Mon. Jul 15th, 2019

Hot and Dry in September breaking records.

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Monday 15 July 2019 - Monday night: Mainly cloudy. 40 percent chance of showers early this evening with risk of thunderstorms. Low 15. Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud. 30 percent chance of showers in the morning. High 25. Humidex 27. UV index 8 or very high. Tuesday night: Cloudy. Rain beginning in the evening. Low 14. Wednesday: Periods of rain. High 21. Wednesday night: Cloudy periods with 30 percent chance of showers. Low 9. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20. Thursday night: Cloudy periods. Low 12. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 21. Friday night: Cloudy periods. Low 11. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 21. Saturday night: Cloudy periods. Low 12. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 22.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    19.4° C
    0.1 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.65 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0 km/h
    gusting 3 km/h
    Humidity
    90 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    19.4° C
    Heat Index
    19.4° C
    Dewpoint
    17.8° C
    UV
    0.6
    Solar
    126 W/m2
    Last Updated: 18:55:00 PST
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Today's Almanac
    Rain since Midnight
    1.5 mm
    Continuous Rainfall (< 24hr gap)
    1.5 mm since
    July 15, 2019 00:07
    Civil Rise
    04:47
    Moon Phase
    Full (99% full)
    Civil Set
    22:01
    Day Length
    13:25:13
    Day High
    27.1° C @ 14:22 Tdy.
    Day Low
    12.6° C @ 05:44 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    4.1mm/hr @ 17:06 Tdy.
    Day High Barometer
    101.81 kPa @ 00:13 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.51 kPa @ 14:58 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    12.6° C @ 05:44 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    27.2° C @ 14:22 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 20km/h @ 15:35 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    1134W/m2 @ 14:22 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    6.8 @ 13:05 Tdy.

Our wonderful stretch of dry and warm weather this September still does not have an end in sight. There is a break predicted on the long range forecast for the end of the month. (Sept 29) but I’m going to go out on a limb and say that there is some doubt there since forecasts 5 days or more out are generally ‘climatology’ based.

In other words, the long term forecasts from the GFS and Canadian models are often based largely on ‘what happened before’ around this time of year…. So if the pattern is exceptional–and surely we are approaching that now–then the long term forecasts likely won’t have more than a random chance of being correct. I may have to dig into the EC archives and see just how unusual this stretch has been.

In the meantime, keep the sunscreen handy and the fans on because we will be hitting record territory at 30C today and will be in the upper teens through the week.

Sunday Sept 16: 28.8C broke the record of 28.3C in 2008
Monday: Forecast of 30C would break 25.5C set in 1999

Basically if we hit 29C or higher at any point this week we will quite likely break a record and they all were set in either 1999 or 1995.

The normal temperature for this time of year is 21C.

Enjoy!