Dry? Wet? Warm? Cold? Roll the dice, it ain’t December anymore.

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Sunday 20 May 2018 - Sunday night: Partly cloudy. Fog patches developing overnight. Low 9. Monday: Clearing in the morning. Fog patches dissipating in the morning. High 24. UV index 7 or high. Monday night: Clear. Low 9. Tuesday: Sunny. High 28. Tuesday night: Clear. Low 12. Wednesday: Sunny. High 29. Wednesday night: Clear. Low 11. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 27. Thursday night: Cloudy periods. Low 11. Friday: Sunny. High 22. Friday night: Clear. Low 11. Saturday: Sunny. High 23.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    17.1° C
    0.1 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.69 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    SSW 16.9 km/h
    gusting 27.4 km/h
    Humidity
    66 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    17.1° C
    Heat Index
    17.1° C
    Dewpoint
    10.7° C
    UV
    1.2
    Solar
    365 W/m2
    Last Updated: 18:20:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    04:49
    Moon Phase
    Waxing crescent (38% full)
    Civil Set
    21:43
    Day Length
    13:15:45
    Day High
    18.6° C @ 15:56 Tdy.
    Day Low
    12.5° C @ 05:28 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.7 kPa @ 13:59 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.43 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    12.5° C @ 05:28 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    18.6° C @ 15:56 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 18.3km/h @ 13:25 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    1283W/m2 @ 15:26 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    7.6 @ 14:05 Tdy.

It has been a rough week for forecasters and the models they rely on. After the UW GFS got its big win on Saturday when the snow appeared as it had predicted, it then completely failed to capture the severity of the snow on Sunday and especially Monday.

This week looks like it’s going to be another difficult one. We should stay dry. Though at least for the next day or so there will be a threat that a system may come ashore.

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You can see the rain lingering off the coast. The models and forecasts have it staying out there, pushed away by high pressure building over BC.

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If the high is not as strong as predicted, it may sneak through. So keep an eye on that. If there is still cold air trapped around the region, it could mean more snow, or freezing rain, for areas already buried by white stuff like Nanaimo.

Speaking of Nanaimo, it looks like there was as much as 30cm that fell at sea level in Nanoose and over 60cm at higher elevations in neighbourhoods around VIU. This is a snow event we usually associate with the Christmas and New Years season, like 1996 and 2010 when Nanaimo got 90 cm and 60 cm respectively.

Having this at the end of February is unusual. The record for snow at Vancouver Airport for February 24th was 0.4cm. They beat that. Today, they are reporting ice fog. Ice fog?

Roads aren’t great either. Highway 4 wasn’t bad but there are a number of cars in the ditch on Highway 19. Please drive carefully if you are on the East side of the Island.

If the high holds on Wednesday and Thursday we are supposed to warm up to around 10°C.

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But at this point that warmth looks to be short lived as we are slated for more freezing temperatures by the weekend.

Looking a little further, the jetstream is predicted to be mostly under us, which should mean cold air can come down from the North, though really it’s just a big mess.

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Here’s the cold air predicted for the weekend.

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But don’t put too much faith in that weekend forecast. The way the pattern has gone this past little while, it could be the exact opposite. One thing is for sure, we are in a completely different regime now than we were from October through January where the atmosphere was basically stuck in one configuration and one only. Now, we are left to roll the dice.