Wed. Dec 12th, 2018

Beauty Day on the Way! Warm week, La Nina history.

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PST Tuesday 11 December 2018 - Tuesday night: Rain ending early this evening then cloudy with 40 percent chance of showers. Becoming partly cloudy this evening. Fog patches developing after midnight. Low plus 1. Wednesday: Mainly cloudy. 40 percent chance of showers in the morning. Rain beginning in the morning. Fog patches dissipating in the morning. Amount 10 to 15 mm. High 6. Wednesday night: Periods of rain. Amount 15 to 25 mm. Temperature steady near 6. Thursday: Periods of rain. High 6. Thursday night: Periods of rain. Low plus 5. Friday: Rain. High 8. Friday night: Rain. Low 6. Saturday: Rain. High 8. Saturday night: Rain. Low 7. Sunday: Rain. High 9. Sunday night: Rain. Low 7. Monday: Rain. High 9.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    0.6° C
    -1.1 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.68 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 4.8 km/h
    Humidity
    99 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    0.6° C
    Heat Index
    0.6° C
    Dewpoint
    0.4° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 3:35:00 PST
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    07:26
    Moon Phase
    Waxing crescent (23% full)
    Civil Set
    16:59
    Day Length
    12:13:03
    Day High
    2.6° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low
    0.6° C @ 03:30 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.68 kPa @ 03:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.14 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    -1.0° C @ 02:12 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    2.6° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 4.8km/h @ 00:10 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    0W/m2 @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

It’s going to be a beauty out there today. The low cloud should burn off by mid morning and reveal the clear blue skies that are above.

Today and tomorrow will be a grand day for a walk. There are plenty of little streams to check out.

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Next week is gong to be a wet on and off… But warm! Check it out!

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Who know maybe if we’re lucky we’ll get close to 20 🙂

In wider news:
Brett Anderson at Accuweather just updated his long term forecast which shows going into May cool or seasonal in temperatures and starting to move toward drier than normal conditions.

La Nina was officially declared over yesterday. We have now moved into Neutral territory and most forecasts are predicting a weak El Niño for the fall and winter. Since the transition has been quite gradual the La Nina like weather patterns will take a while to dissipate and so will persist for us probably into early summer and El Niño type warmer, wetter, patterns likely wont take hold until Fall if the waters indeed keep warming off of South America.

Closer to home, we are still being heavily influenced by the cold phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. You can see the data (bottom of page) here that shows it has been gradually warming since bottoming out last July at a -1.89C anomaly. The latest data for February show a -0.85C anomaly and current SSTs look to be continuing that trend as they approach 0C anomalies (in white below)

20120420-072246.jpg

It all adds up to what should be a much less chilly and unpleasant summer, fall, and warmer winter (perhaps no 567cm base on Mt Washington next year?)