Mon. Dec 10th, 2018

Dangerous next few days – take precautions

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 05:00 AM PST Monday 10 December 2018 - Monday: Mainly cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Fog patches dissipating this morning. Temperature steady near plus 5. Monday night: Rain. Amount 20 to 30 mm. Temperature steady near plus 5. Tuesday: Rain. Amount 15 to 25 mm. High 7. Tuesday night: Cloudy. Low plus 3. Wednesday: Rain. High 6. Wednesday night: Rain. Low plus 3. Thursday: Rain. High plus 5. Thursday night: Rain. Low plus 5. Friday: Rain. High 6. Friday night: Rain. Low plus 5. Saturday: Rain. High 8. Saturday night: Rain. Low 7. Sunday: Rain. High 8.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    5.2° C
    0.0 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    102.03 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    100 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    5.2° C
    Heat Index
    5.2° C
    Dewpoint
    5.2° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 5:10:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    2.3 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    07:24
    Moon Phase
    Waxing crescent (10% full)
    Civil Set
    16:59
    Day Length
    12:12:08
    Day High
    6.0° C @ 00:05 Tdy.
    Day Low
    4.7° C @ 03:50 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    9.4mm/hr @ 04:26 Tdy.
    Day High Barometer
    102.04 kPa @ 04:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.83 kPa @ 00:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    1.8° C @ 04:01 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    6.0° C @ 00:05 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 7.9km/h @ 04:05 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    0W/m2 @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

As I type I am waiting for the 4PM forecast update to be issued by Environment Canada the 4PM update has been issued late. No doubt, they have their hands full what with the chaos that has been ongoing in the Fraser Valley today. They’ve got dumped on with snow with terrible consequences for drivers on Hwy 1.

The weather blogs are abuzz on the implications of a storm coming for Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. And equally abuzz because the models have been very indecisive. I’ve been monitoring Cliff Mass’ blog and he is using the Snowmagaeddon hyperbole to describe the storm from a Seattle perspective.

The good news is the models seem to be settling on a solution, and that solution is less severe though colder and snowy for us, than it may otherwise have been.

Do not expect much in Alberni on Tuesday. However, there is a snowfall warning for Victoria, and with the outflow winds I would watch for snow anywhere from Courtenay to Duncan as well.

The most severe interpretation seems to be in the long range Weather Network forecast that calls for up to 30cm (1ft) of snow over 48hrs Wednesday/Thursday.

Environment Canada has not yet gone into details but doesn’t currently look as bad as that.

I do not expect anything major for us tomorrow, but I do expect at least a 5-10cm on Wednesday.

Stay tuned…