Fri. Jul 19th, 2019

Break through the fog!

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Friday 19 July 2019 - Friday night: Partly cloudy. Clearing this evening. Low 10. Saturday: Sunny. High 27. UV index 7 or high. Saturday night: Partly cloudy. Low 8. Sunday: Sunny. High 29. Sunday night: Clear. Low 11. Monday: Sunny. High 26. Monday night: Clear. Low 14. Tuesday: Sunny. High 25. Tuesday night: Clear. Low 13. Wednesday: Sunny. High 22. Wednesday night: Clear. Low 12. Thursday: Sunny. High 23.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    22.6° C
    -0.8 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.92 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    SSW 2 km/h
    gusting 10 km/h
    Humidity
    51 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    22.6° C
    Heat Index
    22.6° C
    Dewpoint
    12.0° C
    UV
    1.5
    Solar
    201 W/m2
    Last Updated: 17:50:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Today's Almanac
    Rain since Midnight
    0.3 mm
    Continuous Rainfall (< 24hr gap)
    7.6 mm since
    July 18, 2019 00:07
    Civil Rise
    04:53
    Moon Phase
    Waning gibbous (91% full)
    Civil Set
    21:57
    Day Length
    13:25:32
    Day High
    24.2° C @ 15:42 Tdy.
    Day Low
    10.8° C @ 02:50 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    102.02 kPa @ 08:59 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.77 kPa @ 00:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    10.8° C @ 02:50 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    24.2° C @ 15:42 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 8km/h @ 16:30 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    969W/m2 @ 14:31 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    5.8 @ 12:42 Tdy.

We are a little socked in this morning. The East side of the Island is bathed in warm sun but we have a pretty thick deck of cloud above us. Once the sun climbs high enough into the sky though I think you’ll see the clouds burn off pretty quickly and we should get into the high teens or low twenties today!

It will be short lived though as we have some rain showers headed our way for tonight and tomorrow.

But then it will switch back to sun and warmth for the late part of the week and weekend… So really, not a bad week shaping up for us!

Bill mentioned in the comments that Accuweather is predicting another cool summer for us out on the West Coast.

Here is their map:

20120611-072638.jpg

Now I went back to last years forecast at this time from Accuweather here just to check out what it looked for last Summer, which was Seasonable temperatures thanks to a weakening La Nina.

20120611-074018.jpg

What we ended up with of course was the Bummer Summer of 2011.

So the first message here I think for all of us (including me!) is to take any of these seasonal forecasts with a big grain of salt. We just aren’t that great at them yet and perhaps climate is loading the dice in ways we don’t fully understand yet.

That said my feeling is that the past year has been similar to 2011 but trending warmer. Also, El Niño is trending warmer this year than it did last so I’m thinking that while we may not get the heat some are really craving this summer I don’t think it will be nearly as bad as last summer. So don’t worry! The sun will still shine, including today! 🙂