Fri. Sep 20th, 2019

Hot and Dry in September breaking records.

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Friday 20 September 2019 - Friday night: Partly cloudy. Fog patches developing before morning. Low 12. Saturday: Becoming cloudy in the morning. Rain beginning in the afternoon. Fog patches dissipating in the morning. High 19. UV index 2 or low. Saturday night: Rain. Amount 15 to 25 mm. Low 13. Sunday: Rain. High 18. Sunday night: Cloudy periods. Low 7. Monday: Periods of rain. High 14. Monday night: Periods of rain. Low 11. Tuesday: Periods of rain. High 21. Tuesday night: Cloudy periods. Low 10. Wednesday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 16. Wednesday night: Cloudy periods. Low 9. Thursday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 16.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    16.0° C
    -1.1 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.91 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0 km/h
    gusting 0 km/h
    Humidity
    85 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    16.0° C
    Heat Index
    16.0° C
    Dewpoint
    13.5° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 21:30:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Today's Almanac
    Rain since Midnight
    0.0 mm
    Continuous Rainfall (< 24hr gap)
    No Qualifying Rainfall mm
    Civil Rise
    06:29
    Moon Phase
    Last quarter (60% full)
    Civil Set
    19:54
    Day Length
    13:12:35
    Day High
    22.9° C @ 14:01 Tdy.
    Day Low
    13.7° C @ 07:43 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.91 kPa @ 21:28 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.71 kPa @ 02:58 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    13.7° C @ 07:43 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    22.9° C @ 14:01 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 13km/h @ 17:30 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    861W/m2 @ 11:26 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    4.7 @ 12:41 Tdy.

Our wonderful stretch of dry and warm weather this September still does not have an end in sight. There is a break predicted on the long range forecast for the end of the month. (Sept 29) but I’m going to go out on a limb and say that there is some doubt there since forecasts 5 days or more out are generally ‘climatology’ based.

In other words, the long term forecasts from the GFS and Canadian models are often based largely on ‘what happened before’ around this time of year…. So if the pattern is exceptional–and surely we are approaching that now–then the long term forecasts likely won’t have more than a random chance of being correct. I may have to dig into the EC archives and see just how unusual this stretch has been.

In the meantime, keep the sunscreen handy and the fans on because we will be hitting record territory at 30C today and will be in the upper teens through the week.

Sunday Sept 16: 28.8C broke the record of 28.3C in 2008
Monday: Forecast of 30C would break 25.5C set in 1999

Basically if we hit 29C or higher at any point this week we will quite likely break a record and they all were set in either 1999 or 1995.

The normal temperature for this time of year is 21C.

Enjoy!