Extreme Fire Danger, Extremely Early

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Wednesday 20 June 2018 - Wednesday night: Partly cloudy. 30 percent chance of showers this evening with risk of a thunderstorm. Low 13. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. 30 percent chance of showers in the afternoon with risk of a thunderstorm. High 27. UV index 8 or very high. Thursday night: Partly cloudy. 30 percent chance of showers in the evening with risk of a thunderstorm. Low 12. Friday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 23. Friday night: Clear. Low 11. Saturday: Sunny. High 27. Saturday night: Clear. Low 11. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud with 30 percent chance of showers. High 23. Sunday night: Cloudy periods. Low 12. Monday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20. Monday night: Cloudy periods. Low 10. Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    15.3° C
    -0.8 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.44 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    NNE 0.4 km/h
    gusting 4.8 km/h
    Humidity
    86 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    15.3° C
    Heat Index
    15.3° C
    Dewpoint
    12.9° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 1:15:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    04:29
    Moon Phase
    First quarter (60% full)
    Civil Set
    22:13
    Day Length
    13:21:04
    Day High
    16.2° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low
    15.3° C @ 01:07 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.44 kPa @ 01:13 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.34 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    15.3° C @ 01:07 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    16.2° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 5.7km/h @ 00:20 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    0W/m2 @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

Very good article in the Paper today about the heat, and the fire danger.

We have already had 4 days of Extreme Fire Danger… the most for June in at least the past 14 years.

Please, just because it will be a little cooler, relatively, on Friday and the weekend, be very very careful out in the bush and read the rest of this post.

On Tuesday 32 of the agency’s 39 weather stations went into crossover, a term used to describe temperatures climbing above the relative humidity, indicating hot, dry conditions.

June 2009 Graph

That goes for my station as well. You can see the effect in this graph when the “Heat Index” (red line) is actually below the temperature because it is so dry.

Below is the Humidty today (Blue line)… went down to an incredible 14% at my station. It wouldn’t have been that low in the bush… but likely no more than 3 or 4% more out in the bush.
June 2009 Humidity Graph

“Yesterday [Tuesday] was the biggest span with 30.7 C at 20% relative humidity,” MacPherson said. “That’s a huge span. When you get that kind of crossover our spidey senses start tingling. We’re looking at very easy ignition.”

I’m pretty sure it was worse today.

But this is the really dangerous news:

Long-term forecasts from Environment Canada are for higher-than-normal temperatures for the summer and below normal rainfall. While the Valley can expect a cooling trend towards the weekend, there’s no call for rain. Still, the changing temperatures and weather aren’t good for firefighters.

“We’re hearing the lightning word for Friday or Saturday with no rain attached,” MacPherson said.

Please, if you’re camping or doing *anything* with fire (smoking, or whatever) be SO careful.

The green that is still around can be very deceiving… all it takes is a little bed of pine needles or a scrap of paper.

One Reply to “Extreme Fire Danger, Extremely Early”

  1. Yay! Its 5:45 and cool enough outside to turn off the A/C and enjoy the easterly breeze when I open the doors on the house!

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