Mon. Apr 22nd, 2019

Persistent borderline cold forecast

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Monday 22 April 2019 - Monday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low 7. Tuesday: Mainly cloudy. 60 percent chance of showers in the morning. High 14. UV index 4 or moderate. Tuesday night: Clear. Low plus 4. Wednesday: Sunny. High 16. Wednesday night: Clear. Low plus 1. Thursday: Sunny. High 18. Thursday night: Clear. Low plus 2. Friday: Sunny. High 19. Friday night: Clear. Low plus 4. Saturday: Sunny. High 14. Saturday night: Cloudy periods. Low plus 4. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 15.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    10.8° C
    -0.3 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    102.11 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    SSW 1.6 km/h
    gusting 8.0 km/h
    Humidity
    89 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    10.8° C
    Heat Index
    10.8° C
    Dewpoint
    9.0° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 21:45:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    2.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    05:38
    Moon Phase
    Waning gibbous (84% full)
    Civil Set
    20:57
    Day Length
    13:17:43
    Day High
    12.6° C @ 17:27 Tdy.
    Day Low
    7.7° C @ 07:09 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    1.5mm/hr @ 09:08 Tdy.
    Day High Barometer
    102.5 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    102.08 kPa @ 19:44 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    3.1° C @ 10:01 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    12.6° C @ 17:27 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 22.5km/h @ 10:05 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    765W/m2 @ 15:28 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    4.1 @ 11:38 Tdy.

After a couple of wild days things should start to settle down today. Then the battle begins between the cold and the warm air.

The models have been pretty consistent with cold air, especially for later this week… but they aren’t totally unanimous.

The GFS has us getting mightily cold the first week of march… down to -20! I don’t see that happening at this point, but it’s something to consider as far as the direction we’re headed.

The Canadian model has us remaining pretty steady at or just above freezing. It doesn’t go past this Sunday though so, who knows what’s in store after that.

The European model seems to be similar to the Canadian model and has us staying at or above freezing until Friday, at which point cold air spreads in.

I think the take away message for the rest of this week is be prepared for anything. There won’t be a lot of precipitation after today, but when there is some, it may fall as snow in the higher elevations especially and you can also expect some nice clear breaks and probably some fog too.

Good old West Coast weather, don’t like the weather, just wait a few minutes. 🙂

10 thoughts on “Persistent borderline cold forecast

    1. if you are coming home tonight be careful…I think its gonna get a lot grosser before it gets any better, especially at higher elevations

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