October 23, 2020

Cold Snap on the way.

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT IN EFFECT
    Issued: 00:28 AM PDT Friday 23 October 2020

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Thursday 22 October 2020 - Thursday night: Increasing cloudiness. Wet snow over higher terrain overnight. Rain beginning late this evening. Low plus 3. Friday: Rain. Wet snow over higher terrain in the morning. Becoming windy in the morning. High plus 5. Friday night: A few showers ending in the evening then clearing. Wind up to 15 km/h. Low minus 2. Wind chill minus 7 overnight. Saturday: Sunny. High plus 5. Saturday night: Clear. Low minus 5. Sunday: Sunny. High plus 5. Sunday night: Cloudy periods. Low zero. Monday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 8. Monday night: Cloudy periods. Low 6. Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud with 30 percent chance of showers. High 11. Tuesday night: Cloudy periods with 30 percent chance of showers. Low 7. Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud with 30 percent chance of showers. High 12.

Once the rain ends today we will be headed into a cold spell.

We will have a few more showers on Tuesday, but starting Tuesday night the winds are going to shift around to the Northwest and the cold will be coming not only for us, but for the whole Pacific NW.

Check out the maps below:

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Above is early Wednesday morning. You can see the relatively warm air hanging on. There is slated to be a little more rain around this time, though as you will see below, there is a chance it might fall as snow.

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Here is the height of the cold spell on Friday morning. The Arctic air has reached all the way down to California and Nevada. We should be firmly below zero, as low as -5. It will be dry though, in fact Thursday is looking clear and sunny.

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Backing up again to Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. While the GFS and UWash forecasts are not calling for snow in our region, this depiction from the European model is still showing a chance at least for places away from the water to get 1-2 inches of snow Tuesday night. We will see what the upcoming GFS and Euro model runs say. (Thank you to Monty in the comments for pointing me to the Wundermap of the Euro model. You can get to it by click the image)