Fri. Feb 22nd, 2019

Forecast holds. Showers Thursday. Rain early Friday morning.

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PST Thursday 21 February 2019 - Thursday night: Cloudy. Periods of snow beginning late this evening. Amount 2 to 4 cm. Wind up to 15 km/h. Low minus 1. Wind chill minus 3 in the evening. Friday: Periods of snow ending near noon then cloudy with 40 percent chance of rain showers. Snowfall amount 2 to 4 cm. High 6. UV index 1 or low. Friday night: Cloudy. Flurries beginning late in the evening. Amount 2 cm. Wind up to 15 km/h. Low minus 2. Wind chill near minus 4. Saturday: Flurries or rain showers. High plus 4. Saturday night: Clear. Low minus 4. Sunday: Sunny. High plus 5. Sunday night: Clear. Low minus 5. Monday: Sunny. High 7. Monday night: Clear. Low minus 5. Tuesday: Sunny. High 6. Tuesday night: Clear. Low minus 5. Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud. High plus 5.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    2.9° C
    -0.7 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.31 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    87 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    2.9° C
    Heat Index
    2.9° C
    Dewpoint
    1.0° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 3:50:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    06:42
    Moon Phase
    Waning gibbous (88% full)
    Civil Set
    18:24
    Day Length
    12:32:40
    Day High
    4.2° C @ 00:53 Tdy.
    Day Low
    2.9° C @ 03:49 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.64 kPa @ 00:13 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.31 kPa @ 03:44 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    -0.2° C @ 02:50 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    4.2° C @ 00:53 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 8.0km/h @ 03:00 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    0W/m2 @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

The models have settled down and now all seem to be agreeing that we will receive some moisture starting Thursday.  It is an odd couple of disturbances that will affect the region.  The first will centre most of its moisture on the South Island, especially Victoria and the Gulf Islands.  The second will centre its activity on the North Island from Courtenay and up.  In both cases, there is a chance we will be left out completely, but Friday especially looks strong and widespread enough for us to get some.

The chance of rain will start in the afternoon Thursday.  There is a good chance judging by the chart below that we will only see very light showers if anything.

image image

 

The chart above shows Friday at 2AM a stronger push from the north which should definitely deliver us moisture and hopefully take the fire risk down to High from Extreme.

It looks like it will clear up Friday and get warm again for the weekend before another weak system comes through Monday evening and overnight, but with the way things have been with the models this week we should wait to see.

Have a great Hump Day!