Tue. Oct 16th, 2018

Progressively stormer week ahead

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 05:00 AM PDT Tuesday 16 October 2018 - Tuesday: Sunny. Fog patches dissipating late this morning. High 20. UV index 3 or moderate. Tuesday night: Clear. Low plus 2. Wednesday: Mainly sunny. Fog patches in the morning. High 18. Wednesday night: Cloudy periods. Low plus 2. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20. Thursday night: Cloudy periods. Low plus 4. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 16. Friday night: Cloudy periods. Low plus 5. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 16. Saturday night: Cloudy periods. Low 7. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 16. Sunday night: Cloudy periods. Low 6. Monday: Cloudy. High 16.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    3.6° C
    0.5 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    102.78 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    97 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    3.6° C
    Heat Index
    3.6° C
    Dewpoint
    3.1° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 7:20:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    07:08
    Moon Phase
    First quarter (49% full)
    Civil Set
    18:59
    Day Length
    13:04:42
    Day High
    6.5° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low
    3.1° C @ 05:47 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    102.81 kPa @ 02:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    102.76 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    3.1° C @ 05:47 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    6.5° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 0.0km/h @ 00:05 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    0W/m2 @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

As I type this it’s starting to drizzle in Nanaimo… The same is coming to Port Alberni soon if it hasn’t already and the week ahead will have more and more wet stuff as we go.

It looks like we may have finally seen the last of the snow. This week is looking wet only.

Here is this mornings GFS model run:

20120326-074201.jpg

As you can see there is plenty of rain on the way.. In total the GFS is projecting almost 200mm of rain over the next 7 days… We will see if that pans out (it often overestimates) but what does seem clear is that we’re into a wet pattern with progressively stronger events as the week moves on.

The Thursday event looks like a real soaker in particular with rainfall warnings possible for us (>50mm) but keep an eye on Saturday for wind. It is showing a very strong low down to 98kPa on Saturday and a good shot of rain. As the time draws nearer and the forecasts surer, we will get a better idea of that event.

UMBRELLAS! DEPLOY! 🙂