Tue. Aug 21st, 2018

Forecast holds. Showers Thursday. Rain early Friday morning.

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - SPECIAL AIR QUALITY STATEMENT IN EFFECT
    Issued: 9:22 PM PDT Monday 20 August 2018

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Monday 20 August 2018 - Monday night: Overcast. Widespread smoke. Low 11. Tuesday: Overcast. Widespread smoke. High 26. Humidex 31. UV index 3 or moderate. Tuesday night: Partly cloudy. Widespread smoke. Low 11. Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 27. Wednesday night: Cloudy periods. Low 12. Thursday: Sunny. High 23. Thursday night: Clear. Low 11. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 24. Friday night: Cloudy periods. Low 12. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20. Saturday night: Cloudy periods. Low 13. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 21.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    14.2° C
    -0.9 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.8 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    69 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    14.2° C
    Heat Index
    14.2° C
    Dewpoint
    8.6° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 2:50:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    05:44
    Moon Phase
    Waxing gibbous (79% full)
    Civil Set
    20:59
    Day Length
    13:22:16
    Day High
    17.2° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low
    14.2° C @ 02:48 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.8 kPa @ 02:14 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.75 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    14.2° C @ 02:48 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    17.2° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 0.0km/h @ 00:05 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    0W/m2 @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

The models have settled down and now all seem to be agreeing that we will receive some moisture starting Thursday.  It is an odd couple of disturbances that will affect the region.  The first will centre most of its moisture on the South Island, especially Victoria and the Gulf Islands.  The second will centre its activity on the North Island from Courtenay and up.  In both cases, there is a chance we will be left out completely, but Friday especially looks strong and widespread enough for us to get some.

The chance of rain will start in the afternoon Thursday.  There is a good chance judging by the chart below that we will only see very light showers if anything.

image image

 

The chart above shows Friday at 2AM a stronger push from the north which should definitely deliver us moisture and hopefully take the fire risk down to High from Extreme.

It looks like it will clear up Friday and get warm again for the weekend before another weak system comes through Monday evening and overnight, but with the way things have been with the models this week we should wait to see.

Have a great Hump Day!