Mon. Aug 20th, 2018

Persistent borderline cold forecast

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - SPECIAL AIR QUALITY STATEMENT IN EFFECT
    Issued: 04:03 AM PDT Monday 20 August 2018

    Forecast Issued 05:00 AM PDT Monday 20 August 2018 - Monday: Overcast. Widespread smoke. High 26. Humidex 28. UV index 3 or moderate. Monday night: Overcast. Widespread smoke. Low 11. Tuesday: Overcast. Widespread smoke. High 26. Humidex 31. UV index 3 or moderate. Tuesday night: Cloudy periods. Low 11. Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 27. Wednesday night: Cloudy periods. Low 12. Thursday: Sunny. High 23. Thursday night: Clear. Low 11. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 24. Friday night: Cloudy periods. Low 12. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20. Saturday night: Cloudy periods. Low 13. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 21.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    13.3° C
    -0.1 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.86 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    91 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    13.3° C
    Heat Index
    13.3° C
    Dewpoint
    11.9° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    46 W/m2
    Last Updated: 7:30:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    05:42
    Moon Phase
    First quarter (72% full)
    Civil Set
    21:01
    Day Length
    13:22:31
    Day High
    17.0° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low
    13.2° C @ 06:44 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.86 kPa @ 07:28 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.67 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    13.2° C @ 06:44 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    17.0° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 0.0km/h @ 00:05 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    47W/m2 @ 07:28 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

After a couple of wild days things should start to settle down today. Then the battle begins between the cold and the warm air.

The models have been pretty consistent with cold air, especially for later this week… but they aren’t totally unanimous.

The GFS has us getting mightily cold the first week of march… down to -20! I don’t see that happening at this point, but it’s something to consider as far as the direction we’re headed.

The Canadian model has us remaining pretty steady at or just above freezing. It doesn’t go past this Sunday though so, who knows what’s in store after that.

The European model seems to be similar to the Canadian model and has us staying at or above freezing until Friday, at which point cold air spreads in.

I think the take away message for the rest of this week is be prepared for anything. There won’t be a lot of precipitation after today, but when there is some, it may fall as snow in the higher elevations especially and you can also expect some nice clear breaks and probably some fog too.

Good old West Coast weather, don’t like the weather, just wait a few minutes. 🙂

10 thoughts on “Persistent borderline cold forecast

    1. if you are coming home tonight be careful…I think its gonna get a lot grosser before it gets any better, especially at higher elevations

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