Fri. Feb 22nd, 2019

Dangerous next few days – take precautions

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PST Thursday 21 February 2019 - Thursday night: Cloudy. Periods of snow beginning late this evening. Amount 2 to 4 cm. Wind up to 15 km/h. Low minus 1. Wind chill minus 3 in the evening. Friday: Periods of snow ending near noon then cloudy with 40 percent chance of rain showers. Snowfall amount 2 to 4 cm. High 6. UV index 1 or low. Friday night: Cloudy. Flurries beginning late in the evening. Amount 2 cm. Wind up to 15 km/h. Low minus 2. Wind chill near minus 4. Saturday: Flurries or rain showers. High plus 4. Saturday night: Clear. Low minus 4. Sunday: Sunny. High plus 5. Sunday night: Clear. Low minus 5. Monday: Sunny. High 7. Monday night: Clear. Low minus 5. Tuesday: Sunny. High 6. Tuesday night: Clear. Low minus 5. Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud. High plus 5.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    3.8° C
    0.1 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.64 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    S 6.4 km/h
    gusting 11.3 km/h
    Humidity
    73 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    2.2° C
    Heat Index
    3.8° C
    Dewpoint
    -0.6° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 0:20:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    06:42
    Moon Phase
    Waning gibbous (89% full)
    Civil Set
    18:24
    Day Length
    12:32:40
    Day High
    3.8° C @ 00:17 Tdy.
    Day Low
    3.6° C @ 00:04 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.64 kPa @ 00:13 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.63 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    0.9° C @ 00:14 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    3.8° C @ 00:17 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 6.4km/h @ 00:20 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    0W/m2 @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

As I type I am waiting for the 4PM forecast update to be issued by Environment Canada the 4PM update has been issued late. No doubt, they have their hands full what with the chaos that has been ongoing in the Fraser Valley today. They’ve got dumped on with snow with terrible consequences for drivers on Hwy 1.

The weather blogs are abuzz on the implications of a storm coming for Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. And equally abuzz because the models have been very indecisive. I’ve been monitoring Cliff Mass’ blog and he is using the Snowmagaeddon hyperbole to describe the storm from a Seattle perspective.

The good news is the models seem to be settling on a solution, and that solution is less severe though colder and snowy for us, than it may otherwise have been.

Do not expect much in Alberni on Tuesday. However, there is a snowfall warning for Victoria, and with the outflow winds I would watch for snow anywhere from Courtenay to Duncan as well.

The most severe interpretation seems to be in the long range Weather Network forecast that calls for up to 30cm (1ft) of snow over 48hrs Wednesday/Thursday.

Environment Canada has not yet gone into details but doesn’t currently look as bad as that.

I do not expect anything major for us tomorrow, but I do expect at least a 5-10cm on Wednesday.

Stay tuned…