Sat. Dec 15th, 2018

Extreme Fire Danger, Extremely Early

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 11:00 AM PST Saturday 15 December 2018 - Saturday: Cloudy with 40 percent chance of showers. High 6. Saturday night: Rain. Amount 10 to 20 mm. Low plus 4. Sunday: Rain. Amount 20 mm. High 6. Sunday night: Rain. Low 6. Monday: Rain. High 7. Monday night: Rain. Low 6. Tuesday: Rain. High 7. Tuesday night: Rain. Low 7. Wednesday: Rain. High 8. Wednesday night: Rain. Low plus 5. Thursday: Periods of rain. High 7. Thursday night: Cloudy. Low plus 2. Friday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 6.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    5.8° C
    0.2 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.04 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    95 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    5.8° C
    Heat Index
    5.8° C
    Dewpoint
    5.0° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    18 W/m2
    Last Updated: 15:00:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.5 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    07:29
    Moon Phase
    First quarter (55% full)
    Civil Set
    16:59
    Day Length
    12:14:29
    Day High
    5.8° C @ 14:42 Tdy.
    Day Low
    2.5° C @ 07:33 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.42 kPa @ 07:28 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.04 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    1.1° C @ 01:31 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    5.8° C @ 14:42 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 7.5km/h @ 02:05 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    84W/m2 @ 12:29 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.5 @ 09:47 Tdy.

Very good article in the Paper today about the heat, and the fire danger.

We have already had 4 days of Extreme Fire Danger… the most for June in at least the past 14 years.

Please, just because it will be a little cooler, relatively, on Friday and the weekend, be very very careful out in the bush and read the rest of this post.

On Tuesday 32 of the agency’s 39 weather stations went into crossover, a term used to describe temperatures climbing above the relative humidity, indicating hot, dry conditions.

June 2009 Graph

That goes for my station as well. You can see the effect in this graph when the “Heat Index” (red line) is actually below the temperature because it is so dry.

Below is the Humidty today (Blue line)… went down to an incredible 14% at my station. It wouldn’t have been that low in the bush… but likely no more than 3 or 4% more out in the bush.
June 2009 Humidity Graph

“Yesterday [Tuesday] was the biggest span with 30.7 C at 20% relative humidity,” MacPherson said. “That’s a huge span. When you get that kind of crossover our spidey senses start tingling. We’re looking at very easy ignition.”

I’m pretty sure it was worse today.

But this is the really dangerous news:

Long-term forecasts from Environment Canada are for higher-than-normal temperatures for the summer and below normal rainfall. While the Valley can expect a cooling trend towards the weekend, there’s no call for rain. Still, the changing temperatures and weather aren’t good for firefighters.

“We’re hearing the lightning word for Friday or Saturday with no rain attached,” MacPherson said.

Please, if you’re camping or doing *anything* with fire (smoking, or whatever) be SO careful.

The green that is still around can be very deceiving… all it takes is a little bed of pine needles or a scrap of paper.

1 thought on “Extreme Fire Danger, Extremely Early

  1. Yay! Its 5:45 and cool enough outside to turn off the A/C and enjoy the easterly breeze when I open the doors on the house!

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