Sun. Nov 18th, 2018

Fantastic Weekend coming

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PST Saturday 17 November 2018 - Saturday night: Clear. Fog patches developing overnight. Wind up to 15 km/h. Low minus 2. Wind chill minus 4 overnight. Sunday: Sunny. Fog patches dissipating in the morning. High 10. UV index 1 or low. Sunday night: Clear. Fog patches overnight. Wind up to 15 km/h. Low minus 1. Wind chill minus 3 overnight. Monday: Sunny. High 8. Monday night: Clear. Low plus 1. Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 7. Tuesday night: Periods of rain. Low plus 1. Wednesday: Rain. High 8. Wednesday night: Rain. Low 6. Thursday: Rain. High 10. Thursday night: Rain. Low plus 5. Friday: Rain. High 9.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    1.7° C
    -0.8 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    102.54 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    ENE 1.8 km/h
    gusting 3.2 km/h
    Humidity
    95 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    1.7° C
    Heat Index
    1.7° C
    Dewpoint
    1.0° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 21:25:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.3 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    06:56
    Moon Phase
    First quarter (74% full)
    Civil Set
    17:11
    Day Length
    12:04:14
    Day High
    10.3° C @ 15:07 Tdy.
    Day Low
    1.7° C @ 21:22 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    102.87 kPa @ 08:58 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    102.54 kPa @ 21:14 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    -0.1° C @ 20:36 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    10.3° C @ 15:07 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 6.0km/h @ 17:00 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    482W/m2 @ 12:21 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    1.3 @ 11:59 Tdy.

But the most important question is: will it hit 30C, should you make a guess and will someone win the contest even before the entry period is finished!?

If you want to make a guess for this weekend or Monday or Tuesday you certainly can. If you are on the ball, you can do that, then change your entry before the deadline on Wednesday morning.

Is it worth the risk? Lets check it out.

20130502-073231.jpg

20130502-073057.jpg

20130502-073104.jpg

The three charts are for Saturday, Sunday and Monday. There is no white in our area, which would indicate 80F or 26C… So they disagree with Environment Canada on that point.

The GFS also does not show us over 30C.

20130502-073643.jpg.

Given all the forecasts, I’d give an outside chance, maybe 20%, of the digital mercury breaking 30C. We have been consistently warmer in the City than our EC forecasts this spring so if you want to roll the dice go for it. If the EC forecast holds at 28C… Who knows, sometimes hitting 2C over the mark seems so easy, other times not.

Either way, the BBQs will be going strong I’m sure!
The peak looks like Sunday and by Tuesday we should be dropping back towards normal highs for this time of year.

2 thoughts on “Fantastic Weekend coming

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