Mon. Nov 12th, 2018

Dry through the weekend, possible snow Sunday night / Monday

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 05:00 AM PST Monday 12 November 2018 - Monday: Clearing. High 10. UV index 1 or low. Monday night: Increasing cloudiness. 40 percent chance of showers before morning. Low plus 3. Tuesday: Periods of rain. High 10. Tuesday night: Rain. Low 7. Wednesday: Periods of rain. High 12. Wednesday night: Showers. Low 7. Thursday: Periods of rain. High 11. Thursday night: Periods of rain. Low 7. Friday: Periods of rain. High 11. Friday night: Cloudy periods. Low 6. Saturday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 10. Saturday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low 6. Sunday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 10.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    3.5° C
    0.1 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    103.07 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    98 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    3.5° C
    Heat Index
    3.5° C
    Dewpoint
    3.2° C
    UV
    0.7
    Solar
    140 W/m2
    Last Updated: 10:35:00 PST
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.3 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    06:49
    Moon Phase
    Waxing crescent (25% full)
    Civil Set
    17:16
    Day Length
    12:03:23
    Day High
    3.6° C @ 10:30 Tdy.
    Day Low
    1.6° C @ 04:08 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    103.23 kPa @ 00:58 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    103.07 kPa @ 10:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    -0.3° C @ 04:05 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    3.6° C @ 10:30 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 3.7km/h @ 02:05 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    151W/m2 @ 10:32 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.8 @ 10:32 Tdy.

Once again there is dissension in the model ranks. Contrary to the official EC forecast, the UW forecast model has no chance of precipitation of any kind today, Friday, Saturday, or Sunday morning.

Here is the precip map stretching from Thursday 4AM to Sunday 4AM.

20140227-065203.jpg

It’s bone dry for us. So if we do happen to get any precipitation, don’t expect it to be anything more than drizzle or the lightest flurry.

As Sunday rolls around, things get more interesting. We should get cold again as this image shows. The entire Island and region is forecast to be at or below 0°C. (32°F on the map… Man I wish they would just use metric/international units!)

20140227-065521.jpg

If it does indeed get that cold, it is going to potentially lead to one of our famous and loveable dump and wash events as a warm front pushes onto the coach Sunday afternoon, intensifies Sunday night and extends in Monday morning.

This forecast is still early, so amounts will certainly change or may disappear but like last week, the GFS has been consistent through the last few runs on this happening with only timing changing slightly.

20140227-070319.jpg

The forecast has us changing over to rain early Monday morning but at this point it’s not worth being any more specific since the timing is bound to change. Just know that we are likely to have snow and/or rain on Sunday night and rain on Monday with slush and perhaps freezing rain in between. Good times!