Sat. Feb 23rd, 2019

October looking mighty dry

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PST Saturday 23 February 2019 - Saturday night: Rain showers and flurries changing to a few flurries near midnight. Wind up to 15 km/h. Low minus 1. Wind chill minus 3 overnight. Sunday: Clearing in the morning. High 7. UV index 2 or low. Sunday night: Clear. Wind up to 15 km/h. Low minus 5. Wind chill near minus 7. Monday: Sunny. High plus 5. Monday night: Clear. Low minus 6. Tuesday: Sunny. High plus 4. Tuesday night: Clear. Low minus 7. Wednesday: Snow. High plus 3. Wednesday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of rain showers or flurries. Low zero. Thursday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of flurries or rain showers. High 7. Thursday night: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of rain showers or flurries. Low zero. Friday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 7.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    4.9° C
    0.0 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.72 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    86 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    4.9° C
    Heat Index
    4.9° C
    Dewpoint
    2.8° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    47 W/m2
    Last Updated: 17:00:00 PST
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.3 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    06:40
    Moon Phase
    Waning gibbous (75% full)
    Civil Set
    18:25
    Day Length
    12:32:32
    Day High
    6.9° C @ 14:00 Tdy.
    Day Low
    -1.6° C @ 01:46 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.77 kPa @ 11:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.51 kPa @ 00:13 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    -1.6° C @ 01:46 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    6.9° C @ 14:00 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 14.6km/h @ 15:05 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    650W/m2 @ 12:25 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    1.7 @ 12:25 Tdy.

We don’t have any official data from Environment Canada yet as their Airport station is reporting ‘missing’ values for all of October.

However, my station has only recorded 16.5mm of rain for the month so far. Other stations in town have recorded similar amounts. Normal is around 200mm.

It is still early, but the way the forecast models are shaping up, this may be all the precipitation we receive in October.

I’ve scanned through the October rainfall numbers going back to 1894. Currently, if Alberniweather and the Airport have received the same amount of rain (which is unlikely) then we would be tied for 2nd place with 1936 for driest October ever recorded. It is unusual for us to receive less than 100mm of rain (particularly since 1980). It is rare for us to receive less than 50mm of rain.

Since 1894, the Octobers with the least rain, as recorded at the Beaver Creek, Port Alberni City Hall, Robertson Creek, Somass, and Airport station are:
2002 Robertson:18.5mm Airport:14.2mm
1936 Beaver Creek: 32.5mm City Hall: 16.5mm
2013: Alberniweather: 16.5mm Maquinna: 23.8mm
1925 Beaver Creek: 27.7mm City Hall: 18.0mm
1895 Beaver Creek:18.3mm

Top 5 in the past 119 years is significant, especially considering the 66 year gap between 1936 and 2002.

We will see what the official results are at the end of the month. For now… More fog and clear afternoons and evening.