Tue. Oct 15th, 2019

No real rain – fire danger remains

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Tuesday 15 October 2019 - Tuesday night: Periods of rain. Amount 10 mm. Windy early this evening. Temperature steady near 11. Wednesday: Periods of rain ending late in the afternoon then cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Amount 10 to 20 mm. High 14. UV index 1 or low. Wednesday night: Cloudy. 60 percent chance of showers in the evening. Rain beginning near midnight. Amount 10 mm. Low 10. Thursday: Showers. High 13. Thursday night: Showers. Low 8. Friday: Rain. High 11. Friday night: Rain. Low 7. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud with 60 percent chance of showers. High 15. Saturday night: Cloudy periods with 30 percent chance of showers. Low plus 5. Sunday: Cloudy with 70 percent chance of showers. High 12. Sunday night: Periods of rain. Low 8. Monday: Rain. High 12.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    9.7° C
    -0.1 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    100.9 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0 km/h
    gusting 5 km/h
    Humidity
    98 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    9.7° C
    Heat Index
    9.7° C
    Dewpoint
    9.4° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 21:15:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Today's Almanac
    Rain since Midnight
    0.0 mm
    Continuous Rainfall (< 24hr gap)
    No Qualifying Rainfall mm
    Civil Rise
    07:06
    Moon Phase
    Waning gibbous (95% full)
    Civil Set
    19:02
    Day Length
    13:04:57
    Day High
    10.5° C @ 12:48 Tdy.
    Day Low
    9.2° C @ 07:39 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.61 kPa @ 00:14 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    100.9 kPa @ 20:14 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    8.1° C @ 20:45 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    10.5° C @ 12:48 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 5km/h @ 20:55 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    142W/m2 @ 12:31 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    1.1 @ 12:30 Tdy.

The forecast for the day is for a whopping 4mm of rain. If that rain actually happens I think it’s safe to say your grass and garden won’t notice it.

This is the only hint of precipitation on the GFS model. EC does say there is a chance for rain on Tuesday but that has never appeared on the GFS model so don’t expect much if anything.

The more pressing concern is wildfires. There have already been fairly serious fires in the past month near Langford, Shawnigan Lake and Duncan. And now yesterday a new fire appeared in a logged area near Horne Lake.

Reports this morning are that 25 firefighters are working on the fire, there were helicopters working yesterday and it is not yet fully contained but they hoped to have it under control this morning. CHEK news twitter feed said it was 7 hectares yesterday but the Peak is reporting it as only 2 hectares. It won’t appear on bcwildfire.ca unless it gets over 10 hectares.

The dry bush this time of year is exceptional. We have been pretty lucky that the fires we have had have not been bigger or more aggressive.

The real rain around the 10th of October has appeared again on the long range forecast. Lets hope it sticks around and we get back to being Green.

3 thoughts on “No real rain – fire danger remains

  1. Well it looks like you only measured .75mm, Alberni elementary measured 1.2mm, and EC got 1.4mm yesterday, so it was all dried up by mid-afternoon. So our official total for September now stands at 3.4mm. Wow.

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