Big Snow or big No?

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Thursday 19 July 2018 - Thursday night: Partly cloudy. Windy early this evening. Low 11. Friday: Mainly cloudy. 30 percent chance of showers in the afternoon. High 21. UV index 5 or moderate. Friday night: Partly cloudy. Low 11. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 27. Saturday night: Clear. Low 11. Sunday: Sunny. High 33. Sunday night: Clear. Low 13. Monday: Sunny. High 35. Monday night: Clear. Low 14. Tuesday: Sunny. High 28. Tuesday night: Clear. Low 14. Wednesday: Sunny. High 27.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    14.6° C
    -0.2 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    102.01 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    S 1.2 km/h
    gusting 8.0 km/h
    Humidity
    82 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    14.6° C
    Heat Index
    14.6° C
    Dewpoint
    11.6° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 1:20:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    04:54
    Moon Phase
    First quarter (56% full)
    Civil Set
    21:55
    Day Length
    13:25:36
    Day High
    14.9° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low
    14.6° C @ 01:18 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    102.02 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    102 kPa @ 00:43 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    14.6° C @ 01:18 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    14.9° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 2.6km/h @ 00:15 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    0W/m2 @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

The Environment Canada forecast is pretty clear which way it’s going. They think we’re going to get a fair amount of snow tomorrow and maybe even some into tomorrow night when the moisture is really supposed to fall.

Here’s the GFS model. It has us at a pretty steady temperature, but not below freezing from morning until 4PM:

And here’s the same time period for precip:

So I dunno folks, I don’t really think it’s cold enough out there for snow right now, and it sure doesn’t seem like it’s supposed to get any colder. We’re only 1 degree away from sure snow, but 1 degree can be a lot these days.

One thing is for sure though, we have quite a bit of weather coming at us for tomorrow night. If it’s not snow, it’s going to be a lot of rain.

Definitely going to be a great day and night for Mt. Washington though!

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