Damp weekend ahead – Dry April.

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PST Monday 19 February 2018 - Monday night: Mainly cloudy. 40 percent chance of flurries overnight. Low minus 5. Tuesday: Mainly cloudy with 40 percent chance of flurries in the morning and early in the afternoon. Clearing late in the afternoon. High plus 1. Tuesday night: Clear. Low minus 6. Wednesday: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of flurries. High plus 1. Wednesday night: Clear. Low minus 6. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. High plus 4. Thursday night: Cloudy periods. Low minus 4. Friday: Cloudy. High plus 4. Friday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of rain showers or flurries. Low zero. Saturday: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. High 6. Saturday night: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of rain showers or flurries. Low plus 1. Sunday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 6.

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    N 49° 14' 46.1" :: W 124° 47' 60" at 30 m Google View

This certainly looks like the greyest weekend we’ve had on tap for a while. That’s probably not a bad thing. It has been a fairly dry few weeks. I know my yard and newly popped open flowers, bushes, grapes, rhubarb – even the strawberries have flowers already – they could all use a good drink.

That said it doesnt look like a particularly strong event at all. We should continue to cloud over today and the first showers might come tonight.

The meat of the front isn’t slated to get to us until around 10AM tomorrow morning:

20130426-071904.jpg

Doesn’t look very impressive does it.

So how dry has it been?

Well our normal precipitation for April is 110mm

My station has received 53mm., the official Airport station? Only 51mm.

So there is no way we are going to get to our ‘Normal’ values in the next 4 days.

And just to give a further indication of how that lack of rain dries up the ground. Go to my monthly page and check out the ‘Evapotranspiration’ and ‘Net Moisture’ numbers. Thanks to the solar radiation sensor and combined with the wind, the station measures how much evaporation occurs.

Precip: 52.83mm
Evap: -60.66mm
Net: -7.83mm

So clearly if we were anywhere near our normal 100mm in April we would be still gaining moisture in our gardens, grasses and forests. As it is, we are already drying out.

So don’t be too sad if the rains come heavier than forecast. We could use them.

Oh! I almost forgot!
Heads Up!