Sun. Nov 18th, 2018

No real rain – fire danger remains

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PST Saturday 17 November 2018 - Saturday night: Clear. Fog patches developing overnight. Wind up to 15 km/h. Low minus 2. Wind chill minus 4 overnight. Sunday: Sunny. Fog patches dissipating in the morning. High 10. UV index 1 or low. Sunday night: Clear. Fog patches overnight. Wind up to 15 km/h. Low minus 1. Wind chill minus 3 overnight. Monday: Sunny. High 8. Monday night: Clear. Low plus 1. Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 7. Tuesday night: Periods of rain. Low plus 1. Wednesday: Rain. High 8. Wednesday night: Rain. Low 6. Thursday: Rain. High 10. Thursday night: Rain. Low plus 5. Friday: Rain. High 9.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    6.1° C
    -1.9 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    102.61 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    NNE 0.1 km/h
    gusting 4.8 km/h
    Humidity
    84 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    6.1° C
    Heat Index
    6.1° C
    Dewpoint
    3.6° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 17:15:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.3 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    06:56
    Moon Phase
    First quarter (73% full)
    Civil Set
    17:11
    Day Length
    12:04:14
    Day High
    10.3° C @ 15:07 Tdy.
    Day Low
    1.9° C @ 04:38 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    102.87 kPa @ 08:58 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    102.61 kPa @ 15:43 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    1.5° C @ 02:24 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    10.3° C @ 15:07 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 6.0km/h @ 17:00 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    482W/m2 @ 12:21 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    1.3 @ 11:59 Tdy.

The forecast for the day is for a whopping 4mm of rain. If that rain actually happens I think it’s safe to say your grass and garden won’t notice it.

This is the only hint of precipitation on the GFS model. EC does say there is a chance for rain on Tuesday but that has never appeared on the GFS model so don’t expect much if anything.

The more pressing concern is wildfires. There have already been fairly serious fires in the past month near Langford, Shawnigan Lake and Duncan. And now yesterday a new fire appeared in a logged area near Horne Lake.

Reports this morning are that 25 firefighters are working on the fire, there were helicopters working yesterday and it is not yet fully contained but they hoped to have it under control this morning. CHEK news twitter feed said it was 7 hectares yesterday but the Peak is reporting it as only 2 hectares. It won’t appear on bcwildfire.ca unless it gets over 10 hectares.

The dry bush this time of year is exceptional. We have been pretty lucky that the fires we have had have not been bigger or more aggressive.

The real rain around the 10th of October has appeared again on the long range forecast. Lets hope it sticks around and we get back to being Green.

3 thoughts on “No real rain – fire danger remains

  1. Well it looks like you only measured .75mm, Alberni elementary measured 1.2mm, and EC got 1.4mm yesterday, so it was all dried up by mid-afternoon. So our official total for September now stands at 3.4mm. Wow.

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