - Sunday night: Partly cloudy. 40 percent chance of showers early this evening with risk of a thunderstorm. Fog patches developing after midnight. Low minus 2. Monday: A mix of sun and cloud. Fog patches dissipating in the morning. High 8. UV index 2 or low. Monday night: Partly cloudy. Low minus 1. Tuesday: Sunny. High 6. Tuesday night: Clear. Low minus 4. Wednesday: Sunny. High 8. Wednesday night: Cloudy periods. Low zero. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud with 60 percent chance of showers. High 9. Thursday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low plus 3. Friday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 8. Friday night: Periods of rain. Low plus 4. Saturday: Periods of rain. High 8.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    3.6° C
    -1.6 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    102.31 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0 km/h
    gusting 0 km/h
    Humidity
    89 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    3.6° C
    Heat Index
    3.6° C
    Dewpoint
    2.0° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 20:20:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Today's Almanac
    Rain since Midnight
    0.0 mm
    Continuous Rainfall (< 24hr gap)
    3.6 mm since
    February 15, 2020 00:02
    Civil Rise
    06:53
    Moon Phase
    Last quarter (37% full)
    Civil Set
    18:14
    Day Length
    12:33:16
    Day High
    9.6° C @ 14:13 Tdy.
    Day Low
    1.9° C @ 06:53 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    102.31 kPa @ 20:14 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.72 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    0.0° C @ 09:15 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    9.6° C @ 14:13 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 16km/h @ 15:45 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    626W/m2 @ 12:41 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    1.8 @ 12:22 Tdy.

After a couple of wild days things should start to settle down today. Then the battle begins between the cold and the warm air.

The models have been pretty consistent with cold air, especially for later this week… but they aren’t totally unanimous.

The GFS has us getting mightily cold the first week of march… down to -20! I don’t see that happening at this point, but it’s something to consider as far as the direction we’re headed.

The Canadian model has us remaining pretty steady at or just above freezing. It doesn’t go past this Sunday though so, who knows what’s in store after that.

The European model seems to be similar to the Canadian model and has us staying at or above freezing until Friday, at which point cold air spreads in.

I think the take away message for the rest of this week is be prepared for anything. There won’t be a lot of precipitation after today, but when there is some, it may fall as snow in the higher elevations especially and you can also expect some nice clear breaks and probably some fog too.

Good old West Coast weather, don’t like the weather, just wait a few minutes. 🙂

10 thoughts on “Persistent borderline cold forecast

    1. if you are coming home tonight be careful…I think its gonna get a lot grosser before it gets any better, especially at higher elevations

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