September 18, 2020

Persistent borderline cold forecast

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - SPECIAL AIR QUALITY STATEMENT IN EFFECT
    Issued: 01:09 AM PDT Friday 18 September 2020

    Forecast Issued 05:00 AM PDT Friday 18 September 2020 - Friday: Cloudy. 40 percent chance of showers. Risk of a thunderstorm this morning. Widespread smoke. High 20. UV index 2 or low. Friday night: Showers. Widespread smoke. Low 15. Saturday: Cloudy. 40 percent chance of showers in the morning. Becoming a mix of sun and cloud in the afternoon. Widespread smoke. High 20. Saturday night: Cloudy. Low 13. Sunday: Showers. High 20. Sunday night: Showers. Low 12. Monday: Cloudy. High 18. Monday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low 13. Tuesday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 19. Tuesday night: Cloudy with 70 percent chance of showers. Low 12. Wednesday: Rain. High 17. Wednesday night: Rain. Low 13. Thursday: Rain. High 17.

After a couple of wild days things should start to settle down today. Then the battle begins between the cold and the warm air.

The models have been pretty consistent with cold air, especially for later this week… but they aren’t totally unanimous.

The GFS has us getting mightily cold the first week of march… down to -20! I don’t see that happening at this point, but it’s something to consider as far as the direction we’re headed.

The Canadian model has us remaining pretty steady at or just above freezing. It doesn’t go past this Sunday though so, who knows what’s in store after that.

The European model seems to be similar to the Canadian model and has us staying at or above freezing until Friday, at which point cold air spreads in.

I think the take away message for the rest of this week is be prepared for anything. There won’t be a lot of precipitation after today, but when there is some, it may fall as snow in the higher elevations especially and you can also expect some nice clear breaks and probably some fog too.

Good old West Coast weather, don’t like the weather, just wait a few minutes. 🙂

10 thoughts on “Persistent borderline cold forecast

    1. if you are coming home tonight be careful…I think its gonna get a lot grosser before it gets any better, especially at higher elevations

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