Sat. Feb 23rd, 2019

Chance of Freezing Rain tonight

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PST Saturday 23 February 2019 - Saturday night: Rain showers and flurries changing to a few flurries near midnight. Wind up to 15 km/h. Low minus 1. Wind chill minus 3 overnight. Sunday: Clearing in the morning. High 7. UV index 2 or low. Sunday night: Clear. Wind up to 15 km/h. Low minus 5. Wind chill near minus 7. Monday: Sunny. High plus 5. Monday night: Clear. Low minus 6. Tuesday: Sunny. High plus 4. Tuesday night: Clear. Low minus 7. Wednesday: Snow. High plus 3. Wednesday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of rain showers or flurries. Low zero. Thursday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of flurries or rain showers. High 7. Thursday night: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of rain showers or flurries. Low zero. Friday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 7.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    4.4° C
    -0.6 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.72 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    90 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    4.4° C
    Heat Index
    4.4° C
    Dewpoint
    2.9° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    5 W/m2
    Last Updated: 17:45:00 PST
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.3 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    06:40
    Moon Phase
    Waning gibbous (75% full)
    Civil Set
    18:25
    Day Length
    12:32:32
    Day High
    6.9° C @ 14:00 Tdy.
    Day Low
    -1.6° C @ 01:46 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.77 kPa @ 11:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.51 kPa @ 00:13 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    -1.6° C @ 01:46 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    6.9° C @ 14:00 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 14.6km/h @ 15:05 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    650W/m2 @ 12:25 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    1.7 @ 12:25 Tdy.

I wasn’t going to worry too much about tonight, but Environment Canada has warned of a chance of freezing rain tonight, which is always treacherous.

Freezing rain occurs when rain falls from the sky and freezes on contact with objects and the ground.

We’re currently well below zero, nearly -2C now. The showers and rain that we will be getting tonight, tomorrow, and for the foreseeable future is going to be warm. Therefore, the rain will fall from the warmth above, and down into what could be freezing conditions near the ground. A perfect recipe for freezing rain.

Regardless of the possibilities, if you are driving tonight, you should be very aware of this possibility.

The models are pretty adamantly showing that tonights rain is (finally) the start of a trend. December has been very dry so far. We have only received 11mm of rain!. Last year we had received almost 200mm by now. The Average for the month is between 275mm (at the old station on the harbour) and 300mm (at the continuing station at Robertson Creek Hatchery)

Cliff Mass has an excellent entry today explaining why La Nina, while living up to its cold prediction, hasn’t lived up to its usual wetness.

Basically, the center of the big high pressure, which is normal for La Nina and has been giving us our white-sunshine, has been closer to the coast than it usually is… effectively deflecting all the weather systems north, south, and east of us.

It looks like it’s going to pull back in the next week or two, and we should get some of the moisture that we’re used to in a La Nina.

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