Little Less Moisture Forecast – Still Snow

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections ForecastNo watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PST Tuesday 23 January 2018 Tuesday night: Showers. Low plus 3. Wednesday: A few showers ending in the morning then cloudy. A few showers beginning late in the afternoon. High plus 5. Wednesday night: Showers. Low plus 2. Thursday: Showers. High plus 4. Thursday night: Showers. Low plus 2. Friday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High plus 5. Friday night: Rain. Low plus 1. Saturday: Rain. High plus 5. Saturday night: Rain. Low plus 5. Sunday: Rain. High 8. Sunday night: Rain. Low plus 4. Monday: Rain. High 8.

  • Today’s conditions as of 48 years ago at 11:33 am on December 31, 1969

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    N 49° 14′ 46.1″ :: W 124° 47′ 60″ at 30 m Google View

Snow is still in the forecast except the amounts of dropped off quite a bit. It looks like there is somewhat less moisture in the atmosphere than they anticipated before so the most we’re going to get is 5cm before it changes to rain in the afternoon.

And in fact, with the temperature only just barely below zero this morning. I only give a 30% chance that we’ll actually see the snow accumulate near the water. Higher elevations will certainly get it, especially Sutton Pass and the possibly the Hump. But Port Alberni is likely to get a very messy bit of business.

The NOAA is still predicting a 70% chance of 4 inches (10cm) falling in our region between 4AM this morning and 4PM this afternoon.

And there is still an outside shot at 8 inches:

The other models have really not changed much. The same timings apply. Snow or Rain should start around 10AM this morning and be heaviest around 1PM.

One thing that is interesting is the Low is slated to cross directly over Southern Vancouver Island tomorrow afternoon. This is a change from the original forecast which had it going into Western Washington.

2 Replies to “Little Less Moisture Forecast – Still Snow”

  1. Seems odd for all the moisture that appears to be out there, that nothing really hasn’t hit us yet.  Just a few flakes here and there in town, and its 3c now outside.

  2. It’s odd alright – right now we are about the warmest place on the south island.  It’s drizzling out there right now, but I wouldn’t be surpised if it turns to snow if that cold air moves in

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