September 23, 2020

Little Less Moisture Forecast – Still Snow

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 05:00 AM PDT Wednesday 23 September 2020 - Wednesday: Rain. Amount 15 to 25 mm. Becoming windy late this morning. High 19. UV index 1 or low. Wednesday night: Showers. Amount 10 to 15 mm. Windy early this evening. Low 12. Thursday: Showers. Amount 10 to 15 mm. High 16. UV index 1 or low. Thursday night: Showers. Low 11. Friday: Periods of rain. High 18. Friday night: Rain. Low 10. Saturday: Periods of rain. High 20. Saturday night: Rain. Low 11. Sunday: Rain. High 17. Sunday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low 12. Monday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 18. Monday night: Cloudy periods. Low 11. Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 21.

Snow is still in the forecast except the amounts of dropped off quite a bit. It looks like there is somewhat less moisture in the atmosphere than they anticipated before so the most we’re going to get is 5cm before it changes to rain in the afternoon.

And in fact, with the temperature only just barely below zero this morning. I only give a 30% chance that we’ll actually see the snow accumulate near the water. Higher elevations will certainly get it, especially Sutton Pass and the possibly the Hump. But Port Alberni is likely to get a very messy bit of business.

The NOAA is still predicting a 70% chance of 4 inches (10cm) falling in our region between 4AM this morning and 4PM this afternoon.

And there is still an outside shot at 8 inches:

The other models have really not changed much. The same timings apply. Snow or Rain should start around 10AM this morning and be heaviest around 1PM.

One thing that is interesting is the Low is slated to cross directly over Southern Vancouver Island tomorrow afternoon. This is a change from the original forecast which had it going into Western Washington.

2 thoughts on “Little Less Moisture Forecast – Still Snow

  1. Seems odd for all the moisture that appears to be out there, that nothing really hasn’t hit us yet.  Just a few flakes here and there in town, and its 3c now outside.

  2. It’s odd alright – right now we are about the warmest place on the south island.  It’s drizzling out there right now, but I wouldn’t be surpised if it turns to snow if that cold air moves in

Comments are closed.