Wed. Nov 20th, 2019

Break through the fog!

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 05:00 AM PST Wednesday 20 November 2019 - Wednesday: Sunny. Fog patches dissipating this morning. High 6. UV index 1 or low. Wednesday night: Clear. Low minus 1. Thursday: Sunny. Becoming a mix of sun and cloud in the morning. High plus 5. UV index 1 or low. Thursday night: Cloudy periods. Low minus 3. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 7. Friday night: Cloudy. Low plus 2. Saturday: Rain. High 7. Saturday night: Showers. Low plus 4. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud with 60 percent chance of showers. High 7. Sunday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low plus 3. Monday: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. High 7. Monday night: Periods of rain. Low plus 2. Tuesday: Periods of rain. High 7.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    2.1° C
    -0.3 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    102.4 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    ENE 2 km/h
    gusting 5 km/h
    Humidity
    99 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    2.1° C
    Heat Index
    2.1° C
    Dewpoint
    1.9° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 5:55:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Today's Almanac
    Rain since Midnight
    0.0 mm
    Continuous Rainfall (< 24hr gap)
    No Qualifying Rainfall mm
    Civil Rise
    07:00
    Moon Phase
    Last quarter (42% full)
    Civil Set
    17:08
    Day Length
    12:04:48
    Day High
    3.7° C @ 00:07 Tdy.
    Day Low
    2.0° C @ 05:47 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    102.4 kPa @ 05:44 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    102.22 kPa @ 00:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    0.5° C @ 02:49 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    3.7° C @ 00:07 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 4km/h @ 05:05 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    0W/m2 @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

We are a little socked in this morning. The East side of the Island is bathed in warm sun but we have a pretty thick deck of cloud above us. Once the sun climbs high enough into the sky though I think you’ll see the clouds burn off pretty quickly and we should get into the high teens or low twenties today!

It will be short lived though as we have some rain showers headed our way for tonight and tomorrow.

But then it will switch back to sun and warmth for the late part of the week and weekend… So really, not a bad week shaping up for us!

Bill mentioned in the comments that Accuweather is predicting another cool summer for us out on the West Coast.

Here is their map:

20120611-072638.jpg

Now I went back to last years forecast at this time from Accuweather here just to check out what it looked for last Summer, which was Seasonable temperatures thanks to a weakening La Nina.

20120611-074018.jpg

What we ended up with of course was the Bummer Summer of 2011.

So the first message here I think for all of us (including me!) is to take any of these seasonal forecasts with a big grain of salt. We just aren’t that great at them yet and perhaps climate is loading the dice in ways we don’t fully understand yet.

That said my feeling is that the past year has been similar to 2011 but trending warmer. Also, El Niño is trending warmer this year than it did last so I’m thinking that while we may not get the heat some are really craving this summer I don’t think it will be nearly as bad as last summer. So don’t worry! The sun will still shine, including today! 🙂