Tue. Mar 26th, 2019

Light snow to start Sunday afternoon. Heavier overnight and changing to rain by Tuesday

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Tuesday 26 March 2019 - Tuesday night: Mainly cloudy. 30 percent chance of showers early this evening with risk of a thunderstorm. Fog patches developing late this evening. Low plus 2. Wednesday: Clearing late in the morning. Fog patches dissipating in the morning. High 16. UV index 3 or moderate. Wednesday night: A few clouds. Fog patches developing overnight. Low plus 2. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 18. Thursday night: Clear. Low plus 2. Friday: Sunny. High 18. Friday night: Clear. Low plus 3. Saturday: Sunny. High 18. Saturday night: Cloudy periods. Low plus 5. Sunday: Cloudy. High 13. Sunday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low 6. Monday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 12.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    11.3° C
    0.2 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.75 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    S 9.7 km/h
    gusting 17.7 km/h
    Humidity
    73 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    11.3° C
    Heat Index
    11.3° C
    Dewpoint
    6.7° C
    UV
    1.2
    Solar
    625 W/m2
    Last Updated: 17:10:00 PST
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    3.8 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    06:36
    Moon Phase
    Waning gibbous (62% full)
    Civil Set
    20:14
    Day Length
    13:24:52
    Day High
    11.6° C @ 15:57 Tdy.
    Day Low
    5.9° C @ 07:59 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    8.4mm/hr @ 05:35 Tdy.
    Day High Barometer
    101.79 kPa @ 13:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.29 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    3.9° C @ 00:16 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    11.6° C @ 15:57 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 14.5km/h @ 12:55 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    1046W/m2 @ 13:05 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    3.3 @ 13:04 Tdy.

I’m going to use the precipitation maps because the models aren’t going to be able capture the differences between snow and rain.

I was out in our backyard in the sun this afternoon and the ground was frozen solid. That’s going to mean until we get some real warm wind and air temperatures, any snow that falls will stick immediately, and any rain that falls will freeze.

The first chance for snow will be Sunday afternoon on the South Island.

Only lightly precipitation expected up to 4PM Sunday and not any in the Valley

20140208-145858.jpg

From 4PM to 4AM Monday things pick up, especially on the West Coast. In our area, we are looking at around 8mm.

20140208-151014.jpg
It’s hard to figure out how much of that will turn into snow but if we look at the predicted temperature for 4AM it’s around 4°C.

20140208-151019.jpg

So I’m thinking much of it will fall as snow, maybe 5-8cm but it won’t last. The temperature is set to be near 7C by mid Monday morning and that can only mean rain.

Here’s hoping no one needs to be on the road early Monday morning. I would expect freezing rain and snow especially on the passes and in shady spots.

Please drive carefully. Let’s hope the snow hangs on a little through Monday, but at this point it looks like it will be all wet by then. And there is more wet, and possibly wind, coming soon after.