Fri. May 24th, 2019

The Heat is Here! And it is here to stay…. fire risk rising.

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 11:00 AM PDT Friday 24 May 2019 - Friday: Mainly sunny. High 23. UV index 7 or high. Friday night: A few clouds. Increasing cloudiness overnight. Low 9. Saturday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers in the morning and early in the afternoon then a mix of sun and cloud. High 18. UV index 4 or moderate. Saturday night: Clear. Low 8. Sunday: Sunny. High 29. Sunday night: Clear. Low 9. Monday: Sunny. High 28. Monday night: Clear. Low 10. Tuesday: Sunny. High 26. Tuesday night: Clear. Low 11. Wednesday: Sunny. High 22. Wednesday night: Clear. Low 11. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 21.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    19.4° C
    1.0 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.04 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    NE 4.8 km/h
    gusting 12.9 km/h
    Humidity
    57 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    19.4° C
    Heat Index
    19.4° C
    Dewpoint
    10.6° C
    UV
    4.8
    Solar
    848 W/m2
    Last Updated: 14:15:00 PST
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    04:44
    Moon Phase
    Waning gibbous (67% full)
    Civil Set
    21:48
    Day Length
    13:16:04
    Day High
    19.4° C @ 14:14 Tdy.
    Day Low
    11.4° C @ 06:01 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.04 kPa @ 12:43 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    100.96 kPa @ 01:28 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    11.4° C @ 06:01 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    19.4° C @ 14:14 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 13.5km/h @ 12:25 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    1148W/m2 @ 13:40 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    7.2 @ 13:32 Tdy.

I wanted to wait until the morning long range model was complete before posting an update so we could see the full picture for the next week. It confirms what Environment Canada’s very simple forecast says.

There is nothing but Sun and Heat in the forecast from now through Tuesday next week!

On the ultra long range 16 day forecast we see a possibility of temperatures breaking down a little to the lower twenties next Wednesday which will likely be a good relief.

But as you can see from the cloud forecast for the same period, there is not a lot of cloud expected at all. The Median line in the chart below doesn’t get up off the floor until way down at July 25/26 except for a little blip next Wednesday. Nothing significant. It is likely thunderstorm risk related (which may have fire risk implications more on that below).

So it’s easy… get out there and soak up that sun! 🙂

Note that the Fire Risk is rising on Vancouver Island.  There is now one area of extreme risk at Salt Spring Island.  Our area is currently moderate and is forecast to rise to a High risk on Friday.