Fri. Jan 18th, 2019

The Heat is Here! And it is here to stay…. fire risk rising.

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 11:00 AM PST Friday 18 January 2019 - Friday: Cloudy. 40 percent chance of showers early this afternoon. Rain beginning this afternoon. Amount 5 to 10 mm. High 7. Friday night: Rain ending after midnight then cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Amount 15 to 25 mm. Becoming windy overnight. Low plus 4. Saturday: Mainly cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Windy in the morning and early in the afternoon. High 7. Saturday night: Showers. Low plus 3. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud with 60 percent chance of showers. High 7. Sunday night: Clear. Low plus 2. Monday: A mix of sun and cloud with 60 percent chance of showers. High 6. Monday night: Periods of rain. Low plus 3. Tuesday: Rain. High 6. Tuesday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low plus 3. Wednesday: Cloudy. High 7. Wednesday night: Cloudy. Low plus 2. Thursday: Cloudy. High 7.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    8.7° C
    -0.6 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.28 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    96 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    8.7° C
    Heat Index
    8.7° C
    Dewpoint
    8.1° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    40 W/m2
    Last Updated: 14:40:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    5.8 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    07:29
    Moon Phase
    Waxing gibbous (93% full)
    Civil Set
    17:30
    Day Length
    12:29:39
    Day High
    9.4° C @ 12:31 Tdy.
    Day Low
    5.9° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    3.6mm/hr @ 05:30 Tdy.
    Day High Barometer
    101.55 kPa @ 10:44 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    100.54 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    3.5° C @ 00:26 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    9.4° C @ 12:31 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 19.3km/h @ 05:20 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    311W/m2 @ 10:55 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    1.0 @ 12:01 Tdy.

I wanted to wait until the morning long range model was complete before posting an update so we could see the full picture for the next week. It confirms what Environment Canada’s very simple forecast says.

There is nothing but Sun and Heat in the forecast from now through Tuesday next week!

On the ultra long range 16 day forecast we see a possibility of temperatures breaking down a little to the lower twenties next Wednesday which will likely be a good relief.

But as you can see from the cloud forecast for the same period, there is not a lot of cloud expected at all. The Median line in the chart below doesn’t get up off the floor until way down at July 25/26 except for a little blip next Wednesday. Nothing significant. It is likely thunderstorm risk related (which may have fire risk implications more on that below).

So it’s easy… get out there and soak up that sun! 🙂

Note that the Fire Risk is rising on Vancouver Island.  There is now one area of extreme risk at Salt Spring Island.  Our area is currently moderate and is forecast to rise to a High risk on Friday.