October 26, 2020

Light snow to start Sunday afternoon. Heavier overnight and changing to rain by Tuesday

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 11:00 AM PDT Monday 26 October 2020 - Monday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 10. UV index 3 or moderate. Monday night: Becoming cloudy this evening. 30 percent chance of showers overnight. Low plus 4. Tuesday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 11. UV index 1 or low. Tuesday night: Periods of rain. Low 8. Wednesday: Periods of rain. High 13. Wednesday night: Rain. Low 10. Thursday: Rain. High 13. Thursday night: Rain. Low 10. Friday: Periods of rain. High 13. Friday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low 6. Saturday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 12. Saturday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low 6. Sunday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 13.

I’m going to use the precipitation maps because the models aren’t going to be able capture the differences between snow and rain.

I was out in our backyard in the sun this afternoon and the ground was frozen solid. That’s going to mean until we get some real warm wind and air temperatures, any snow that falls will stick immediately, and any rain that falls will freeze.

The first chance for snow will be Sunday afternoon on the South Island.

Only lightly precipitation expected up to 4PM Sunday and not any in the Valley

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From 4PM to 4AM Monday things pick up, especially on the West Coast. In our area, we are looking at around 8mm.

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It’s hard to figure out how much of that will turn into snow but if we look at the predicted temperature for 4AM it’s around 4°C.

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So I’m thinking much of it will fall as snow, maybe 5-8cm but it won’t last. The temperature is set to be near 7C by mid Monday morning and that can only mean rain.

Here’s hoping no one needs to be on the road early Monday morning. I would expect freezing rain and snow especially on the passes and in shady spots.

Please drive carefully. Let’s hope the snow hangs on a little through Monday, but at this point it looks like it will be all wet by then. And there is more wet, and possibly wind, coming soon after.