Tue. Jul 23rd, 2019

Definite change coming

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 11:00 AM PDT Tuesday 23 July 2019 - Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud. Becoming windy late this afternoon. High 25. Humidex 26. UV index 7 or high. Tuesday night: Partly cloudy. 30 percent chance of showers this evening. Windy this evening and after midnight. Low 11. Wednesday: Clearing near noon. High 24. UV index 8 or very high. Wednesday night: Clear. Low 10. Thursday: Sunny. High 29. Thursday night: Clear. Low 13. Friday: Cloudy. High 25. Friday night: Showers. Low 15. Saturday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 25. Saturday night: Clear. Low 13. Sunday: Sunny. High 24. Sunday night: Clear. Low 13. Monday: Sunny. High 24.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    23.1° C
    -0.3 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.65 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    S 13 km/h
    gusting 23 km/h
    Humidity
    54 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    23.1° C
    Heat Index
    23.1° C
    Dewpoint
    13.3° C
    UV
    3.6
    Solar
    566 W/m2
    Last Updated: 15:30:00 PST
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Today's Almanac
    Rain since Midnight
    0.0 mm
    Continuous Rainfall (< 24hr gap)
    No Qualifying Rainfall mm
    Civil Rise
    04:58
    Moon Phase
    Last quarter (61% full)
    Civil Set
    21:51
    Day Length
    13:25:43
    Day High
    24.2° C @ 13:59 Tdy.
    Day Low
    14.2° C @ 04:27 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.85 kPa @ 08:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.65 kPa @ 14:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    14.2° C @ 04:27 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    24.2° C @ 13:59 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 21km/h @ 14:35 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    1034W/m2 @ 13:27 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    6.7 @ 13:46 Tdy.

We’re going to get another bout of heavy rain tomorrow…. but I’m looking beyond that now because if the models are accurate (and they’ve been consistent on this for almost a week now) we look to be setting up for another bout of cold and potentially snowy, weather.

Here are todays results from the Global Forecast System.

First the short range forecast including the rain tomorrow.
Feb 13

The bars are precipitation… notice the main shot on Monday through Tuesday morning.

What’s interesting is the break about 1/3 the way through…. if you look at the other graphs you’ll see that break marks a change. Particularly the 850MB chart shows the air aloft will turn cold and stay that way. That likely means some arctic air will be making its way here and any precipitation that falls after Tuesday could fall as snow.

Here’s the following week up until March.

Feb 13

If that model pans out… everything between Tuesday and March 1 could be snow!

Whatever happens…it’s setting us up to be below freezing for a couple weeks.

14 thoughts on “Definite change coming

    1. checked it out………..lol………so cool to us weather fanatics! Showed it to son and husband 🙁 ….What do they know? Watching golf would be the only excitement around here, if I wasn’t around. They all think I am messed up. I got all excited seeing it again! Ready for the next bit of fun!!!!!!

  1. The Barometer is already lower than it was on Saturday, so the potential for strong wind is certainly there. It all depends on if it comes roaring up the Inlet or gets stopped by a mountain or two.

    1. It’s been blowing in Ukee pretty good all morning. Raining too. We were gonna head for Toquart Bay for a campfire, but I kaibashed that idea due to the rainfall. Might go look at Long Beach This afternoon.

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