Tue. Dec 11th, 2018

Light snow to start Sunday afternoon. Heavier overnight and changing to rain by Tuesday

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 05:00 AM PST Tuesday 11 December 2018 - Tuesday: Rain. Amount 15 to 25 mm. High 7. Tuesday night: Cloudy with 40 percent chance of showers early this evening then partly cloudy. Fog patches developing after midnight. Low plus 1. Wednesday: Mainly cloudy. 40 percent chance of showers in the morning. Rain beginning in the morning. Fog patches dissipating in the morning. Amount 10 to 15 mm. High 6. Wednesday night: Periods of rain. Low 6. Thursday: Periods of rain. High 6. Thursday night: Periods of rain. Low plus 5. Friday: Rain. High 8. Friday night: Rain. Low 6. Saturday: Rain. High 8. Saturday night: Rain. Low 7. Sunday: Rain. High 9. Sunday night: Rain. Low 7. Monday: Rain. High 9.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    3.2° C
    -0.1 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    100.16 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    100 %
    Rain Rate
    3.3 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    3.2° C
    Heat Index
    3.2° C
    Dewpoint
    3.2° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    7 W/m2
    Last Updated: 9:35:00 PST
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    34.5 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    07:25
    Moon Phase
    Waxing crescent (17% full)
    Civil Set
    16:59
    Day Length
    12:12:35
    Day High
    5.8° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low
    3.2° C @ 07:47 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    8.9mm/hr @ 07:16 Tdy.
    Day High Barometer
    101.45 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    100.16 kPa @ 09:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    1.5° C @ 08:47 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    5.8° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 3.8km/h @ 06:20 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    7W/m2 @ 09:25 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

I’m going to use the precipitation maps because the models aren’t going to be able capture the differences between snow and rain.

I was out in our backyard in the sun this afternoon and the ground was frozen solid. That’s going to mean until we get some real warm wind and air temperatures, any snow that falls will stick immediately, and any rain that falls will freeze.

The first chance for snow will be Sunday afternoon on the South Island.

Only lightly precipitation expected up to 4PM Sunday and not any in the Valley

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From 4PM to 4AM Monday things pick up, especially on the West Coast. In our area, we are looking at around 8mm.

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It’s hard to figure out how much of that will turn into snow but if we look at the predicted temperature for 4AM it’s around 4°C.

20140208-151019.jpg

So I’m thinking much of it will fall as snow, maybe 5-8cm but it won’t last. The temperature is set to be near 7C by mid Monday morning and that can only mean rain.

Here’s hoping no one needs to be on the road early Monday morning. I would expect freezing rain and snow especially on the passes and in shady spots.

Please drive carefully. Let’s hope the snow hangs on a little through Monday, but at this point it looks like it will be all wet by then. And there is more wet, and possibly wind, coming soon after.