Mon. May 27th, 2019

Hot and Dry in September breaking records.

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Sunday 26 May 2019 - Sunday night: Partly cloudy. Becoming clear this evening. Low 9. Monday: Sunny in the morning then a mix of sun and cloud with 40 percent chance of showers in the afternoon. High 26. Humidex 28. UV index 7 or high. Monday night: Partly cloudy with 40 percent chance of showers early in the evening. Clearing in the evening. Low 11. Tuesday: Sunny. High 25. Tuesday night: Cloudy periods. Low 11. Wednesday: Sunny. High 24. Wednesday night: Clear. Low 11. Thursday: Sunny. High 22. Thursday night: Cloudy periods. Low 12. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20. Friday night: Cloudy periods. Low 11. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    15.8° C
    -1.3 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.28 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    73 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    15.8° C
    Heat Index
    15.8° C
    Dewpoint
    10.9° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 2:00:00 PST
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    04:40
    Moon Phase
    Last quarter (44% full)
    Civil Set
    21:52
    Day Length
    13:16:23
    Day High
    18.1° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low
    15.8° C @ 01:59 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.28 kPa @ 01:59 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.21 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    15.8° C @ 01:59 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    18.1° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 0.1km/h @ 00:05 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    0W/m2 @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

Our wonderful stretch of dry and warm weather this September still does not have an end in sight. There is a break predicted on the long range forecast for the end of the month. (Sept 29) but I’m going to go out on a limb and say that there is some doubt there since forecasts 5 days or more out are generally ‘climatology’ based.

In other words, the long term forecasts from the GFS and Canadian models are often based largely on ‘what happened before’ around this time of year…. So if the pattern is exceptional–and surely we are approaching that now–then the long term forecasts likely won’t have more than a random chance of being correct. I may have to dig into the EC archives and see just how unusual this stretch has been.

In the meantime, keep the sunscreen handy and the fans on because we will be hitting record territory at 30C today and will be in the upper teens through the week.

Sunday Sept 16: 28.8C broke the record of 28.3C in 2008
Monday: Forecast of 30C would break 25.5C set in 1999

Basically if we hit 29C or higher at any point this week we will quite likely break a record and they all were set in either 1999 or 1995.

The normal temperature for this time of year is 21C.

Enjoy!