Tue. Jul 16th, 2019

Difficult weekend forecast. Should be drier than Vancouver/Victoria

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Monday 15 July 2019 - Monday night: Mainly cloudy. 40 percent chance of showers early this evening with risk of thunderstorms. Low 15. Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud. 30 percent chance of showers in the morning. High 25. Humidex 27. UV index 8 or very high. Tuesday night: Cloudy. Rain beginning in the evening. Low 14. Wednesday: Periods of rain. High 21. Wednesday night: Cloudy periods with 30 percent chance of showers. Low 9. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20. Thursday night: Cloudy periods. Low 12. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 21. Friday night: Cloudy periods. Low 11. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 21. Saturday night: Cloudy periods. Low 12. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 22.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    15.8° C
    0.2 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.64 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0 km/h
    gusting 0 km/h
    Humidity
    90 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    15.8° C
    Heat Index
    15.8° C
    Dewpoint
    14.1° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 3:55:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Today's Almanac
    Rain since Midnight
    0.0 mm
    Continuous Rainfall (< 24hr gap)
    1.5 mm since
    July 15, 2019 00:07
    Civil Rise
    04:49
    Moon Phase
    Full (100% full)
    Civil Set
    22:00
    Day Length
    13:25:19
    Day High
    16.7° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low
    15.5° C @ 02:27 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.7 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.64 kPa @ 03:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    15.5° C @ 02:27 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    16.7° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 0km/h @ 01:20 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    0W/m2 @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

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That said, the weather stops for nothing! 🙂

Difficult forecast

Yesterday the models said the front coming up to the south would easily reach us and deliver quite a bit of rain. Today, they have backed off a little, keeping most of the active weather just to the south. These images are for 8-11AM and 11-2 Saturday
IMG_4940.GIFIMG_4941.GIF

This is one of those things where we simply won’t know until it happens. We could have everything from a bone dry day to rain all morning and into the afternoon. I’m going to lean toward the wetter side of things, but I would be surprised to see more than 5mm of rain total.

No matter what, it will clear out of the area by night time.

Sunday showers
On Sunday we should get some light and scattered showers in the morning that should move off quickly in the early afternoon.

Watching ex-Anna Monday
It’s going to be fun watching former hurricane Anna approach over the weekend. The current forecast is for her to make “landfall” on Central Vancouver Island on Monday night. You can see her approach very clearly here.
IMG_4945.GIF

However, with the speed she will be moving at I will be surprised if the models can accurately predict where she will be. So we will just have to watch her approach.

Here she is this morning, still lingering North of Hawaii.

IMG_4944.PNG

Happy Friday!