Sat. Oct 19th, 2019

June 2014 Summary – Set up for a dry summer – Heat Now and warm August?

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Saturday 19 October 2019 - Saturday night: Showers ending early this evening then cloudy. Rain beginning before morning. Risk of a thunderstorm early this evening. Low 6. Sunday: Rain. High 10. Sunday night: Cloudy. 30 percent chance of showers in the evening. Rain beginning near midnight. Low 6. Monday: Rain. High 13. Monday night: Showers. Low 8. Tuesday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 13. Tuesday night: Cloudy periods. Low 6. Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 12. Wednesday night: Cloudy periods. Low plus 5. Thursday: Cloudy. High 12. Thursday night: Cloudy periods. Low 6. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 12.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    12.7° C
    -0.8 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.05 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    S 8 km/h
    gusting 18 km/h
    Humidity
    78 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    12.7° C
    Heat Index
    12.7° C
    Dewpoint
    9.0° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    105 W/m2
    Last Updated: 17:20:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Today's Almanac
    Rain since Midnight
    0.0 mm
    Continuous Rainfall (< 24hr gap)
    No Qualifying Rainfall mm
    Civil Rise
    07:12
    Moon Phase
    Last quarter (66% full)
    Civil Set
    18:54
    Day Length
    13:04:08
    Day High
    13.9° C @ 15:54 Tdy.
    Day Low
    6.8° C @ 07:48 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.05 kPa @ 17:14 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    100.27 kPa @ 04:44 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    5.2° C @ 07:21 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    13.9° C @ 15:54 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 8km/h @ 17:20 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    784W/m2 @ 13:37 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    2.1 @ 12:44 Tdy.

Not a bad June but it was dry… and the warmest since 2009?


Temperatures normal to above normal.  Rainfall well below.

For the month of June we were above normal in the City but only slightly above or exactly normal at the Airport. (Note: previous version had incorrectly transcribed data)

Rainfall was well below normal.  28% of our normal at the Airport.


Looking more at the present and the future.  Here is the current world map for July 15th.  The continent is looking pretty split in two with a very warm West and North and a cool East and South.

Notice the global average is more than half a degree warmer than normal.

T2_anom_satellite1

 

 

TS_anom_satellite2

 

Sea Surface temperatures in our part of the Pacific are well above normal which partly explains the recent heat.  The blobs of warm water off the north coast of South America hint at the coming El Nino.  The NOAA is still forecasting a very good chance for El Nino to appear this fall and winter though it looks like the initial worry about a very strong El Nino may have diminished, which is good.

Brett Anderson is saying the models have us stay hot through the end of July and warm through August as well with normal precipitation in August.

590x450_07111437_imme_tmp2m_us_lead1 590x450_07111438_imme_prate_us_lead1

 


 

Average Daily Temperature for June:

Environment Canada Airport: 15.7° C
Alberniweather: 16.2° C
Alberni Elementary School : 16.2° C
Maquinna Elementary School: 15.7° C
Neptune Canada Station: 17.1° C
Overall City Average: 16.3° C
1981-2010 Env Canada Normal (Robertson Creek): 15.5° C
City Stations Diff from normal: +0.8° C
Official (Airport) Difference from normal: +0.2° C

 


Average Minimum Daily Temperature for June:

EC: 9.0° C
Alberniweather: 11.4° C
AES: 11.0° C
MAQ: 10.9° C
NEP: 11.9° C
Overall City Average: 11.3° C
1981-2010 Env. Canada Normal (Robertson Creek): 9.0° C
City Stations Difference from normal: +2.3° C
Official (Airport) Difference from normal: 0.0° C


Average Maximum Daily Temperature for June:

EC: 22.2° C
Alberniweather: 22.2° C
AES: 21.8° C
MAQ: 21.8° C
NEP: 22.5° C
Overall City Average: 22.1° C
1981-2010 Env Canada Normal (Robertson Creek): 21.9° C
City Stations Difference from normal: +0.2° C
Official (Airport) Difference from normal: +0.3° C


Average Precipitation for June:

EC: 17.4 mm
Alberniweather: 22.6 mm
AES: 24.4 mm
MAQ: 33.4 mm
NEP: NA (not measured)
Overall City Average: 26.8 mm
1981-2010 Env Canada Normal (Robertson Creek): 62.2 mm
City Stations Diff. normal: -35.4 mm (43% of normal)
Official (Airport) Diff. from  normal: -44.8 mm (28% of normal)

 


Comparison to recent February’s at Alberniweather (only).

2013:  Mean Temperature was identical to this year.  Highs were 1º C higher this year.  Minimums were slightly lower this year.  We got half the rain this June compared to last June.

2012:  June 2012 was much colder and three times as rainy.

2011:  June 2011 was cooler but was similarly dry.  We received just slightly less rain than this year (17mm).

2010:  June 2010 was cooler again but rain amounts were similar.

2009:  June 2009 was quite a bit warmer but drier.

2008:  June 2008 was quite similar to this year.  Warm and dry.

1 thought on “June 2014 Summary – Set up for a dry summer – Heat Now and warm August?

  1. “Comparison to recent February’s at Alberniweather (only).”

    I think you mean “June.”

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