Wed. Aug 22nd, 2018

Extreme Cold in the East, Heat in the West

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - SPECIAL AIR QUALITY STATEMENT IN EFFECT
    Issued: 6:04 PM PDT Tuesday 21 August 2018

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Tuesday 21 August 2018 - Tuesday night: Partly cloudy. Widespread smoke. Low 12. Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud. Widespread smoke becoming local smoke near noon. High 31. Humidex 34. UV index 7 or high. Wednesday night: Partly cloudy. Local smoke. Low 12. Thursday: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. High 23. Thursday night: Cloudy periods with 30 percent chance of showers. Low 12. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 22. Friday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low 12. Saturday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 20. Saturday night: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. Low 13. Sunday: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. High 18. Sunday night: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. Low 11. Monday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    30.9° C
    -1.7 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.4 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    S 6.2 km/h
    gusting 20.9 km/h
    Humidity
    26 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    30.9° C
    Heat Index
    30.9° C
    Dewpoint
    9.2° C
    UV
    0.1
    Solar
    122 W/m2
    Last Updated: 18:20:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    05:44
    Moon Phase
    Waxing gibbous (83% full)
    Civil Set
    20:59
    Day Length
    13:22:16
    Day High
    33.3° C @ 16:03 Tdy.
    Day Low
    11.6° C @ 06:16 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.91 kPa @ 08:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.39 kPa @ 17:44 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    11.6° C @ 06:16 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    33.3° C @ 16:03 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 13.2km/h @ 17:00 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    705W/m2 @ 14:18 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    2.7 @ 13:01 Tdy.

So I know I have at least one reader, Mike, from Pennsylvania. How’s the weather out there?! Cold yet?

There are records being set all over the US and Canada, but not just cold. It was -45F (-40C) in Maine yesterday a new state record. While in California, the huge High pressure that is giving us all the fog brought 73F (21C) temperatures to San Jose, a new record. And strangest of all, the Pineapple Express that normally washes over us this time of year is being deflected into Alaska, where a new record of 53F (12C) was set… this only a week after a low of -50F in the same town (a change of 100 degrees Farenheit!).

All this data is courtesy of Jeff Masters:
http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/show.html

So WHY is it so cold??

a sharp kink in the jet stream is responsible for the wild weather we’re having. A ridge of high pressure over Alaska is forcing the jet to bow northwards into northern Alaska, allowing warm air from the Hawaii area to stream northwards over the region. Whenever the jet contorts into such a pattern, there must be a return flow of cold air from the pole that develops. That is occurring over the eastern half of the U.S., bringing us our Arctic air blast.

He also had some very interesting things to say about his “top climate story in 2008“.. the loss of Arctic Sea ice and how it might be directly affecting our weather in North America.

The impact on the jet stream
The unprecedented melting of arctic sea ice the past two summers has undoubtedly had a significant impact on the early winter weather over the Northern Hemisphere. Several modeling studies presented at the December AGU meeting showed that sea ice melt on this scale is capable of injecting enough heat into the atmosphere to result in a major shift in the jet stream. Dr. Overland remarked that the early cold winter over North America this winter, and the exceptionally cold and snowy early winter in China last winter, were likely related to arctic sea ice loss. The sea ice loss induced a strong poleward flow of warm air over eastern Siberia, and a return flow of cold air from the Pole developed to compensate. Thus regions on either side of eastern Siberia–China and North America–have gotten unusually cold and snowy winters as a result.

2 thoughts on “Extreme Cold in the East, Heat in the West

  1. Did he have any predictions for anymore cold air coming here in the next couple of months? Or have you seen any forecats for the rest of winter?

  2. He didn’t mention anything about the cold air getting over here. As long as the jet stream/pineapple express is still pushing just north and west of us as it is now there won’t be any opportunity for cold air to push down our way… I’m looking at the long long range forecast (Out to Feb 2) right now and it’s saying things are going to stay pretty constant in terms of temperature with some more normal fronts coming through by next weekend.

    They do have a one-day dip around the 31st down to -5 or -10, but it’s so far out, and it’s only one day, that I wouldn’t put any great expectations on it.

    Don’t know about the rest of the winter, but I’m willing to bet, just based on how cold it has already been, that we’ll get some more snow when those fronts move through.

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