Fri. Sep 21st, 2018

Break through the fog!

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT IN EFFECT
    Issued: 3:44 PM PDT Friday 21 September 2018

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Friday 21 September 2018 - Friday night: Periods of rain. Risk of thunderstorms this evening. Amount 10 to 20 mm. Low 12. Saturday: Showers. Amount 5 to 10 mm. High 15. UV index 2 or low. Saturday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low 10. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 18. Sunday night: Clear. Low 6. Monday: Sunny. High 19. Monday night: Clear. Low 6. Tuesday: Sunny. High 23. Tuesday night: Clear. Low 8. Wednesday: Sunny. High 21. Wednesday night: Clear. Low 8. Thursday: Sunny. High 21.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    15.2° C
    -0.6 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    100.82 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    95 %
    Rain Rate
    1.3 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    15.2° C
    Heat Index
    15.2° C
    Dewpoint
    14.4° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    10 W/m2
    Last Updated: 16:05:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    17.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    06:31
    Moon Phase
    Waxing gibbous (91% full)
    Civil Set
    19:51
    Day Length
    13:12:10
    Day High
    16.9° C @ 10:50 Tdy.
    Day Low
    11.6° C @ 06:51 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    18.3mm/hr @ 00:08 Tdy.
    Day High Barometer
    101.5 kPa @ 00:13 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    100.82 kPa @ 15:43 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    11.6° C @ 06:51 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    16.9° C @ 10:50 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 22.7km/h @ 12:30 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    601W/m2 @ 10:13 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    2.7 @ 11:49 Tdy.

We are a little socked in this morning. The East side of the Island is bathed in warm sun but we have a pretty thick deck of cloud above us. Once the sun climbs high enough into the sky though I think you’ll see the clouds burn off pretty quickly and we should get into the high teens or low twenties today!

It will be short lived though as we have some rain showers headed our way for tonight and tomorrow.

But then it will switch back to sun and warmth for the late part of the week and weekend… So really, not a bad week shaping up for us!

Bill mentioned in the comments that Accuweather is predicting another cool summer for us out on the West Coast.

Here is their map:

20120611-072638.jpg

Now I went back to last years forecast at this time from Accuweather here just to check out what it looked for last Summer, which was Seasonable temperatures thanks to a weakening La Nina.

20120611-074018.jpg

What we ended up with of course was the Bummer Summer of 2011.

So the first message here I think for all of us (including me!) is to take any of these seasonal forecasts with a big grain of salt. We just aren’t that great at them yet and perhaps climate is loading the dice in ways we don’t fully understand yet.

That said my feeling is that the past year has been similar to 2011 but trending warmer. Also, El Niño is trending warmer this year than it did last so I’m thinking that while we may not get the heat some are really craving this summer I don’t think it will be nearly as bad as last summer. So don’t worry! The sun will still shine, including today! 🙂