Wed. Oct 17th, 2018

Chance of Snow Builds – East Coast in crosshairs

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 05:00 AM PDT Wednesday 17 October 2018 - Wednesday: Sunny. Fog patches early this morning. High 18. UV index 3 or moderate. Wednesday night: A few clouds. Fog patches developing after midnight. Low plus 4. Thursday: Mainly sunny. Fog patches dissipating in the morning. High 17. UV index 3 or moderate. Thursday night: Fog. Low plus 4. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 17. Friday night: Fog. Low plus 5. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20. Saturday night: Fog. Low plus 4. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20. Sunday night: Fog. Low 6. Monday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 15. Monday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low 9. Tuesday: Rain. High 14.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    5.5° C
    0.8 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    102.35 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    98 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    5.5° C
    Heat Index
    5.5° C
    Dewpoint
    5.2° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    64 W/m2
    Last Updated: 8:50:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    07:10
    Moon Phase
    First quarter (59% full)
    Civil Set
    18:57
    Day Length
    13:04:30
    Day High
    7.3° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low
    4.5° C @ 05:19 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    102.4 kPa @ 00:44 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    102.33 kPa @ 07:14 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    4.5° C @ 05:19 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    7.3° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 0.0km/h @ 00:05 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    67W/m2 @ 08:47 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

Note: Alberniweather condition updates will be interrupted between 8AM-5PM everyday due to renovations at my home.  Port Alberni Airport conditions will take their place.

The chance of snow is increasing for the Alberni Valley but the East Coast of the Island is still set to receive the brunt of any snowfall on Friday night.

The Wind Shift overnight Friday.

Click the Youtube video below to see the latest model output. Notice the shift in the wind as the big front of rain moves away to the south on Friday, the threat of snow begins when the winds (shown with the little grid of flags/arrows on the image) swing around to the East.

Arctic Outflow from the Fraser Valley will then sweep across the Strait, cause temperatures to drop quickly.  And deliver potential snow for the area from Parksville to Duncan.  It should all be over by sunrise Saturday except perhaps near the Cowichan Valley where it could last into the morning.

Total accumulations based on the map below

  • Alberni: 0cm (though may have some local traces)
  • Parksville: 1-2cm
  • Nanaimo: 2-5cm
  • Ladysmith: 5cm
  • Duncan: 1-2cm (though may have some local traces)
Snowfall Amount 4PM-4PM Friday/Saturday.  Centred in Nanaimo/Ladysmith areas
Snowfall Amount 4PM-4PM Friday/Saturday. Centred in Nanaimo/Ladysmith areas

1 thought on “Chance of Snow Builds – East Coast in crosshairs

  1. Great! Snow day in Nanaimo – let’s keep those Christmas shoppers in town to shop locally this weekend!

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