Fri. Feb 22nd, 2019

Little Less Moisture Forecast – Still Snow

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PST Thursday 21 February 2019 - Thursday night: Cloudy. Periods of snow beginning late this evening. Amount 2 to 4 cm. Wind up to 15 km/h. Low minus 1. Wind chill minus 3 in the evening. Friday: Periods of snow ending near noon then cloudy with 40 percent chance of rain showers. Snowfall amount 2 to 4 cm. High 6. UV index 1 or low. Friday night: Cloudy. Flurries beginning late in the evening. Amount 2 cm. Wind up to 15 km/h. Low minus 2. Wind chill near minus 4. Saturday: Flurries or rain showers. High plus 4. Saturday night: Clear. Low minus 4. Sunday: Sunny. High plus 5. Sunday night: Clear. Low minus 5. Monday: Sunny. High 7. Monday night: Clear. Low minus 5. Tuesday: Sunny. High 6. Tuesday night: Clear. Low minus 5. Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud. High plus 5.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    -0.3° C
    0.6 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.7 kPa
    falling
    Wind
    0 km/h
    gusting 6.4 km/h
    Humidity
    90 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    NA° C
    Heat Index
    4.2° C
    Dewpoint
    -1.6° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 0:55:00 PDT
    Station Reports Delayed
    7 minutes
    Showing Nearest Official Station

    Observed at: Port Alberni 12:00 AM PST Friday 22 February 2019
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    06:42
    Moon Phase
    Waning gibbous (89% full)
    Civil Set
    18:24
    Day Length
    12:32:40
    Day High
    4.2° C @ 00:53 Tdy.
    Day Low
    3.6° C @ 00:04 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.64 kPa @ 00:13 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.59 kPa @ 00:44 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    0.8° C @ 00:26 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    4.2° C @ 00:53 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 6.4km/h @ 00:20 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    0W/m2 @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

Snow is still in the forecast except the amounts of dropped off quite a bit. It looks like there is somewhat less moisture in the atmosphere than they anticipated before so the most we’re going to get is 5cm before it changes to rain in the afternoon.

And in fact, with the temperature only just barely below zero this morning. I only give a 30% chance that we’ll actually see the snow accumulate near the water. Higher elevations will certainly get it, especially Sutton Pass and the possibly the Hump. But Port Alberni is likely to get a very messy bit of business.

The NOAA is still predicting a 70% chance of 4 inches (10cm) falling in our region between 4AM this morning and 4PM this afternoon.

And there is still an outside shot at 8 inches:

The other models have really not changed much. The same timings apply. Snow or Rain should start around 10AM this morning and be heaviest around 1PM.

One thing that is interesting is the Low is slated to cross directly over Southern Vancouver Island tomorrow afternoon. This is a change from the original forecast which had it going into Western Washington.

2 thoughts on “Little Less Moisture Forecast – Still Snow

  1. Seems odd for all the moisture that appears to be out there, that nothing really hasn’t hit us yet.  Just a few flakes here and there in town, and its 3c now outside.

  2. It’s odd alright – right now we are about the warmest place on the south island.  It’s drizzling out there right now, but I wouldn’t be surpised if it turns to snow if that cold air moves in

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