July 15, 2020

Definite change coming

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Tuesday 14 July 2020 - Tuesday night: Partly cloudy. Fog patches developing after midnight. Low 12. Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud. Fog patches dissipating in the morning. High 29. Humidex 32. UV index 8 or very high. Wednesday night: Partly cloudy. Becoming cloudy near midnight. Low 15. Thursday: Cloudy with 70 percent chance of showers. High 24. Thursday night: Cloudy with 70 percent chance of showers. Low 14. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 25. Friday night: Cloudy periods. Low 13. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 24. Saturday night: Cloudy periods. Low 14. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 25. Sunday night: Cloudy periods. Low 15. Monday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 26.

We’re going to get another bout of heavy rain tomorrow…. but I’m looking beyond that now because if the models are accurate (and they’ve been consistent on this for almost a week now) we look to be setting up for another bout of cold and potentially snowy, weather.

Here are todays results from the Global Forecast System.

First the short range forecast including the rain tomorrow.
Feb 13

The bars are precipitation… notice the main shot on Monday through Tuesday morning.

What’s interesting is the break about 1/3 the way through…. if you look at the other graphs you’ll see that break marks a change. Particularly the 850MB chart shows the air aloft will turn cold and stay that way. That likely means some arctic air will be making its way here and any precipitation that falls after Tuesday could fall as snow.

Here’s the following week up until March.

Feb 13

If that model pans out… everything between Tuesday and March 1 could be snow!

Whatever happens…it’s setting us up to be below freezing for a couple weeks.

14 thoughts on “Definite change coming

    1. checked it out………..lol………so cool to us weather fanatics! Showed it to son and husband 🙁 ….What do they know? Watching golf would be the only excitement around here, if I wasn’t around. They all think I am messed up. I got all excited seeing it again! Ready for the next bit of fun!!!!!!

  1. The Barometer is already lower than it was on Saturday, so the potential for strong wind is certainly there. It all depends on if it comes roaring up the Inlet or gets stopped by a mountain or two.

    1. It’s been blowing in Ukee pretty good all morning. Raining too. We were gonna head for Toquart Bay for a campfire, but I kaibashed that idea due to the rainfall. Might go look at Long Beach This afternoon.

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