Sat. Oct 19th, 2019

October looking mighty dry

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Saturday 19 October 2019 - Saturday night: Showers ending early this evening then cloudy. Rain beginning before morning. Risk of a thunderstorm early this evening. Low 6. Sunday: Rain. High 10. Sunday night: Cloudy. 30 percent chance of showers in the evening. Rain beginning near midnight. Low 6. Monday: Rain. High 13. Monday night: Showers. Low 8. Tuesday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 13. Tuesday night: Cloudy periods. Low 6. Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 12. Wednesday night: Cloudy periods. Low plus 5. Thursday: Cloudy. High 12. Thursday night: Cloudy periods. Low 6. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 12.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    12.0° C
    -1.3 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.08 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    S 3 km/h
    gusting 11 km/h
    Humidity
    81 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    12.0° C
    Heat Index
    12.0° C
    Dewpoint
    8.8° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    25 W/m2
    Last Updated: 17:45:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Today's Almanac
    Rain since Midnight
    0.0 mm
    Continuous Rainfall (< 24hr gap)
    No Qualifying Rainfall mm
    Civil Rise
    07:12
    Moon Phase
    Last quarter (66% full)
    Civil Set
    18:54
    Day Length
    13:04:08
    Day High
    13.9° C @ 15:54 Tdy.
    Day Low
    6.8° C @ 07:48 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.08 kPa @ 17:44 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    100.27 kPa @ 04:44 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    5.2° C @ 07:21 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    13.9° C @ 15:54 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 10km/h @ 17:25 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    784W/m2 @ 13:37 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    2.1 @ 12:44 Tdy.

We don’t have any official data from Environment Canada yet as their Airport station is reporting ‘missing’ values for all of October.

However, my station has only recorded 16.5mm of rain for the month so far. Other stations in town have recorded similar amounts. Normal is around 200mm.

It is still early, but the way the forecast models are shaping up, this may be all the precipitation we receive in October.

I’ve scanned through the October rainfall numbers going back to 1894. Currently, if Alberniweather and the Airport have received the same amount of rain (which is unlikely) then we would be tied for 2nd place with 1936 for driest October ever recorded. It is unusual for us to receive less than 100mm of rain (particularly since 1980). It is rare for us to receive less than 50mm of rain.

Since 1894, the Octobers with the least rain, as recorded at the Beaver Creek, Port Alberni City Hall, Robertson Creek, Somass, and Airport station are:
2002 Robertson:18.5mm Airport:14.2mm
1936 Beaver Creek: 32.5mm City Hall: 16.5mm
2013: Alberniweather: 16.5mm Maquinna: 23.8mm
1925 Beaver Creek: 27.7mm City Hall: 18.0mm
1895 Beaver Creek:18.3mm

Top 5 in the past 119 years is significant, especially considering the 66 year gap between 1936 and 2002.

We will see what the official results are at the end of the month. For now… More fog and clear afternoons and evening.