Tue. Jul 23rd, 2019

A record Happy Thanksgiving! And the rain can’t come soon enough.

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 11:00 AM PDT Tuesday 23 July 2019 - Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud. Becoming windy late this afternoon. High 25. Humidex 26. UV index 7 or high. Tuesday night: Partly cloudy. 30 percent chance of showers this evening. Windy this evening and after midnight. Low 11. Wednesday: Clearing near noon. High 24. UV index 8 or very high. Wednesday night: Clear. Low 10. Thursday: Sunny. High 29. Thursday night: Clear. Low 13. Friday: Cloudy. High 25. Friday night: Showers. Low 15. Saturday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 25. Saturday night: Clear. Low 13. Sunday: Sunny. High 24. Sunday night: Clear. Low 13. Monday: Sunny. High 24.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    23.1° C
    -0.6 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.65 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    S 16 km/h
    gusting 29 km/h
    Humidity
    53 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    23.1° C
    Heat Index
    23.1° C
    Dewpoint
    12.9° C
    UV
    3.8
    Solar
    577 W/m2
    Last Updated: 15:15:00 PST
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Today's Almanac
    Rain since Midnight
    0.0 mm
    Continuous Rainfall (< 24hr gap)
    No Qualifying Rainfall mm
    Civil Rise
    04:58
    Moon Phase
    Last quarter (61% full)
    Civil Set
    21:51
    Day Length
    13:25:43
    Day High
    24.2° C @ 13:59 Tdy.
    Day Low
    14.2° C @ 04:27 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.85 kPa @ 08:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.65 kPa @ 14:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    14.2° C @ 04:27 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    24.2° C @ 13:59 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 21km/h @ 14:35 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    1034W/m2 @ 13:27 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    6.7 @ 13:46 Tdy.

Happy Thanksgiving everyone!

I hope you’ve enjoyed the fantastic and record breaking weather we’ve had over the weekend. We broke records on Friday, Saturday and Sunday for highs of the day. 25.5C yesterday was good enough for the Hot Spot in Canada.

20121008-074217.jpg

16 records were broken in BC yesterday. Our forecast of 24C should break another record today (20.6C) in Port Alberni.

It is not all good news out there though. There is a crisis brewing on Island Rivers. The Cowichan River is so low salmon cannot travel up from the sea so volunteers are trucking them to places with more water. Most incredible though was the front page of the Times Colonist on Saturday which had a picture of a bone dry Tahsis River. Unfortunately I can’t find the picture online, but the article is here.

There is good news in the forecast though. Yes it means the beautiful weather is about to end, but its time.

Here is the short term forecast:

20121008-075711.jpg

We should get around 40mm on Friday and Saturday which is going to feel like 200mm because it’s been so long.

Here is the Environment Canada image for the 12hr precipitation on Friday.

20121008-080015.jpg

We might get a 2nd shot on Monday and Tuesday, you can see the front lurking in the Pacific on the image above. That should give us another 30-50mm.

The Long Range forecast says we will only get 1 more shot of rain before we settle into another dry but noticeably cooler spell. Here is that forecast:

20121008-080401.jpg

And, long range can change…. But this has been consistent so is probable. Notice the temperatures are not exactly the same as what we have been enjoying. HIGHs of 8C? Icky. Sounds foggy. 🙂

Will we get enough rain to avoid setting a 114 year record for drought between July and October. If this forecast holds, I don’t think so. But let’s just hope we get enough to help the fish.

Update: we got our own blog post at Jim Andrews excellent global weather blog for crazy weather . He has some stats on how dry it has been 5-6% of normal since July in Vancouver, Nanaimo, and Victoria.

Happy Thanksgiving all!

Chris

1 thought on “A record Happy Thanksgiving! And the rain can’t come soon enough.

  1. It looks as though the GFS is still somewhat undecided this morning. It is showing a slow start to the rain with lesser amounts on Fri/Sat and most of it coming on Sunday instead.

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