Sat. Sep 21st, 2019

Forecast holds. Showers Thursday. Rain early Friday morning.

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 11:00 AM PDT Saturday 21 September 2019 - Saturday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 19. UV index 2 or low. Saturday night: Rain. Amount 10 to 20 mm. Low 15. Sunday: Rain ending in the morning then mainly cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Amount 5 mm. High 18. UV index 3 or moderate. Sunday night: Cloudy periods. Low 11. Monday: Periods of rain. High 14. Monday night: Rain. Low 11. Tuesday: Sunny. High 20. Tuesday night: Clear. Low 10. Wednesday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 15. Wednesday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low 7. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 17. Thursday night: Cloudy periods. Low 6. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 16.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    19.4° C
    0.4 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.7 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    SSW 13 km/h
    gusting 24 km/h
    Humidity
    72 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    19.4° C
    Heat Index
    19.4° C
    Dewpoint
    14.2° C
    UV
    2.4
    Solar
    317 W/m2
    Last Updated: 14:10:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Today's Almanac
    Rain since Midnight
    0.0 mm
    Continuous Rainfall (< 24hr gap)
    No Qualifying Rainfall mm
    Civil Rise
    06:31
    Moon Phase
    Last quarter (53% full)
    Civil Set
    19:52
    Day Length
    13:12:14
    Day High
    19.4° C @ 14:07 Tdy.
    Day Low
    13.9° C @ 02:33 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    102.04 kPa @ 02:13 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.7 kPa @ 13:59 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    13.9° C @ 02:33 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    19.4° C @ 14:07 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 13km/h @ 14:10 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    770W/m2 @ 11:41 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    4.0 @ 11:41 Tdy.

The models have settled down and now all seem to be agreeing that we will receive some moisture starting Thursday.  It is an odd couple of disturbances that will affect the region.  The first will centre most of its moisture on the South Island, especially Victoria and the Gulf Islands.  The second will centre its activity on the North Island from Courtenay and up.  In both cases, there is a chance we will be left out completely, but Friday especially looks strong and widespread enough for us to get some.

The chance of rain will start in the afternoon Thursday.  There is a good chance judging by the chart below that we will only see very light showers if anything.

image image

 

The chart above shows Friday at 2AM a stronger push from the north which should definitely deliver us moisture and hopefully take the fire risk down to High from Extreme.

It looks like it will clear up Friday and get warm again for the weekend before another weak system comes through Monday evening and overnight, but with the way things have been with the models this week we should wait to see.

Have a great Hump Day!