Tue. Aug 21st, 2018

Definite change coming

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - SPECIAL AIR QUALITY STATEMENT IN EFFECT
    Issued: 9:22 PM PDT Monday 20 August 2018

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Monday 20 August 2018 - Monday night: Overcast. Widespread smoke. Low 11. Tuesday: Overcast. Widespread smoke. High 26. Humidex 31. UV index 3 or moderate. Tuesday night: Partly cloudy. Widespread smoke. Low 11. Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 27. Wednesday night: Cloudy periods. Low 12. Thursday: Sunny. High 23. Thursday night: Clear. Low 11. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 24. Friday night: Cloudy periods. Low 12. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20. Saturday night: Cloudy periods. Low 13. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 21.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    18.8° C
    -2.3 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.7 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    53 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    18.8° C
    Heat Index
    18.8° C
    Dewpoint
    9.0° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 22:50:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    05:42
    Moon Phase
    First quarter (77% full)
    Civil Set
    21:01
    Day Length
    13:22:31
    Day High
    31.6° C @ 16:24 Tdy.
    Day Low
    13.2° C @ 06:44 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.89 kPa @ 08:43 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.54 kPa @ 17:58 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    13.2° C @ 06:44 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    31.6° C @ 16:24 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 11.4km/h @ 14:55 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    601W/m2 @ 13:47 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    1.6 @ 13:13 Tdy.

We’re going to get another bout of heavy rain tomorrow…. but I’m looking beyond that now because if the models are accurate (and they’ve been consistent on this for almost a week now) we look to be setting up for another bout of cold and potentially snowy, weather.

Here are todays results from the Global Forecast System.

First the short range forecast including the rain tomorrow.
Feb 13

The bars are precipitation… notice the main shot on Monday through Tuesday morning.

What’s interesting is the break about 1/3 the way through…. if you look at the other graphs you’ll see that break marks a change. Particularly the 850MB chart shows the air aloft will turn cold and stay that way. That likely means some arctic air will be making its way here and any precipitation that falls after Tuesday could fall as snow.

Here’s the following week up until March.

Feb 13

If that model pans out… everything between Tuesday and March 1 could be snow!

Whatever happens…it’s setting us up to be below freezing for a couple weeks.

14 thoughts on “Definite change coming

    1. checked it out………..lol………so cool to us weather fanatics! Showed it to son and husband 🙁 ….What do they know? Watching golf would be the only excitement around here, if I wasn’t around. They all think I am messed up. I got all excited seeing it again! Ready for the next bit of fun!!!!!!

  1. The Barometer is already lower than it was on Saturday, so the potential for strong wind is certainly there. It all depends on if it comes roaring up the Inlet or gets stopped by a mountain or two.

    1. It’s been blowing in Ukee pretty good all morning. Raining too. We were gonna head for Toquart Bay for a campfire, but I kaibashed that idea due to the rainfall. Might go look at Long Beach This afternoon.

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