Mon. May 27th, 2019

Beauty Day on the Way! Warm week, La Nina history.

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Sunday 26 May 2019 - Sunday night: Partly cloudy. Becoming clear this evening. Low 9. Monday: Sunny in the morning then a mix of sun and cloud with 40 percent chance of showers in the afternoon. High 26. Humidex 28. UV index 7 or high. Monday night: Partly cloudy with 40 percent chance of showers early in the evening. Clearing in the evening. Low 11. Tuesday: Sunny. High 25. Tuesday night: Cloudy periods. Low 11. Wednesday: Sunny. High 24. Wednesday night: Clear. Low 11. Thursday: Sunny. High 22. Thursday night: Cloudy periods. Low 12. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20. Friday night: Cloudy periods. Low 11. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    15.6° C
    -1.3 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.28 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    74 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    15.6° C
    Heat Index
    15.6° C
    Dewpoint
    11.0° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 2:05:00 PST
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    04:40
    Moon Phase
    Last quarter (44% full)
    Civil Set
    21:52
    Day Length
    13:16:23
    Day High
    18.1° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low
    15.6° C @ 02:04 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.28 kPa @ 01:59 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.21 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    15.6° C @ 02:04 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    18.1° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 0.1km/h @ 00:05 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    0W/m2 @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

It’s going to be a beauty out there today. The low cloud should burn off by mid morning and reveal the clear blue skies that are above.

Today and tomorrow will be a grand day for a walk. There are plenty of little streams to check out.

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Next week is gong to be a wet on and off… But warm! Check it out!

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Who know maybe if we’re lucky we’ll get close to 20 🙂

In wider news:
Brett Anderson at Accuweather just updated his long term forecast which shows going into May cool or seasonal in temperatures and starting to move toward drier than normal conditions.

La Nina was officially declared over yesterday. We have now moved into Neutral territory and most forecasts are predicting a weak El Niño for the fall and winter. Since the transition has been quite gradual the La Nina like weather patterns will take a while to dissipate and so will persist for us probably into early summer and El Niño type warmer, wetter, patterns likely wont take hold until Fall if the waters indeed keep warming off of South America.

Closer to home, we are still being heavily influenced by the cold phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. You can see the data (bottom of page) here that shows it has been gradually warming since bottoming out last July at a -1.89C anomaly. The latest data for February show a -0.85C anomaly and current SSTs look to be continuing that trend as they approach 0C anomalies (in white below)

20120420-072246.jpg

It all adds up to what should be a much less chilly and unpleasant summer, fall, and warmer winter (perhaps no 567cm base on Mt Washington next year?)