Persistent borderline cold forecast

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Wednesday 20 June 2018 - Wednesday night: Partly cloudy. 30 percent chance of showers this evening with risk of a thunderstorm. Low 13. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. 30 percent chance of showers in the afternoon with risk of a thunderstorm. High 27. UV index 8 or very high. Thursday night: Partly cloudy. 30 percent chance of showers in the evening with risk of a thunderstorm. Low 12. Friday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 23. Friday night: Clear. Low 11. Saturday: Sunny. High 27. Saturday night: Clear. Low 11. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud with 30 percent chance of showers. High 23. Sunday night: Cloudy periods. Low 12. Monday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20. Monday night: Cloudy periods. Low 10. Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    15.2° C
    -0.9 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.44 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    NE 0.1 km/h
    gusting 4.8 km/h
    Humidity
    86 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    15.2° C
    Heat Index
    15.2° C
    Dewpoint
    12.8° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 1:20:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    04:29
    Moon Phase
    First quarter (60% full)
    Civil Set
    22:13
    Day Length
    13:21:04
    Day High
    16.2° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low
    15.2° C @ 01:18 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.44 kPa @ 01:13 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.34 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    15.2° C @ 01:18 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    16.2° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 5.7km/h @ 00:20 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    0W/m2 @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

After a couple of wild days things should start to settle down today. Then the battle begins between the cold and the warm air.

The models have been pretty consistent with cold air, especially for later this week… but they aren’t totally unanimous.

The GFS has us getting mightily cold the first week of march… down to -20! I don’t see that happening at this point, but it’s something to consider as far as the direction we’re headed.

The Canadian model has us remaining pretty steady at or just above freezing. It doesn’t go past this Sunday though so, who knows what’s in store after that.

The European model seems to be similar to the Canadian model and has us staying at or above freezing until Friday, at which point cold air spreads in.

I think the take away message for the rest of this week is be prepared for anything. There won’t be a lot of precipitation after today, but when there is some, it may fall as snow in the higher elevations especially and you can also expect some nice clear breaks and probably some fog too.

Good old West Coast weather, don’t like the weather, just wait a few minutes. 🙂

10 Replies to “Persistent borderline cold forecast”

    1. if you are coming home tonight be careful…I think its gonna get a lot grosser before it gets any better, especially at higher elevations

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