Mon. Oct 22nd, 2018

Dangerous next few days – take precautions

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Sunday 21 October 2018 - Sunday night: A few clouds. Fog developing near midnight. Low plus 4. Monday: Fog dissipating in the morning then a mix of sun and cloud. High 16. UV index 2 or low. Monday night: Clear. Fog patches overnight. Low plus 4. Tuesday: Increasing cloudiness. High 16. Tuesday night: Rain. Low 9. Wednesday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 13. Wednesday night: Rain. Low 8. Thursday: Rain. High 12. Thursday night: Periods of rain. Low 8. Friday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 12. Friday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low 7. Saturday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 13.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    10.4° C
    -1.4 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.53 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    92 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    10.4° C
    Heat Index
    10.4° C
    Dewpoint
    9.2° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 20:30:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.3 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    07:16
    Moon Phase
    Waxing gibbous (93% full)
    Civil Set
    18:50
    Day Length
    13:03:47
    Day High
    17.7° C @ 16:16 Tdy.
    Day Low
    6.5° C @ 08:10 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.88 kPa @ 00:13 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.46 kPa @ 16:44 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    4.9° C @ 08:13 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    17.7° C @ 16:16 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 3.4km/h @ 08:15 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    615W/m2 @ 13:24 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    2.5 @ 13:21 Tdy.

As I type I am waiting for the 4PM forecast update to be issued by Environment Canada the 4PM update has been issued late. No doubt, they have their hands full what with the chaos that has been ongoing in the Fraser Valley today. They’ve got dumped on with snow with terrible consequences for drivers on Hwy 1.

The weather blogs are abuzz on the implications of a storm coming for Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. And equally abuzz because the models have been very indecisive. I’ve been monitoring Cliff Mass’ blog and he is using the Snowmagaeddon hyperbole to describe the storm from a Seattle perspective.

The good news is the models seem to be settling on a solution, and that solution is less severe though colder and snowy for us, than it may otherwise have been.

Do not expect much in Alberni on Tuesday. However, there is a snowfall warning for Victoria, and with the outflow winds I would watch for snow anywhere from Courtenay to Duncan as well.

The most severe interpretation seems to be in the long range Weather Network forecast that calls for up to 30cm (1ft) of snow over 48hrs Wednesday/Thursday.

Environment Canada has not yet gone into details but doesn’t currently look as bad as that.

I do not expect anything major for us tomorrow, but I do expect at least a 5-10cm on Wednesday.

Stay tuned…