Tue. Aug 21st, 2018

Progressively stormer week ahead

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - SPECIAL AIR QUALITY STATEMENT IN EFFECT
    Issued: 9:22 PM PDT Monday 20 August 2018

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Monday 20 August 2018 - Monday night: Overcast. Widespread smoke. Low 11. Tuesday: Overcast. Widespread smoke. High 26. Humidex 31. UV index 3 or moderate. Tuesday night: Partly cloudy. Widespread smoke. Low 11. Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 27. Wednesday night: Cloudy periods. Low 12. Thursday: Sunny. High 23. Thursday night: Clear. Low 11. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 24. Friday night: Cloudy periods. Low 12. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20. Saturday night: Cloudy periods. Low 13. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 21.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    18.8° C
    -2.3 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.7 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    53 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    18.8° C
    Heat Index
    18.8° C
    Dewpoint
    9.0° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 22:50:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    05:42
    Moon Phase
    First quarter (77% full)
    Civil Set
    21:01
    Day Length
    13:22:31
    Day High
    31.6° C @ 16:24 Tdy.
    Day Low
    13.2° C @ 06:44 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.89 kPa @ 08:43 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.54 kPa @ 17:58 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    13.2° C @ 06:44 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    31.6° C @ 16:24 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 11.4km/h @ 14:55 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    601W/m2 @ 13:47 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    1.6 @ 13:13 Tdy.

As I type this it’s starting to drizzle in Nanaimo… The same is coming to Port Alberni soon if it hasn’t already and the week ahead will have more and more wet stuff as we go.

It looks like we may have finally seen the last of the snow. This week is looking wet only.

Here is this mornings GFS model run:

20120326-074201.jpg

As you can see there is plenty of rain on the way.. In total the GFS is projecting almost 200mm of rain over the next 7 days… We will see if that pans out (it often overestimates) but what does seem clear is that we’re into a wet pattern with progressively stronger events as the week moves on.

The Thursday event looks like a real soaker in particular with rainfall warnings possible for us (>50mm) but keep an eye on Saturday for wind. It is showing a very strong low down to 98kPa on Saturday and a good shot of rain. As the time draws nearer and the forecasts surer, we will get a better idea of that event.

UMBRELLAS! DEPLOY! 🙂