Fri. Feb 22nd, 2019

Hot and Dry in September breaking records.

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 05:00 AM PST Friday 22 February 2019 - Friday: Periods of snow or rain ending near noon then clearing. Local snowfall amount 4 cm over higher terrain. High 7. UV index 2 or low. Friday night: Becoming cloudy late this evening with flurries. Amount 2 cm. Low minus 3. Saturday: Flurries changing to rain showers and flurries near noon. High plus 4. UV index 1 or low. Saturday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of rain showers or flurries. Low minus 2. Sunday: Sunny. High 7. Sunday night: Clear. Low minus 5. Monday: Sunny. High plus 5. Monday night: Clear. Low minus 6. Tuesday: Periods of rain. High plus 4. Tuesday night: Periods of rain or snow. Low minus 1. Wednesday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of flurries or rain showers. High 6. Wednesday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low zero. Thursday: Cloudy. High 7.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    1.7° C
    0.3 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.02 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    97 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    1.7° C
    Heat Index
    1.7° C
    Dewpoint
    1.3° C
    UV
    0.7
    Solar
    120 W/m2
    Last Updated: 10:05:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    6.1 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    06:42
    Moon Phase
    Waning gibbous (86% full)
    Civil Set
    18:24
    Day Length
    12:32:40
    Day High
    4.2° C @ 00:53 Tdy.
    Day Low
    1.0° C @ 08:02 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    6.9mm/hr @ 07:06 Tdy.
    Day High Barometer
    101.64 kPa @ 00:13 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    100.88 kPa @ 07:14 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    -1.6° C @ 07:24 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    4.2° C @ 00:53 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 9.7km/h @ 04:45 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    130W/m2 @ 10:01 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.7 @ 10:00 Tdy.

Our wonderful stretch of dry and warm weather this September still does not have an end in sight. There is a break predicted on the long range forecast for the end of the month. (Sept 29) but I’m going to go out on a limb and say that there is some doubt there since forecasts 5 days or more out are generally ‘climatology’ based.

In other words, the long term forecasts from the GFS and Canadian models are often based largely on ‘what happened before’ around this time of year…. So if the pattern is exceptional–and surely we are approaching that now–then the long term forecasts likely won’t have more than a random chance of being correct. I may have to dig into the EC archives and see just how unusual this stretch has been.

In the meantime, keep the sunscreen handy and the fans on because we will be hitting record territory at 30C today and will be in the upper teens through the week.

Sunday Sept 16: 28.8C broke the record of 28.3C in 2008
Monday: Forecast of 30C would break 25.5C set in 1999

Basically if we hit 29C or higher at any point this week we will quite likely break a record and they all were set in either 1999 or 1995.

The normal temperature for this time of year is 21C.

Enjoy!