Tue. Jan 21st, 2020

Light snow to start Sunday afternoon. Heavier overnight and changing to rain by Tuesday

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PST Monday 20 January 2020 - Monday night: Periods of rain. Amount 10 to 20 mm. Low plus 4. Tuesday: Periods of rain. Amount 10 to 15 mm. Becoming windy in the afternoon. High 6. Tuesday night: Periods of rain. Amount 10 to 15 mm. Windy in the evening. Low plus 3. Wednesday: Rain. High plus 5. Wednesday night: Rain. Low plus 2. Thursday: Rain. High 8. Thursday night: Rain. Low plus 4. Friday: Rain. High 7. Friday night: Rain. Low plus 5. Saturday: Periods of rain. High 8. Saturday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low plus 3. Sunday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 7.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    2.3° C
    -0.2 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    100.1 kPa
    falling
    Wind
    NW3 km/h
    gusting 0 km/h
    Humidity
    100 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    NA° C
    Heat Index
    5.3° C
    Dewpoint
    2.3° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 19:55:00 PDT
    Station Reports Delayed
    418 minutes
    Showing Nearest Official Station

    Observed at: Port Alberni 02:00 AM PST Tuesday 21 January 2020
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Today's Almanac
    Rain since Midnight
    16.5 mm
    Continuous Rainfall (< 24hr gap)
    115.8 mm since
    January 16, 2020 00:01
    Civil Rise
    07:28
    Moon Phase
    Waning crescent (14% full)
    Civil Set
    17:32
    Day Length
    12:30:10
    Day High
    8.1° C @ 06:46 Ystd
    Day Low
    3.2° C @ 01:45 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    15.2mm/hr @ 03:51 Ystd
    Day High Barometer
    101.2 kPa @ 10:59 Ystd
    Day Low Barometer
    100.55 kPa @ 19:44 Ystd
    Day Low Windchill
    0.2° C @ 03:16 Ystd
    Day High Heat Index
    8.1° C @ 06:46 Ystd
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 16km/h @ 06:45 Ystd
    Day High Solar Radiation
    236W/m2 @ 10:16 Ystd
    Day High UV Index
    0.7 @ 10:03 Ystd

I’m going to use the precipitation maps because the models aren’t going to be able capture the differences between snow and rain.

I was out in our backyard in the sun this afternoon and the ground was frozen solid. That’s going to mean until we get some real warm wind and air temperatures, any snow that falls will stick immediately, and any rain that falls will freeze.

The first chance for snow will be Sunday afternoon on the South Island.

Only lightly precipitation expected up to 4PM Sunday and not any in the Valley

20140208-145858.jpg

From 4PM to 4AM Monday things pick up, especially on the West Coast. In our area, we are looking at around 8mm.

20140208-151014.jpg
It’s hard to figure out how much of that will turn into snow but if we look at the predicted temperature for 4AM it’s around 4°C.

20140208-151019.jpg

So I’m thinking much of it will fall as snow, maybe 5-8cm but it won’t last. The temperature is set to be near 7C by mid Monday morning and that can only mean rain.

Here’s hoping no one needs to be on the road early Monday morning. I would expect freezing rain and snow especially on the passes and in shady spots.

Please drive carefully. Let’s hope the snow hangs on a little through Monday, but at this point it looks like it will be all wet by then. And there is more wet, and possibly wind, coming soon after.