Sat. Oct 19th, 2019

An early Christmas Present on Saturday?

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Saturday 19 October 2019 - Saturday night: Showers ending early this evening then cloudy. Rain beginning before morning. Risk of a thunderstorm early this evening. Low 6. Sunday: Rain. High 10. Sunday night: Cloudy. 30 percent chance of showers in the evening. Rain beginning near midnight. Low 6. Monday: Rain. High 13. Monday night: Showers. Low 8. Tuesday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 13. Tuesday night: Cloudy periods. Low 6. Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 12. Wednesday night: Cloudy periods. Low plus 5. Thursday: Cloudy. High 12. Thursday night: Cloudy periods. Low 6. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 12.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    12.2° C
    -1.2 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.07 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    S 6 km/h
    gusting 14 km/h
    Humidity
    80 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    12.2° C
    Heat Index
    12.2° C
    Dewpoint
    8.9° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    33 W/m2
    Last Updated: 17:35:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Today's Almanac
    Rain since Midnight
    0.0 mm
    Continuous Rainfall (< 24hr gap)
    No Qualifying Rainfall mm
    Civil Rise
    07:12
    Moon Phase
    Last quarter (66% full)
    Civil Set
    18:54
    Day Length
    13:04:08
    Day High
    13.9° C @ 15:54 Tdy.
    Day Low
    6.8° C @ 07:48 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.07 kPa @ 17:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    100.27 kPa @ 04:44 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    5.2° C @ 07:21 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    13.9° C @ 15:54 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 10km/h @ 17:25 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    784W/m2 @ 13:37 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    2.1 @ 12:44 Tdy.

There is hope.

After what seems like an eternity of fog (and at over a week, you are forgiven for thinking so) there is hope on the horizon.

It looks like the weekend might give us our first big break in the fog. It won’t necessarily be the sun that greats us, but rather some snow. The models are showing this constant 0 to 1C temperature continuing and a cold front moving through that could spread 5cm or so of snow.

So, take heart. We only have a couple more days to go before we finally get a change of some sort.

Longer term, the week before Christmas is getting mighty interesting looking on the models. The temperature is still up in the air, but there seems to be little doubt that some sort of precipitation will come down on the days leading to Christmas. I’m not about to invoke any jinx and call anything right now… But just saying…. It’s mighty interesting looking. 🙂

Here is this mornings super long range forecast out to the 23rd. Take it all with a big grain of salt as the accuracy of the forecasts this far out are generally not good. However as I said, it has been consistently showing precipitation and at or below zero temperatures over the past 3 days.

Green bars are precipitation. The graph 2nd from the bottom with blue and red lines is the temperature… Below zero being below the thin blue line.

First Christmas forecast 2011

3 thoughts on “An early Christmas Present on Saturday?

  1. Snow this weekend seems a little unlikely to me unless the incoming system has some cold air aloft.  With the temperature inversion we are under it would seem more likely to get some freezing rain.  But you never know.  It looks like some extreme cold will be building over alaska and the Yukon in the week before Christmas.  I’m betting that we might see it swing down in our direction right around the Holiday.  Maybe Santa can bring us a Christmas Blizzard.

  2. YAY for Christmas blizzards! 😀
    And it is sunny at my house – so gorgeous right now! (McCoy/Sproat area)

  3. God, it was great to see the sun yesterday – and I’m hopeful we’ll see it again today too.  I think if we do get snow this weekend though, it’ll be very little.

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