Sat. Sep 21st, 2019

Fantastic Weekend coming

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 11:00 AM PDT Saturday 21 September 2019 - Saturday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 19. UV index 2 or low. Saturday night: Rain. Amount 10 to 20 mm. Low 15. Sunday: Rain ending in the morning then mainly cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Amount 5 mm. High 18. UV index 3 or moderate. Sunday night: Cloudy periods. Low 11. Monday: Periods of rain. High 14. Monday night: Rain. Low 11. Tuesday: Sunny. High 20. Tuesday night: Clear. Low 10. Wednesday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 15. Wednesday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low 7. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 17. Thursday night: Cloudy periods. Low 6. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 16.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    19.4° C
    0.4 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.7 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    SSW 13 km/h
    gusting 24 km/h
    Humidity
    72 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    19.4° C
    Heat Index
    19.4° C
    Dewpoint
    14.2° C
    UV
    2.4
    Solar
    317 W/m2
    Last Updated: 14:10:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Today's Almanac
    Rain since Midnight
    0.0 mm
    Continuous Rainfall (< 24hr gap)
    No Qualifying Rainfall mm
    Civil Rise
    06:31
    Moon Phase
    Last quarter (53% full)
    Civil Set
    19:52
    Day Length
    13:12:14
    Day High
    19.4° C @ 14:07 Tdy.
    Day Low
    13.9° C @ 02:33 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    102.04 kPa @ 02:13 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.7 kPa @ 13:59 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    13.9° C @ 02:33 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    19.4° C @ 14:07 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 13km/h @ 14:10 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    770W/m2 @ 11:41 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    4.0 @ 11:41 Tdy.

But the most important question is: will it hit 30C, should you make a guess and will someone win the contest even before the entry period is finished!?

If you want to make a guess for this weekend or Monday or Tuesday you certainly can. If you are on the ball, you can do that, then change your entry before the deadline on Wednesday morning.

Is it worth the risk? Lets check it out.

20130502-073231.jpg

20130502-073057.jpg

20130502-073104.jpg

The three charts are for Saturday, Sunday and Monday. There is no white in our area, which would indicate 80F or 26C… So they disagree with Environment Canada on that point.

The GFS also does not show us over 30C.

20130502-073643.jpg.

Given all the forecasts, I’d give an outside chance, maybe 20%, of the digital mercury breaking 30C. We have been consistently warmer in the City than our EC forecasts this spring so if you want to roll the dice go for it. If the EC forecast holds at 28C… Who knows, sometimes hitting 2C over the mark seems so easy, other times not.

Either way, the BBQs will be going strong I’m sure!
The peak looks like Sunday and by Tuesday we should be dropping back towards normal highs for this time of year.

2 thoughts on “Fantastic Weekend coming

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